16707 Garfield Ave #2008 · Paramount, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME TO THIS INVITING MOBILE HOME, THIS IS BETTER THAN RENTING. WALK IN TO A SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM WITH TILE FLOORING, SPACIOUS DINING AREA WITH BUILT IN DOUBLE SIDED CHINA CABINET. BIG KITCHEN WITH PANTRY. THIS HOME OFFERS 3 LARGE BEDROOMS, 2 BATHS. PRIMARY BEDROOM HAS ONSUIT BATHROOM, VERY LARGE VANITY AREA WITH AMPLE CLOSET SPACE. 2 CAR SPACE CARPORT. SHED TO STORE TOOLS OR PATIO FURNITURE. THE COMMUNITY OFFERS A PLAYGROUND AND POOL. THIS IS A FAMILY MOBILE HOME PARK.
Key facts
- Pantry
- Onsuit bathroom
- Large vanity area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private paved road frontage; Directions: North of the 91 FWY, west of Garfield Ave
- HOA & community: Located in Cherry Field Mobile Home Park; Land lease in park: $1,150 monthly (park-reported); Rent includes water and trash; Manager approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport for 2 cars; Has parking
- Security: Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public/district water; Sewer or septic (unknown); Natural gas available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (model: CAREFREE); Faces north; Raised foundation; No interior steps; Two or more access exits
- Construction: Composition roof; Raised foundation; Mobile home remains on site; Double body type
- Exterior features: Front porch; Cabana; Patio; Community pool (fenced); One shed; No landscaping; Street lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Tile and Formica counters
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on one level
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathtub; Shower in tub
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace (heating)
- Interior features: Built-in storage and shelving; Ceiling fan; Pantry; Tile countertops; Formica countertops; Panel doors; Blinds; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,156/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.25%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,376
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16511 Garfield Unit B4 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-2%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $193 | 87 |
| 16601 Garfield Ave #107 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $141 | 80 |
| 16601 Garfield #129 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-7%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $146 | 77 |
| 16707 Garfield Ave #1707 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-11%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $221 | 75 |
| 16707 S Garfield, #1703 #1703 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (+7%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $106 | 70 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #129 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 22mo | $217,500 | $174 | 61 |
| 16600 Orange Ave Spc 111 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 16mo | $158,000 | $110 | 61 |
| 16511 Garfield Ave Unit 62B | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,140 (-14%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $219 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $62,816
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $144,989
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90723
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,156 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $590/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$663
- Net cashflow
- $1,539
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,600 | $2.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,800 | $3.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,874 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6651 Millmark Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,750 | $2.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,175 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $4,500 | $3.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6327 California Ave Long Beach, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $4,450 | $3.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,234 | $3.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $3,095 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $2,850 | $2.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,495 | $3.01 | 21d | 2 | 1.32mi |
| 8523 Cedar St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,200 | $3.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 15005 Indiana Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $3,300 | $2.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5821 John Ave Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,750 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5821 John Ave Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,750 | $2.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8623 Cedar St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,195 | $2.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 478-char remark
-
2026-06-02$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $590 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,215 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$626/yr (+$52/mo · 106.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,873
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$590
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,030
- − Management
- −$3,030
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $16,816
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,036
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, as well as exterior siding. Painting the interior and replacing the cabinets would significantly enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the kitchen and adds value
- Resale replace bathroom cabinets — modernizes the bathroom and adds value
- Resale repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · moderate wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale replace bathroom cabinets — modernizes the bathroom and adds value ↑
- Resale repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paramount Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629850
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,631
- Composite
- 21.25/100
- National rank
- #8398
- State rank
- #416 of 517 in CA
Livability — Paramount
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #14664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paramount, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 52,050
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,050
- Household income
- $75,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.80%
- Current HPI
- 478.1981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $159,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+21.5%/yrLatest (2025): $590 · +21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…