200 State Rt 94 #249 · Vernon, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Hot tub
- Access to amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (19.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $157k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Vernon Township School District (rural): math 18% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #294 of 472 in NJ (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 184 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Sussex County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.75%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $7,314
- Equity at exit
- $87,635
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $50,071
- Equity at exit
- $135,057
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07462-3323
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,304 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,924/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$735
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $-261
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Stonehill Dr #1 Vernon, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $2,100 | $2.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7 Theta Dr Apt 311 Vernon Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $2,475 | $3.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7 Theta Dr Apt 211 Vernon Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $2,425 | $3.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $735 · $8,820/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashgaselectricinternetsnow removalexterior maint.poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $194,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $194,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $194,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-04-18price $199,900 1333-char remark
Show marketing remark (1333 chars)
Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.
-
2026-04-18status Active 1333-char remark
Show marketing remark (1333 chars)
Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.
-
2026-03-18historical 1333-char remark
Show marketing remark (1333 chars)
Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.
-
2026-01-16$184,000 Active 1333-char remark
Show marketing remark (1333 chars)
Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,653
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,924
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,212
- − Management
- −$2,212
- − HOA
- −$8,820
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$6,077
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,458
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully furnished and well-maintained condo is ready for immediate occupancy and offers a perfect mountain getaway.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Reorganizing furniture in living room — Optimizes space and enhances comfort
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Reorganizing furniture in living room — Optimizes space and enhances comfort ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416710
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,455
- Composite
- 30.63/100
- National rank
- #6188
- State rank
- #294 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vernon
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vernon Center, NJ
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,413 people
- By 2030
- 127,324 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 113,987 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 100,391 · -24.8%
- By 2075
- 78,063 · -41.5%
- By 2100
- 62,346 · -53.3%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+8.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $199,900 GSMLS
- 2026-04-18 Relisted — GSMLS
- 2026-03-18 Delisted — GSMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $184,000 GSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…