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181 River St
B Composite 71.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

181 River St · Madison, OH 44057
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,732 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1900 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step back in time and imagine the possibilities with this classic Madison century home, ideally located just moments from Madison's charming village square. Rich with character and architectural details from a bygone era, this spacious home features high ceilings, generously sized rooms, and the timeless craftsmanship that makes historic homes so special. The large kitchen offers abundant space for gathering and entertaining, while the expansive yard provides room for gardening, recreation, or future outdoor living spaces. Enjoy being within close proximity to Madison Square's local shops, restaurants, seasonal events, and community activities. This home is ready for a new owner with vision

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Large wooded lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

LARGE WOODED LOTREMODELED KITCHENDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 4 spaces; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public power available
  • Home design: Two-story home; Aluminum siding exterior; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Aluminum siding construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Half-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Additional kitchen area
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the second floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood and wood flooring in multiple rooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Hot water heating; Steam heating
  • Interior features: Basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Utility room on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 5.5% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in OH, #3,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #308 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $107,365 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
13.31%
Cash-on-cash
25.06%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$23,010
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.38×
Total profit
$72,640
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44057

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,873 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$226 /mo · $2,706/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$637

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,066
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-15
    listed $109,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,706 · $226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,706 · $226/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,478
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$2,706
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,798
− Management
−$1,798
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$6,354
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,525
After-tax cash flow
$6,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison Local
NCES district ID
3904788
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,608
Composite
49.99/100
National rank
#1924
State rank
#308 of 656 in OH

Livability — Madison

Score
75/100
State rank
#250
US rank
#3982

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, OH
County
Lake · 224,932 people
City population
19,491
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,491
Household income
$70,212
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
8.5

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,022 people
By 2030
228,151 · -0.8%
By 2040
221,018 · -3.9%
By 2050
212,754 · -7.5%
By 2075
200,309 · -12.9%
By 2100
183,315 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.42%
Current HPI
187.8978
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $109,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,706 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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