3277 Fox Chase Cir N #105 · Palm Harbor, FL 34683

$198,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo public records · 169 Days on market

Built 1985 $385/mo HOA · 20% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.4/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Amenities galore in this well-maintained FIRST FLOOR condo located inside the desirable gated community of Fox Chase. Fully furnished and stocked if the buyer wishes, this home is truly move-in ready and perfect for seasonal or full-time living. Featuring two spacious bedrooms, each with its own ensuite bathroom and large walk-in closet, this SPLIT FLOORPLAN offers comfort, privacy, and excellent functionality. The higher ceilings, crown molding, dedicated dining room, and bright sunroom add charm and livability, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere from the moment you walk in. Centrally located within the community, the unit offers peaceful surrou

Key facts

• Gated community
• Higher ceilings
• Split floorplan

Tags

• FIRST FLOOR CONDO
• GATED COMMUNITY
• MOVE IN READY
• SPLIT FLOORPLAN
• HIGHER CEILINGS
• CROWN MOLDING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: No home warranty; No lease restrictions indicated
• Financial info: Total annual fees reported as $4,620; Furnished
• HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $385 (includes pool, maintenance - structure & grounds, management, pest control, private road, recreational facilities, security, trash, water, and escrow reserves fund); Association required; Ameritech management listed; Full-time community management; Pets allowed (max ~100 lbs)

Exterior

• Parking: Gated community (implies controlled access)
• Security: Security gate
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Underground utilities
• Home design: Residential condominium; One-level unit (floor 1); Southeast facing; Completed condition; Accessible doors
• Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-story building (2 stories total)
• Exterior features: Enclosed patio / rear porch; Gray water system; In-ground pool with lighting; Mature landscaping and trees; Paved road access; Street lights in community

Interior

• Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Refrigerator; Outdoor kitchen (exterior feature noted)
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Living room/dining room combo; Solid wood cabinets; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments (blinds, drapes); Smoke detector(s)
• Laundry & utility: Inside laundry (washer and dryer included)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $198k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-254/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (1.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (3.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $174k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Palm Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#95 in FL, #1,470 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Sutherland Elementary School (math 78% / reading 68%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 627 students, 42% FRL); Palm Harbor University High (math 54% / reading 72%, grade B-, #89 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,474 students, 26% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pinellas average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.3%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $78k; list at $198k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $174,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.16%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.46%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.30×
• Total profit: $-38,930
• Equity at exit: $29,522

10-year hold

• IRR: -24.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.03×
• Total profit: $-56,851
• Equity at exit: $17,119

Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34683

• Rents YoY: -4.3%
• Active inventory: 387
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,921 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,038
• Tax from tax record: −$33 /mo · $396/yr
• Insurance: −$82
• HOA: −$385
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$403
• Net cashflow: $-21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,948

Max offer price $194,258

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $91	-5% $35	+0% $-21	+5% $-304	+10% $-372
Rent	-10% $-173	-5% $-97	+0% $-21	+5% $55	+10% $131
Rate	-1.0pp $79	-0.5pp $29	base $-21	+0.5pp $-72	+1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,500
• Closing costs: $5,940
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3277 Fox Chase Cir N #211 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	825	$1,495	$1.81	24d	1	0.02mi
3295 Fox Chase Cir N #105 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	614	$1,850	$3.01	24d	1	0.05mi
3300 Fox Chase Cir N Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	906	$2,125	$2.35	2d	2	0.10mi
35820 U.S. 19 Unit A2 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	740	$1,884	$2.55	5d	1	0.15mi
35820 U.S. 19 Unit B1 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1116	$2,245	$2.01	5d	1	0.15mi
36090 US Highway 19 N Palm Harbor, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1046	$2,557	$2.44	3d	66	0.16mi
3121 Beecher Dr E Unit A Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	976	$2,100	$2.15	8d	1	0.25mi
72 Lake Shore Dr Palm Harbor, FL	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,800	$1.64	18d	1	0.40mi
2400 Clubside Ct Palm Harbor, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1129	$1,940	$1.72	2d	39	0.40mi
2945 Grovewood Blvd Unit A Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1030	$1,775	$1.72	18d	1	0.41mi
2130 Bancroft Pl Unit E Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1030	$1,850	$1.80	3d	1	0.42mi
2130 Bancroft Pl Unit E Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1030	$1,860	$1.81	8d	1	0.42mi
2199 Chianti Pl Unit 9-0923 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1030	$2,300	$2.23	24d	1	0.44mi
65 Lake Shore Dr Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	1.0	868	$1,700	$1.96	18d	1	0.46mi
36750 US-19 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	610	$1,875	$3.07	8d	1	0.46mi
2151 Chianti Pl Unit 127 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1085	$1,700	$1.57	24d	1	0.46mi
2139 Chianti Pl Unit 154 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	830	$1,700	$2.05	24d	1	0.46mi
36750 US Highway 19 N Unit 19-115 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	825	$2,150	$2.61	4d	1	0.49mi
2141 Portofino Pl Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	700	$1,510	$2.16	24d	2	0.52mi
2218 Portofino Pl #247 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.5	1050	$1,895	$1.80	18d	1	0.56mi
47 Delaware Ct #10 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1008	$1,800	$1.79	20d	1	0.57mi
2176 Portofino Pl Unit 26-026 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	830	$1,600	$1.93	24d	1	0.57mi
2171 Portofino Pl #2727 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	700	$1,550	$2.21	24d	1	0.60mi
2107 Portofino Pl Unit 30-302 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1034	$2,500	$2.42	8d	1	0.64mi
2107 Portofino Pl Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1055	$2,250	$2.13	4d	2	0.64mi
245 Lake Tarpon Dr Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,995	$2.00	2d	1	0.67mi
36750 US Highway 19 N Unit 6109 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	825	$1,975	$2.39	24d	1	0.68mi
274 Beach Ct #42 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1056	$1,600	$1.52	24d	1	0.80mi
36750 US Hwy 19 N Unit 11-210 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	825	$1,800	$2.18	4d	1	0.97mi
2350 Cypress Pond Rd Palm Harbor, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	790	$1,670	$2.11	2d	54	0.98mi
2571 Cyprus Dr Unit 1-101 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	755	$1,900	$2.52	22d	1	0.98mi
2587 Cyprus Dr Unit 3-214 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	825	$2,000	$2.42	24d	1	0.98mi
2571 Cyprus Dr Unit 1-202 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	975	$2,800	$2.87	24d	1	0.98mi
36750 US Hwy 19 N #2328 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	530	$1,550	$2.92	24d	1	1.04mi
36750 US Highway 19 N #2074 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	700	$1,900	$2.71	24d	1	1.04mi
605 Lennox Rd W Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1050	$1,950	$1.86	3d	1	1.04mi
2575 Pine Ridge Way S Unit A2 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1104	$1,590	$1.44	24d	1	1.16mi
2523 Pine Ridge Way S Unit C2 Palm Harbor, FL	2.0	2.0	1038	$1,750	$1.69	24d	1	1.16mi
36750 US Hwy 19 N Unit 14-211 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	825	$3,500	$4.24	4d	1	1.18mi
36750 US Hwy 19 N Unit 9-303 Palm Harbor, FL	1.0	1.0	825	$2,000	$2.42	2d	1	1.23mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $385 · $4,620/yr
• Likely covers: security
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-18
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-24
   price $198,000
3. 2026-01-16
   price $209,000
4. 2025-11-30
   listed $219,000 Active
5. 2003-06-04
   soldstatus $77,500
6. 1999-04-26
   soldstatus $45,000
7. 1985-10-01
   soldstatus $48,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $396 · $33/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,643 · $137/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,247/yr (+$104/mo · 314.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,053
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,091
• − Property taxes: −$396
• − Insurance: −$990
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,844
• − Management: −$1,844
• − HOA: −$4,620
• − Depreciation: −$5,760
• Taxable loss: −$3,493
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$838
• After-tax cash flow: $584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinellas
• NCES district ID: 1201560
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,270
• Composite: 43.27/100
• National rank: #3046
• State rank: #31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Harbor

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #95
• US rank: #1470

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living B Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Palm Harbor, FL
• County: Pinellas County · 939,478 people
• City population: 79,072
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,911
• Household income: $92,885
• Rent vs Own: 18.6% rent · 81.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 919.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,027,532 people
• By 2030: 1,063,586 · +3.5%
• By 2040: 1,125,020 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 1,168,637 · +13.7%
• By 2075: 1,265,188 · +23.1%
• By 2100: 1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -295.95%
• Current HPI: 314.8777
• Rent YoY: ▼ -4.33%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+307.4% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-24 Price Changed $198,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-16 Price Changed $209,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-30 Listed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2003-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
• 1999-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 1985-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $396 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.