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18 Bellavista Ct Duplex
F Composite 26.76
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$890,000

18 Bellavista Ct · New York, NY 10305
6 bd · 8.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1998 3,542 sqft lot Est $749k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL 2 FAMILY MINT CONDITION WITH VZ BRIDGE VIEW. 3 BEDROOMS, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LARGE EIK WITH TILE FLOOR SLIDERS TO DECK, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU- OUT ATTIC, 3 ZONE HEATING, CENTRAL AIR LOCATED ON A PRIVATE CUL DE SAC, SKYLIGHT ON STAIRCASE AND MASTER BATH. CLOSE TO EXPRESS BUS AND MINUTES TO VZ BRIDGE. Level 1: LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, HALF BATH, LARGE EIK WITH SLIDERS. Level 2: MASTER BEDROOM WITH 3/4 BATH, BEDROOM, BEDROOM, MAIN BATH. Level 3: ATTIC Basement: NOT FINISHED WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, LAUNDRY AREA PLUS 1 LEGAL STUDIO APARTMENT.

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Easy access to buses

Tags

LEGAL TWO-FAMILY HOMEPEACEFUL CUL-DE-SACEASY ACCESS TO BUSESLARGE EAT-IN KITCHENPRIVATE DECKAMPLE CLOSET SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking (no attached garage)
  • Utilities: 220-volt electric service
  • Home design: 3-story multi-family building; Contains 2 total units; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Property in excellent condition
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Approximate year built
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.08 acre (about 3,542 sq ft); Lot dimensions approximately 22 x 161; Zoned R3-2

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (first level)
  • Bathrooms: Total of 4 bathrooms: 1 full, 2 three-quarter, 1 half; Unit 1: 3 baths
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $890k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-509/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $710k (20.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $586k (34.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $586k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,860/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1647% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $528k; list at $890k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $586,000 (34.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.90%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$748,512
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
191 Roff St 0.66mi 5/4.0 (-1) 1,624 (-2%) 1mo $550,000 $339 45
65 Anderson St 0.48mi 6/3.0 1,592 (-4%) 12mo $720,000 $452 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.2%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-181,497
Equity at exit
$132,702
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-117,465
Equity at exit
$76,951

Cash invested: $249,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10305

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
25.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,667
Tax from tax record
$609 /mo · $7,303/yr
Insurance
$371
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,231
Net cashflow
$-1,017

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,148
Max offer price $710,290
Occupancy floor

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,860

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$222,500
Closing costs
$26,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $890,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $890,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $890,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $890,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $890,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $890,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $890,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $890,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $890,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-05-26
    listed $890,000 Active
  11. 2007-07-11
    soldstatus $528,000
  12. 2007-06-19
    soldstatus $510,000 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 FAMILY MINT CONDITION WITH VZ BRIDGE VIEW. 3 BEDROOMS, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LARGE EIK WITH TILE FLOOR SLIDERS TO DECK, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU- OUT ATTIC, 3 ZONE HEATING, CENTRAL AIR LOCATED ON A PRIVATE CUL DE SAC, SKYLIGHT ON STAIRCASE AND MASTER BATH. CLOSE TO EXPRESS BUS AND MINUTES TO VZ BRIDGE. Level 1: LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, HALF BATH, LARGE EIK WITH SLIDERS. Level 2: MASTER BEDROOM WITH 3/4 BATH, BEDROOM, BEDROOM, MAIN BATH. Level 3: ATTIC Basement: NOT FINISHED WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, LAUNDRY AREA PLUS 1 LEGAL STUDIO APARTMENT.

  13. 2007-02-26
    listed $549,000 557-char remark
    Show marketing remark (557 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 FAMILY MINT CONDITION WITH VZ BRIDGE VIEW. 3 BEDROOMS, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, LARGE EIK WITH TILE FLOOR SLIDERS TO DECK, HARDWOOD FLOORS THRU- OUT ATTIC, 3 ZONE HEATING, CENTRAL AIR LOCATED ON A PRIVATE CUL DE SAC, SKYLIGHT ON STAIRCASE AND MASTER BATH. CLOSE TO EXPRESS BUS AND MINUTES TO VZ BRIDGE. Level 1: LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, HALF BATH, LARGE EIK WITH SLIDERS. Level 2: MASTER BEDROOM WITH 3/4 BATH, BEDROOM, BEDROOM, MAIN BATH. Level 3: ATTIC Basement: NOT FINISHED WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, LAUNDRY AREA PLUS 1 LEGAL STUDIO APARTMENT.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,303 · $609/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,172 · $931/mo
Expected delta
+$3,869/yr (+$322/mo · 53.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,320
− Mortgage interest
−$49,854
− Property taxes
−$7,303
− Insurance
−$4,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,626
− Management
−$5,626
− Depreciation
−$25,891
Taxable loss
−$28,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,823
After-tax cash flow
$-5,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Richmond County · 404,174 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
41,270
Household income
$83,413
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
1647.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
482,784 people
By 2030
481,831 · -0.2%
By 2040
473,159 · -2.0%
By 2050
457,242 · -5.3%
By 2075
408,029 · -15.5%
By 2100
341,459 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Asian 21% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
36% · China, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
52% English-only · Chinese 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -487.06%
Current HPI
342.7938
Rent YoY
▲ 7.50%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $890,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2007-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $528,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-19 Sold (MLS) $510,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2007-02-26 Listed $549,000 SIBORMLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,303 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…