2672 S Tuscola Rd · Robin Glen-Indiantown, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
Key facts
- Pole barn
- Outbuildings
- Car port
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached heated garage; Garage faces side; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electric service present (implied by electric appliances)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at ground level
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Barn(s); Paved road access; Ground-level entry
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace; Electric water heater; Satellite dish; Lighting
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-215 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (21.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Reese Public Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #164 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.28%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $223,158
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -21.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-42,065
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-54,318
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48747
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,143/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $-215
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
-
2026-05-13status Pending 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
-
2026-04-30price $174,900 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
-
2026-04-30price $174,900 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
-
2026-04-23$184,900 Active 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
-
2026-04-23$184,900 Active 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,143 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,418 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$275/yr (+$23/mo · 12.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,143
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$5,739
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reese Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2629520
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,888
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #4481
- State rank
- #164 of 540 in MI
Livability — Robin Glen-Indiantown
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,488
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 101,476 people
- By 2030
- 98,152 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 89,711 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 80,614 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 60,544 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 41,603 · -59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 13% Iranian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.7) · D 42.0% · R 56.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: -14.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.7 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+12.6 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.30%
- Current HPI
- 350.22
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-5.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $174,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $184,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $184,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,143 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…