Duplex
18 Bellavista Ct · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$890,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL 2 FAMILY MINT CONDITION WITH VZ BRIDGE VIEW. 3 BEDROOMS, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LARGE EIK WITH TILE FLOOR SLIDERS TO DECK, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU- OUT ATTIC, 3 ZONE HEATING, CENTRAL AIR LOCATED ON A PRIVATE CUL DE SAC, SKYLIGHT ON STAIRCASE AND MASTER BATH. CLOSE TO EXPRESS BUS AND MINUTES TO VZ BRIDGE. Level 1: LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, HALF BATH, LARGE EIK WITH SLIDERS. Level 2: MASTER BEDROOM WITH 3/4 BATH, BEDROOM, BEDROOM, MAIN BATH. Level 3: ATTIC Basement: NOT FINISHED WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, LAUNDRY AREA PLUS 1 LEGAL STUDIO APARTMENT.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Large eat-in kitchen
- Easy access to buses
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (no attached garage)
- Utilities: 220-volt electric service
- Home design: 3-story multi-family building; Contains 2 total units; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Property in excellent condition
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Approximate year built
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.08 acre (about 3,542 sq ft); Lot dimensions approximately 22 x 161; Zoned R3-2
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (first level)
- Bathrooms: Total of 4 bathrooms: 1 full, 2 three-quarter, 1 half; Unit 1: 3 baths
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $890k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-509/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $710k (20.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $586k (34.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $586k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,860/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1647% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $528k; list at $890k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.90%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $748,512
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191 Roff St | 0.66mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-2%) | 1mo | $550,000 | $339 | 45 |
| 65 Anderson St | 0.48mi | 6/3.0 | 1,592 (-4%) | 12mo | $720,000 | $452 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-181,497
- Equity at exit
- $132,702
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-117,465
- Equity at exit
- $76,951
Cash invested: $249,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10305
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 25.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,860 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,667
- Tax from tax record
- −$609 /mo · $7,303/yr
- Insurance
- −$371
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,231
- Net cashflow
- $-1,017
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2.5 | $5,860 |
| #1 | 2 | 2.5 | $2,930 |
| #2 | 2 | 2.5 | $2,930 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,860 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $222,500
- Closing costs
- $26,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-15status $890,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $890,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $890,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $890,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $890,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $890,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $890,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $890,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $890,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$890,000 Active
-
2007-07-11soldstatus $528,000
-
2007-06-19soldstatus $510,000 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 2 FAMILY MINT CONDITION WITH VZ BRIDGE VIEW. 3 BEDROOMS, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LARGE EIK WITH TILE FLOOR SLIDERS TO DECK, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU- OUT ATTIC, 3 ZONE HEATING, CENTRAL AIR LOCATED ON A PRIVATE CUL DE SAC, SKYLIGHT ON STAIRCASE AND MASTER BATH. CLOSE TO EXPRESS BUS AND MINUTES TO VZ BRIDGE. Level 1: LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, HALF BATH, LARGE EIK WITH SLIDERS. Level 2: MASTER BEDROOM WITH 3/4 BATH, BEDROOM, BEDROOM, MAIN BATH. Level 3: ATTIC Basement: NOT FINISHED WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, LAUNDRY AREA PLUS 1 LEGAL STUDIO APARTMENT.
-
2007-02-26$549,000 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 2 FAMILY MINT CONDITION WITH VZ BRIDGE VIEW. 3 BEDROOMS, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LARGE EIK WITH TILE FLOOR SLIDERS TO DECK, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU- OUT ATTIC, 3 ZONE HEATING, CENTRAL AIR LOCATED ON A PRIVATE CUL DE SAC, SKYLIGHT ON STAIRCASE AND MASTER BATH. CLOSE TO EXPRESS BUS AND MINUTES TO VZ BRIDGE. Level 1: LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, HALF BATH, LARGE EIK WITH SLIDERS. Level 2: MASTER BEDROOM WITH 3/4 BATH, BEDROOM, BEDROOM, MAIN BATH. Level 3: ATTIC Basement: NOT FINISHED WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, LAUNDRY AREA PLUS 1 LEGAL STUDIO APARTMENT.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,303 · $609/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,172 · $931/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,869/yr (+$322/mo · 53.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $70,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$49,854
- − Property taxes
- −$7,303
- − Insurance
- −$4,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,626
- − Management
- −$5,626
- − Depreciation
- −$25,891
- Taxable loss
- −$28,429
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,823
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond County · 404,174 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,270
- Household income
- $83,413
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1647.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Asian 21% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · China, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Chinese 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -487.06%
- Current HPI
- 342.7938
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.50%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+62.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $890,000 SIBORMLS
- 2007-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $528,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-19 Sold (MLS) $510,000 SIBORMLS
- 2007-02-26 Listed $549,000 SIBORMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,303 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…