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200 State Rt 94 #249
D Composite 40.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$194,900

200 State Rt 94 #249 · Vernon, NJ 07462-3323
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 691 sqft · Condo · 122 Days on market
Built 2003 Good condition $735/mo HOA · 32% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Hot tub
  • Access to amenities

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYHEATED OUTDOOR POOLHOT TUBFITNESS CENTERACCESS TO AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-261 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (19.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Vernon Township School District (rural): math 18% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #294 of 472 in NJ (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 184 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sussex County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Recommended offer $157,069 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.75%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$7,314
Equity at exit
$87,635
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$50,071
Equity at exit
$135,057

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07462-3323

Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,304 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,924/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$735
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$-261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,635
Max offer price $157,069
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12 Stonehill Dr #1 Vernon, NJ 2.0 1.0 748 $2,100 $2.81 43d 1 0.77mi
7 Theta Dr Apt 311 Vernon Township, NJ 1.0 1.0 715 $2,475 $3.46 43d 1 1.14mi
7 Theta Dr Apt 211 Vernon Township, NJ 1.0 1.0 715 $2,425 $3.39 43d 1 1.14mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$735 · $8,820/yr
Likely covers
watertrashgaselectricinternetsnow removalexterior maint.poolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $194,900 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $194,900 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,900 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $194,900 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $194,900 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $194,900 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $194,900 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,900 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,900 Active 112 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $194,900 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $194,900 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,900 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,900 Active 106 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 105 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,900 Active 104 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $194,900 Active 103 DOM
  17. 2026-04-18
    price $199,900 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.

  18. 2026-04-18
    status Active 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.

  19. 2026-03-18
    historical 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.

  20. 2026-01-16
    listed $184,000 Active 1333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1333 chars)

    Welcome to The Appalachian Hotel your perfect mountain getaway in the heart of Vernon, NJ! This beautifully appointed condo offers a blend of comfort, convenience, and year-round enjoyment, making it an excellent retreat or investment opportunity. Fully furnished for a seamless move-in experience, this inviting oversized unit features a well-designed living area with a sleeper sofa, flat-screen TV, and a cozy gas fireplace perfect for unwinding after a day on the slopes or trails. The kitchen is equipped with a fridge, microwave, and cooktop, providing everything you need for easy meal prep. Step onto your private balcony to relax and enjoy the fresh air. As an owner, you'll enjoy access to top-tier amenities, including a heated outdoor pool, hot tub, and fitness center. Located at the base of Mountain Creek Ski Resort, adventure awaits, whether it's skiing, snowboarding, hiking, or mountain biking. Plus, you're just a short drive from Crystal Springs Resort, offering golf, spas, and fine dining. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of paradise at The Appalachian Hotel! HOA Fee Includes: Electric, Common Area Maintenance, Exterior Maintenance, Snow Removal, Trash Collection, Water Fees, TV & Internet. Added Bonus. As part of the sale, the seller has paid for the 1st phase of the proposed construction.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,653
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$2,924
− Insurance
−$974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,212
− Management
−$2,212
− HOA
−$8,820
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable loss
−$6,077
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,458
After-tax cash flow
$-1,679/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This fully furnished and well-maintained condo is ready for immediate occupancy and offers a perfect mountain getaway.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing furniture in living room — Optimizes space and enhances comfort
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing furniture in living room — Optimizes space and enhances comfort
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Township School District
NCES district ID
3416710
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$84,455
Composite
30.63/100
National rank
#6188
State rank
#294 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Vernon

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Vernon Center, NJ

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,413 people
By 2030
127,324 · -4.6%
By 2040
113,987 · -14.6%
By 2050
100,391 · -24.8%
By 2075
78,063 · -41.5%
By 2100
62,346 · -53.3%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $199,900 GSMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Relisted GSMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Delisted GSMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $184,000 GSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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