3131 W Molly Ln · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
$575,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful North Phoenix home. Do not miss this opportunity to save on electricity with OWNED FREE AND CLEAR solar panels! Home features many upgrades including freshly painted cabinets, new paint throughout , new slider back door, and new carpet. Relax in a resort style backyard with a heated spa perfect for winter nights or enjoy a refreshing pool complete with a NEW pool system and re plastered surface. Home has a water softener system and exterior paint is only four years old! Less than 2 Miles from hiking trails and easy access to I-17.
Key facts
- Newer windows
- Updated flooring
- Updated lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 6,325 (assessor); Building area source: assessor; Property includes a home warranty
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Association fee includes grounds maintenance; Association rules prohibit visible trucks, trailers, RVs, and boats; Community near bus stop, playground, and biking/walking path
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage with garage door opener; RV gate
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction, painted exterior; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Private heated spa; Private pool; Sprinklers in front and rear; Synthetic grass in back; Gravel/stone front and back; Automatic timer for irrigation front and back; Block fencing; City-maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Non-laminate counters; Walk-in pantry
- Bedrooms: Up to 5 possible bedrooms; At least one bedroom located upstairs
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; Double vanity in bathroom; Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Solar screens on windows; Dual pane windows with vinyl frames; Solar panels (energy efficient); Home warranty included
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Gas dryer hookup; Washer/dryer hookup only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $575k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-946 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $408k (29.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (44.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $320k (44.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Deer Valley Unified District (4246) (urban): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #33 of 249 in AZ (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Stetson Hills School (math 69% / reading 67%, grade B+, #65 of 1,109 statewide, top 6%, 912 students, 14% FRL); Sandra Day O'Connor High School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #58 of 381 statewide, top 15%, 2,567 students, 13% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $61k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $58k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$99k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $403k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.05%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 15.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $576,090
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3122 W Molly Ln | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 2,660 (+2%) | 6mo | $527,500 | $198 | 87 |
| 3144 W Maya Way | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 | 2,874 (+11%) | 8mo | $535,000 | $186 | 70 |
| 3215 W Molly Ln | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 | 2,864 (+10%) | 15mo | $570,000 | $199 | 65 |
| 3523 W Buckhorn Trl | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,692 (+4%) | 8mo | $654,735 | $243 | 61 |
| 3524 W Alyssa Ln | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,524 (-3%) | 12mo | $560,000 | $222 | 59 |
| 26812 N 32nd Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,724 (+5%) | 22mo | $715,000 | $262 | 58 |
| 27041 N 31st Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 2,859 (+10%) | 16mo | $615,000 | $215 | 55 |
| 3209 W Spur Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,301 (-11%) | 14mo | $680,000 | $296 | 54 |
| 3614 W Alyssa Ln | 0.59mi | 4/3.5 | 2,744 (+6%) | 13mo | $589,500 | $215 | 50 |
| 27227 N 31st Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,958 (+14%) | 14mo | $649,000 | $219 | 47 |
| 3503 W Buckhorn Trl | 0.52mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,681 (+3%) | 23mo | $834,000 | $311 | 46 |
| 3514 W Riordan Ranch Rd | 0.48mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,780 (+7%) | 19mo | $649,000 | $233 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $250,370
- Equity at exit
- $518,006
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.84×
- Total profit
- $779,701
- Equity at exit
- $1,117,099
Cash invested: $161,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85083
- Home prices YoY
- 5.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 15.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,195 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,015
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,928/yr
- Insurance
- −$240
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$671
- Net cashflow
- $-946
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-621 | -5% $-783 | +0% $-946 | +5% $-1,109 | +10% $-1,272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,199 | -5% $-1,072 | +0% $-946 | +5% $-820 | +10% $-694 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-657 | -0.5pp $-800 | base $-946 | +0.5pp $-1,095 | +1.0pp $-1,247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $143,750
- Closing costs
- $17,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3232 W Cavedale Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1761 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 11d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3020 W Red Fox Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $2,950 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2510 W Big Oak St Unit 66 Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2232 | $6,500 | $2.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2448 W Maximo Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2455 | $2,900 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2443 W Maximo Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2455 | $2,900 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 26411 N 24th Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2455 | $3,200 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2441 W Gambit Trl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,145 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2531 W White Feather Ln Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1982 | $2,445 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2314 W Spur Dr Phoenix, AZ | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2762 | $2,750 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2310 W Spur Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2297 | $4,000 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2518 W White Feather Ln Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2206 | $2,425 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 26021 N 23rd Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1992 | $2,795 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2326 W Gambit Trl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,450 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 28231 N 25th Dl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2236 | $2,500 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 25920 N 22nd Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1967 | $2,795 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2319 W Running Deer Trl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2192 | $2,320 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2205 W Gambit Trl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3128 | $5,000 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 26803 N 21st Dr Phoenix, AZ | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2783 | $2,650 | $0.95 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 24833 N 37th Ln Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2593 | $3,500 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3173 W Peak View Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2649 | $5,000 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3726 W Villa Linda Dr Glendale, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2285 | $3,800 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 26041 N Fernbush Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2901 | $3,599 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3119 W Via Dona Rd Phoenix, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1946 | $2,950 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2052 W El Cortez Trl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1799 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 8d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3915 W Buckskin Trl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1814 | $2,315 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3915 W Buckskin Trl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1814 | $2,480 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2008 W Maya Way Phoenix, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2872 | $2,999 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1966 W Hide Trl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2054 | $2,950 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1965 W Hide Trl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1846 | $2,790 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 25718 N 20th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2983 | $2,995 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3853 W Fallen Leaf Ln Glendale, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2593 | $6,000 | $2.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1941 W Holden Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2618 | $3,100 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1928 W Spur Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2872 | $4,250 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectricpool
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-05-23$575,000 Active
-
2020-09-30soldstatus $403,000 Closed 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Beautiful North Phoenix home. Do not miss this opportunity to save on electricity with OWNED FREE AND CLEAR solar panels! Home features many upgrades including freshly painted cabinets, new paint throughout , new slider back door, and new carpet. Relax in a resort style backyard with a heated spa perfect for winter nights or enjoy a refreshing pool complete with a NEW pool system and re plastered surface. Home has a water softener system and exterior paint is only four years old! Less than 2 Miles from hiking trails and easy access to I-17.
-
2020-09-30soldstatus $403,000
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Beautiful North Phoenix home. Do not miss this opportunity to save on electricity with OWNED FREE AND CLEAR solar panels! Home features many upgrades including freshly painted cabinets, new paint throughout , new slider back door, and new carpet. Relax in a resort style backyard with a heated spa perfect for winter nights or enjoy a refreshing pool complete with a NEW pool system and re plastered surface. Home has a water softener system and exterior paint is only four years old! Less than 2 Miles from hiking trails and easy access to I-17.
-
2020-08-21historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Beautiful North Phoenix home. Do not miss this opportunity to save on electricity with OWNED FREE AND CLEAR solar panels! Home features many upgrades including freshly painted cabinets, new paint throughout , new slider back door, and new carpet. Relax in a resort style backyard with a heated spa perfect for winter nights or enjoy a refreshing pool complete with a NEW pool system and re plastered surface. Home has a water softener system and exterior paint is only four years old! Less than 2 Miles from hiking trails and easy access to I-17.
-
2020-08-17price $409,000 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Beautiful North Phoenix home. Do not miss this opportunity to save on electricity with OWNED FREE AND CLEAR solar panels! Home features many upgrades including freshly painted cabinets, new paint throughout , new slider back door, and new carpet. Relax in a resort style backyard with a heated spa perfect for winter nights or enjoy a refreshing pool complete with a NEW pool system and re plastered surface. Home has a water softener system and exterior paint is only four years old! Less than 2 Miles from hiking trails and easy access to I-17.
-
2020-08-07$415,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Beautiful North Phoenix home. Do not miss this opportunity to save on electricity with OWNED FREE AND CLEAR solar panels! Home features many upgrades including freshly painted cabinets, new paint throughout , new slider back door, and new carpet. Relax in a resort style backyard with a heated spa perfect for winter nights or enjoy a refreshing pool complete with a NEW pool system and re plastered surface. Home has a water softener system and exterior paint is only four years old! Less than 2 Miles from hiking trails and easy access to I-17.
-
2020-07-02status Pending
-
2020-07-01historical
-
2020-06-28$389,000 Active
-
2014-09-08soldstatus $262,000 Closed
-
2014-09-08soldstatus $262,000
-
2014-08-10status Pending
-
2014-08-04price $265,000
-
2014-07-22price $279,900
-
2014-05-27price $286,500
-
2014-04-28price $289,500
-
2014-04-14price $292,000
-
2014-04-03price $293,900
-
2014-03-16price $299,900
-
2014-02-19$302,900 Active
-
2011-05-20soldstatus $152,000 Closed
-
2011-05-20soldstatus $152,000
-
2011-02-04status Pending
-
2011-01-13price $159,900
-
2010-12-09price $162,500
-
2010-11-10price $164,900
-
2010-11-08price $174,900
-
2010-11-03$175,000 Active
-
2009-02-02soldstatus $238,700
-
2009-01-02historical
-
2008-10-30$249,900
-
2008-04-13historical
-
2006-05-29$409,999
-
2004-07-29soldstatus $274,900
-
2004-07-29soldstatus $274,900
-
2004-07-07historical
-
2004-05-19$274,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,928 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,795 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,867/yr (+$156/mo · 96.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,346
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,209
- − Property taxes
- −$1,928
- − Insurance
- −$2,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,068
- − Management
- −$3,068
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$16,727
- Taxable loss
- −$22,189
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,325
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Deer Valley Unified District (4246)
- NCES district ID
- 0407750
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,516
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2346
- State rank
- #33 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,022
- Household income
- $149,087
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 81.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.2128
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.29%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+109.2% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $575,000 ARMLS
- 2020-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $403,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-30 Sold (MLS) $403,000 ARMLS
- 2020-08-21 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2020-08-17 Price Changed $409,000 ARMLS
- 2020-08-07 Listed $415,000 ARMLS
- 2020-07-02 Pending — ARMLS
- 2020-07-01 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2020-06-28 Listed $389,000 ARMLS
- 2014-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $262,000 Public Records
- 2014-09-08 Sold (MLS) $262,000 ARMLS
- 2014-08-10 Pending — ARMLS
- 2014-08-04 Price Changed $265,000 ARMLS
- 2014-07-22 Price Changed $279,900 ARMLS
- 2014-05-27 Price Changed $286,500 ARMLS
- 2014-04-28 Price Changed $289,500 ARMLS
- 2014-04-14 Price Changed $292,000 ARMLS
- 2014-04-03 Price Changed $293,900 ARMLS
- 2014-03-16 Price Changed $299,900 ARMLS
- 2014-02-19 Listed $302,900 ARMLS
- 2011-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
- 2011-05-20 Sold (MLS) $152,000 ARMLS
- 2011-02-04 Pending — ARMLS
- 2011-01-13 Price Changed $159,900 ARMLS
- 2010-12-09 Price Changed $162,500 ARMLS
- 2010-11-10 Price Changed $164,900 ARMLS
- 2010-11-08 Price Changed $174,900 ARMLS
- 2010-11-03 Listed $175,000 ARMLS
- 2009-02-02 Sold (MLS) $238,700 ARMLS
- 2009-01-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2008-10-30 Listed $249,900 ARMLS
- 2008-04-13 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-05-29 Listed $409,999 ARMLS
- 2004-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $274,900 Public Records
- 2004-07-29 Sold (MLS) $274,900 ARMLS
- 2004-07-07 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2004-05-19 Listed $274,900 ARMLS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,928 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…