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2672 S Tuscola Rd
D- Composite 38.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0

$174,900

2672 S Tuscola Rd · Robin Glen-Indiantown, MI 48747
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market
1.88 ac lot $135/sqft · 22% below area Est $223k · 22% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

Key facts

  • Pole barn
  • Outbuildings
  • Car port

Tags

OUTBUILDINGS2 ACRESFRUIT TREESPOLE BARNCAR PORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached heated garage; Garage faces side; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electric service present (implied by electric appliances)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at ground level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Barn(s); Paved road access; Ground-level entry

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Electric water heater; Satellite dish; Lighting
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-215 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (21.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (31.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Reese Public Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #164 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $120,670 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.28%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$223,158
List price
$174,900
Delta
-21.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.3%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-42,065
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-54,318
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48747

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,143/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$-215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,479
Max offer price $136,854
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

  3. 2026-04-30
    price $174,900 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

  4. 2026-04-30
    price $174,900 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

  5. 2026-04-23
    listed $184,900 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

  6. 2026-04-23
    listed $184,900 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home for sale in the country. Property has an orchard with 2 outbuildings. Situated on 2 acres. Over 100 fruit trees in orchard; apples, pears, peaches, plums, and concord grape vines. 30' x 40' pole barn and a 2 1/2 garage with car port.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,143 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,418 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$275/yr (+$23/mo · 12.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,480
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,143
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$5,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,377
After-tax cash flow
$-1,207/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Reese Public Schools
NCES district ID
2629520
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$47,888
Composite
37.16/100
National rank
#4481
State rank
#164 of 540 in MI

Livability — Robin Glen-Indiantown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,488

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
101,476 people
By 2030
98,152 · -3.3%
By 2040
89,711 · -11.6%
By 2050
80,614 · -20.6%
By 2075
60,544 · -40.3%
By 2100
41,603 · -59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 13% Iranian 6%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
R (+14.7) · D 42.0% · R 56.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: -14.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.7 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+12.6 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.30%
Current HPI
350.22
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $174,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $184,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $184,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,143 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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