333 Circlewood Dr · Paradise, CA 95969

$309,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,003 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market

Built 2026 0.63 ac lot $154/sqft · 48% below area Est $442k · 30% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +6.9/30.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.8/10.0
• DSCR +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

Key facts

• New construction
• Modern design
• High ceilings

Tags

• NEW CONSTRUCTION
• HIGH CEILINGS
• MODERN DESIGN
• EXPANSIVE LIVING SPACE
• SPACIOUS FAMILY ROOM
• SEPARATE LIVING ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $309k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (21.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (31.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $211k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.6% in Paradise — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#541 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A-, housing B+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 481 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $38k; list at $309k implies a 713% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $211,027 (31.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.68% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.47%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.50%
• DSCR: 0.71
• GRM: 12.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $441,540
• List price: $309,000
• Delta: -30.02%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
340 Circlewood Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0	1,825 (-9%)	11mo	$580,000	$318	70
378 Circlewood Dr	0.12mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,889 (-6%)	12mo	$515,000	$273	68
5594 Little Grand Canyon Dr	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,823 (-9%)	3mo	$512,000	$281	62
5454 Princeton	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,829 (-9%)	4mo	$465,000	$254	62
5575 Sierra Park Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0	2,014 (+0%)	6mo	$505,000	$251	58
5301 Foster Rd	0.53mi	3/2.5	2,160 (+8%)	6mo	$495,000	$229	57
5363 Foster Rd	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,863 (-7%)	7mo	$465,000	$250	54
5182 Foster Rd	0.59mi	3/2.0	2,100 (+5%)	13mo	$360,000	$171	52
5585 Schmale Ln	0.37mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,208 (+10%)	9mo	$618,000	$280	51
270 Dove Song Ct	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,826 (-9%)	9mo	$609,500	$334	47
574 Hillcrest Dr	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,775 (-11%)	11mo	$499,000	$281	47
5660 Indian Rock	0.62mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,225 (+11%)	3mo	$655,000	$294	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.16×
• Total profit: $-72,470
• Equity at exit: $46,073

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.20×
• Total profit: $-68,850
• Equity at exit: $26,717

Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95969

• Rents YoY: 6.4%
• Active inventory: 481
• Price-to-rent: 12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,110 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,620
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$386 /mo · $4,635/yr
• Insurance: −$129
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $-468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,703

Max offer price $241,234

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $77,250
• Closing costs: $9,270
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
220 Berry Creek Dr Paradise, CA	3.0	2.0	1600	$2,095	$1.31	43d	1	0.97mi
5946 Wagon Wheel Way Paradise, CA	3.0	2.5	1744	$2,500	$1.43	43d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 39 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $309,000 Active 119 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $309,000 Active 118 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $309,000 Active 117 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $309,000 Active 116 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $309,000 Active 115 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $309,000 Active 113 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $309,000 Active 112 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $319,000 Active 110 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   pricedays on market $319,000 Active 109 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,990 Active 108 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,990 Active 107 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $329,990 Active 104 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,990 Active 103 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,990 Active 102 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,990 Active 101 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,990 Active 100 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,990 Active 99 DOM
18. 2026-04-15
    price $335,000 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

19. 2026-04-15
    price $335,000 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

20. 2026-03-25
    status Active 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

21. 2026-03-24
    status Active 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

22. 2026-03-21
    status Pending 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

23. 2026-03-20
    historical Contingent 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

24. 2026-02-20
    listed $339,000 Active 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

25. 2026-02-20
    listed $339,000 Active 1280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1280 chars)

    Step into this exceptional new construction manufactured home, perfectly situated in the most coveted neighborhood of Paradise. From the moment you enter, youre greeted by high ceilings and a thoughtfully curated modern design that blends elegance with everyday livability. Sunlight pours through the home, illuminating the expansive living space, with beautiful views from the windows. Whether youre hosting guests in the sophisticated living room or unwinding in the inviting family room, every space is both elevated and welcoming. The homes layout is as functional as it is beautiful, featuring both a spacious family room and a separate living room, along with a well-designed mudroom that keeps everyday life effortlessly organized. Every room includes ceiling fan prewiring for added comfort and efficiency, while thoughtfully integrated green features enhance sustainability and modern living. Imagine cozy evenings in the family room, where soft lighting and sweeping views create the perfect backdrop for relaxation. The backyard invites you to create your own private escape: picture warm, magical evenings under the open sky, a gentle breeze in the air, and the glow of sunset painting the horizon as you dine, entertain, or simply unwind. Don't wait to make it yours!

26. 2025-04-14
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed Sale 666-char remark

    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    ACTIVE PID ACCOUNT AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE CERT ON FILE. Welcome to your future home site in Paradise! This spacious 0.63 acre "lower Paradise" lot is situated up high, offering an ideal blend of privacy and potential. The owner maintains an active account with PID, ensuring your utilities are easily accessible. The lot comes with fencing in tact, brand new wood fence in the rear of lot, and a septic system is already in place, saving you time and hassle. Surrounded by beautiful new homes, this parcel is ready and waiting for a new owner to build their dream residence. Don't miss this opportunity to create your perfect retreat in a thriving community!

27. 2025-03-14
    status Pending Sale 666-char remark

    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    ACTIVE PID ACCOUNT AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE CERT ON FILE. Welcome to your future home site in Paradise! This spacious 0.63 acre "lower Paradise" lot is situated up high, offering an ideal blend of privacy and potential. The owner maintains an active account with PID, ensuring your utilities are easily accessible. The lot comes with fencing in tact, brand new wood fence in the rear of lot, and a septic system is already in place, saving you time and hassle. Surrounded by beautiful new homes, this parcel is ready and waiting for a new owner to build their dream residence. Don't miss this opportunity to create your perfect retreat in a thriving community!

28. 2025-01-30
    price $46,000 666-char remark

    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    ACTIVE PID ACCOUNT AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE CERT ON FILE. Welcome to your future home site in Paradise! This spacious 0.63 acre "lower Paradise" lot is situated up high, offering an ideal blend of privacy and potential. The owner maintains an active account with PID, ensuring your utilities are easily accessible. The lot comes with fencing in tact, brand new wood fence in the rear of lot, and a septic system is already in place, saving you time and hassle. Surrounded by beautiful new homes, this parcel is ready and waiting for a new owner to build their dream residence. Don't miss this opportunity to create your perfect retreat in a thriving community!

29. 2024-10-04
    price $48,000 666-char remark

    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    ACTIVE PID ACCOUNT AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE CERT ON FILE. Welcome to your future home site in Paradise! This spacious 0.63 acre "lower Paradise" lot is situated up high, offering an ideal blend of privacy and potential. The owner maintains an active account with PID, ensuring your utilities are easily accessible. The lot comes with fencing in tact, brand new wood fence in the rear of lot, and a septic system is already in place, saving you time and hassle. Surrounded by beautiful new homes, this parcel is ready and waiting for a new owner to build their dream residence. Don't miss this opportunity to create your perfect retreat in a thriving community!

30. 2024-08-29
    price $50,000 666-char remark

    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    ACTIVE PID ACCOUNT AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE CERT ON FILE. Welcome to your future home site in Paradise! This spacious 0.63 acre "lower Paradise" lot is situated up high, offering an ideal blend of privacy and potential. The owner maintains an active account with PID, ensuring your utilities are easily accessible. The lot comes with fencing in tact, brand new wood fence in the rear of lot, and a septic system is already in place, saving you time and hassle. Surrounded by beautiful new homes, this parcel is ready and waiting for a new owner to build their dream residence. Don't miss this opportunity to create your perfect retreat in a thriving community!

31. 2024-08-12
    listed $55,000 Active 666-char remark

    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    ACTIVE PID ACCOUNT AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE CERT ON FILE. Welcome to your future home site in Paradise! This spacious 0.63 acre "lower Paradise" lot is situated up high, offering an ideal blend of privacy and potential. The owner maintains an active account with PID, ensuring your utilities are easily accessible. The lot comes with fencing in tact, brand new wood fence in the rear of lot, and a septic system is already in place, saving you time and hassle. Surrounded by beautiful new homes, this parcel is ready and waiting for a new owner to build their dream residence. Don't miss this opportunity to create your perfect retreat in a thriving community!

32. 2013-11-26
    soldstatus $272,000
33. 2013-11-25
    soldstatus $272,000 Closed
34. 2013-10-17
    status Pending
35. 2013-09-24
    price $285,000
36. 2013-07-30
    price $289,995
37. 2013-07-11
    listed $299,995 Active
38. 1994-10-20
    soldstatus $172,500
39. 1994-03-24
    soldstatus $171,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,323
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,309
• − Property taxes: −$4,635
• − Insurance: −$1,545
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,026
• − Management: −$2,026
• − Depreciation: −$8,989
• Taxable loss: −$11,206
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,690
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Paradise

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #541
• US rank: #18039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B Employment C- Housing B+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Paradise, CA
• County: Butte County · 175,030 people
• City population: 8,339
• Metro: Chico, CA
• Population (ZIP): 8,339
• Household income: $69,067
• Rent vs Own: 23.3% rent · 76.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 218.0

Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 237,527 people
• By 2030: 243,804 · +2.6%
• By 2040: 253,899 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 262,561 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 283,709 · +19.4%
• By 2100: 282,689 · +19.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butte

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -410.40%
• Current HPI: 102.8367
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.37%
• Metro: Chico, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+95.9% since first listed

22 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $335,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $335,000 MLSListings
• 2026-03-25 Relisted — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
• 2026-03-24 Relisted — MLSListings
• 2026-03-21 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
• 2026-03-20 Contingent — MLSListings
• 2026-02-20 Listed $339,000 MLSListings
• 2026-02-20 Listed $339,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
• 2025-04-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 CRMLS
• 2025-03-14 Pending — CRMLS
• 2025-01-30 Price Changed $46,000 CRMLS
• 2024-10-04 Price Changed $48,000 CRMLS
• 2024-08-29 Price Changed $50,000 CRMLS
• 2024-08-12 Listed $55,000 CRMLS
• 2013-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $272,000 Public Records
• 2013-11-25 Sold (MLS) $272,000 CRMLS
• 2013-10-17 Pending — CRMLS
• 2013-09-24 Price Changed $285,000 CRMLS
• 2013-07-30 Price Changed $289,995 CRMLS
• 2013-07-11 Listed $299,995 CRMLS
• 1994-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $172,500 Public Records
• 1994-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $171,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $473 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.