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16707 Garfield Ave #2008
B Composite 74.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

16707 Garfield Ave #2008 · Paramount, CA 90723
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · Manufactured public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1990 Fair condition Est $230k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WELCOME TO THIS INVITING MOBILE HOME, THIS IS BETTER THAN RENTING. WALK IN TO A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM WITH TILE FLOORING, SPACIOUS DINING AREA WITH BUILT IN DOUBLE SIDED CHINA CABINET. BIG KITCHEN WITH PANTRY. THIS HOME OFFERS 3 LARGE BEDROOMS, 2 BATHS. PRIMARY BEDROOM HAS ONSUIT BATHROOM, VERY LARGE VANITY AREA WITH AMPLE CLOSET SPACE. 2 CAR SPACE CARPORT. SHED TO STORE TOOLS OR PATIO FURNITURE. THE COMMUNITY OFFERS A PLAYGROUND AND POOL. THIS IS A FAMILY MOBILE HOME PARK.

Key facts

  • Pantry
  • Onsuit bathroom
  • Large vanity area

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMTILE FLOORINGBIG KITCHENPANTRYONSUIT BATHROOMLARGE VANITY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private paved road frontage; Directions: North of the 91 FWY, west of Garfield Ave
  • HOA & community: Located in Cherry Field Mobile Home Park; Land lease in park: $1,150 monthly (park-reported); Rent includes water and trash; Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport for 2 cars; Has parking
  • Security: Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public/district water; Sewer or septic (unknown); Natural gas available; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home (model: CAREFREE); Faces north; Raised foundation; No interior steps; Two or more access exits
  • Construction: Composition roof; Raised foundation; Mobile home remains on site; Double body type
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Cabana; Patio; Community pool (fenced); One shed; No landscaping; Street lighting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Tile and Formica counters
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on one level
  • Flooring: Tile; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathtub; Shower in tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace (heating)
  • Interior features: Built-in storage and shelving; Ceiling fan; Pantry; Tile countertops; Formica countertops; Panel doors; Blinds; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,156/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,501 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
17.84%
Cash-on-cash
41.25%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$230,376
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16511 Garfield Unit B4 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-2%) 5mo $250,000 $193 87
16601 Garfield Ave #107 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+2%) 7mo $190,000 $141 80
16601 Garfield #129 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-7%) 6mo $180,000 $146 77
16707 Garfield Ave #1707 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-11%) 8mo $260,000 $221 75
16707 S Garfield, #1703 #1703 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,413 (+7%) 23mo $150,000 $106 70
16600 Orange Ave #129 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-6%) 22mo $217,500 $174 61
16600 Orange Ave Spc 111 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+9%) 16mo $158,000 $110 61
16511 Garfield Ave Unit 62B 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,140 (-14%) 8mo $250,000 $219 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$62,816
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$144,989
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90723

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,156 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $590/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$663
Net cashflow
$1,539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,208
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 902 $2,600 $2.88 24d 1 0.38mi
6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,800 $3.17 3d 1 0.58mi
6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 915 $1,874 $2.05 15d 1 0.63mi
6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,695 $2.45 44d 1 0.68mi
6651 Millmark Ave Long Beach, CA 4.0 2.0 1440 $3,750 $2.60 44d 1 0.96mi
6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,175 $2.49 44d 1 1.01mi
6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA 4.0 3.0 1400 $4,500 $3.21 1d 1 1.03mi
6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA 4.0 2.5 1400 $4,450 $3.18 44d 1 1.03mi
3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $3,234 $3.23 44d 1 1.12mi
15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA 3.0 1.0 1116 $3,095 $2.77 44d 1 1.14mi
6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1095 $2,850 $2.60 13d 1 1.17mi
17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 828 $2,495 $3.01 21d 2 1.32mi
8523 Cedar St Bellflower, CA 2.0 2.0 1175 $3,000 $2.55 6d 1 1.40mi
7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 890 $2,450 $2.75 2d 1 1.40mi
7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA 3.0 1.0 924 $3,200 $3.46 44d 1 1.40mi
15005 Indiana Ave Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 1134 $3,300 $2.91 24d 1 1.45mi
5821 John Ave Long Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,750 $2.34 24d 1 1.48mi
5821 John Ave Long Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,750 $2.34 5d 1 1.48mi
8623 Cedar St Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,195 $2.90 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 478-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $159,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$590 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,215 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$626/yr (+$52/mo · 106.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,873
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$590
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,030
− Management
−$3,030
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$16,816
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,036
After-tax cash flow
$14,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, as well as exterior siding. Painting the interior and replacing the cabinets would significantly enhance its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale replace bathroom cabinets — modernizes the bathroom and adds value
  • Resale repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · moderate wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale replace bathroom cabinets — modernizes the bathroom and adds value
  • Resale repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paramount Unified
NCES district ID
0629850
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,631
Composite
21.25/100
National rank
#8398
State rank
#416 of 517 in CA

Livability — Paramount

Score
64/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#14664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paramount, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
52,050
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,050
Household income
$75,250
Rent vs Own
57.0% rent · 43.0% own
Severe rent burden
2420.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -459.80%
Current HPI
478.1981
Rent YoY
▼ -0.99%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $159,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

+21.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $590 · +21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…