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Irving Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 47.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$217,990

Irving Plan · Liberty Triangle, FL 34476
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,717 sqft · Townhouse · 76 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Past the foyer of this new two-story townhome is a gracious layout connecting the living and dining spaces. It features a well-equipped kitchen and its center island, followed by an intimate dining room and a sprawling family room made for gatherings. On the top floor is a central loft for versatile needs, along with two secondary bedrooms and a tranquil owner's suite.

Key facts

  • Central loft
  • Intimate dining room
  • Center island

Tags

TWO STORY TOWNHOMEWELL EQUIPPED KITCHENCENTER ISLANDINTIMATE DINING ROOMSPRAWLING FAMILY ROOMCENTRAL LOFT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $217,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $212,785.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $218k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (4.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.5% in Liberty Triangle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $204,910 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.41%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,785
List price
$217,990
Delta
2.45%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4883 SW 81st Loop 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,716 (-0%) 7mo $247,390 $144 88
4879 SW 81st Loop 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,765 (+3%) 6mo $212,000 $120 87
4942 SW 81st St 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,707 (-1%) 11mo $200,000 $117 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-29,752
Equity at exit
$31,727
10-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-35,408
Equity at exit
$18,398

Cash invested: $59,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34476

Rents YoY
-2.6%
Active inventory
858
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,076 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,116
Tax est. 1.5%
$266 /mo · $3,192/yr
Insurance
$89
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,861
Max offer price $212,785
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $316 -5% $243 +0% $169 +5% $96 +10% $22
Rent -10% $5 -5% $87 +0% $169 +5% $251 +10% $333
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $223 base $169 +0.5pp $114 +1.0pp $58

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,196
Closing costs
$6,384
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4939 SW 81st Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1828 $1,750 $0.96 15d 1 0.01mi
4915 SW 81st St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1707 $1,795 $1.05 15d 1 0.05mi
4643 SW 84th Street Rd Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1663 $1,925 $1.16 15d 1 0.23mi
4703 SW 85th Pl Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,500 $1.37 15d 1 0.31mi
8609 SW 46th Ter Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1670 $2,400 $1.44 15d 1 0.41mi
8590 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,895 $1.30 15d 1 0.47mi
8590 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,895 $1.30 15d 1 0.47mi
4828 SW 86th Ln Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,950 $1.17 23d 1 0.48mi
8602 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 15d 1 0.52mi
8602 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 15d 1 0.52mi
8665 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,895 $1.30 23d 1 0.55mi
8704 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 23d 1 0.57mi
8704 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 15d 1 0.57mi
8320 SW 41st Ter Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1841 $2,300 $1.25 15d 1 0.63mi
8780 SW 49th Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,900 $1.14 23d 1 0.66mi
4697 SW 89th St Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1848 $2,150 $1.16 15d 1 0.67mi
8792 SW 49th Cir Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1498 $1,850 $1.23 23d 1 0.69mi
8940 SW 50th Ter Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,195 $1.20 23d 1 0.74mi
9109 SW 45th Ter Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,150 $1.18 15d 1 0.90mi
7177 SW 92nd St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1410 $1,850 $1.31 23d 1 0.96mi
13110 SW 89th St Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 1824 $1,950 $1.07 23d 1 1.22mi
5637 SW 93rd St Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 2039 $2,600 $1.28 15d 1 1.29mi
4780 SW 95th Ln Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 2002 $2,395 $1.20 15d 1 1.36mi
9324 SW 58th Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 2141 $2,500 $1.17 23d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $217,990 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $217,990 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $217,990 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $217,990 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $217,990 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $217,990 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $217,990 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $217,990 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $217,990 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $217,990 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $217,990 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $217,990 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $217,990 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $217,990 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $217,990 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $217,990 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Past the foyer of this new two-story townhome is a gracious layout connecting the living and dining spaces. It features a well-equipped kitchen and its center island, followed by an intimate dining room and a sprawling family room made for gatherings. On the top floor is a central loft for versatile needs, along with two secondary bedrooms and a tranquil owner's suite.

  17. 2026-04-06
    listed $222,990 Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Past the foyer of this new two-story townhome is a gracious layout connecting the living and dining spaces. It features a well-equipped kitchen and its center island, followed by an intimate dining room and a sprawling family room made for gatherings. On the top floor is a central loft for versatile needs, along with two secondary bedrooms and a tranquil owner's suite.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,908
− Mortgage interest
−$11,919
− Property taxes
−$3,192
− Insurance
−$1,064
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,993
− Management
−$1,993
− Depreciation
−$6,190
Taxable loss
−$1,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$346
After-tax cash flow
$2,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This modern townhome is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a neutral color palette and a well-maintained exterior. The interior is spacious and features modern appliances and fixtures. The property has potential for further value increases with minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value
  • Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value
  • Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Liberty Triangle

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Liberty Triangle, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
26,397
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,997
Household income
$65,860
Rent vs Own
12.3% rent · 87.7% own
Severe rent burden
204.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.22%
Current HPI
189.0869
Rent YoY
▼ -2.57%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $217,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $222,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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