🌊 Lakefront
9902 Jamacha Blvd #165 · La Presa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Ceiling fans
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer to verify assessments
- Financial info: Monthly land lease amount: $1,028
- HOA & community: Land lease in place; Located in Lakeview Manor Mobile Lodge; Community park
Exterior
- Parking: Covered attached carport with space for 2 vehicles; Has parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Double-wide mobile home; Single-story; Entry at street level on Jamacha Blvd.
- Construction: Built by Fleetwood Enterprises; Mobile home dimensions approximately 20' x 52'
- Exterior features: Community pool; Back yard; One shed on the property
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level entry; Entry located on Jamacha Blvd.; One story; Community pool; Back yard; Mobile home remains; Has view; Park within the community
- Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
- Recommended offer: $251k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.0% in La Presa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#571 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment B, housing B; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, crime F.
- La Mesa-Spring Valley (suburban): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 158 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $255k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.39%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,280
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9902 Jamacha Blvd #133 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,057 (+3%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $222 | 94 |
| 9902 JAMACHA Blvd #78 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-6%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $203 | 84 |
| 9902 Jamacha Blvd Spc 83 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 944 (-8%) | 16mo | $270,000 | $286 | 69 |
| 9902 Jamacha Blvd #58 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-6%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $240 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,367
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $13,717
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91977
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,659 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9827 San Diego St Unit 1465009P Spring Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1232 | $8,412 | $6.83 | 7d | 2 | 0.17mi |
| 832 Grand Ave Unit 832-D Spring Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,975 | $2.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 840 Grand Ave Unit 4 Spring Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,950 | $2.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 911 Concepcion Ave Spring Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $3,300 | $2.64 | 11d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 937 Felicita Ave Spring Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,800 | $2.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9211 Amys St Spring Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 805 | $1,745 | $2.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1624 Canyon Rd Spring Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,355 | $2.94 | 1d | 4 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $255,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $255,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $255,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $255,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-22$255,000 Active
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2026-02-23historical
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2025-08-08price $279,300
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2025-06-04$300,000 Active
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2016-01-28soldstatus $70,000 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2016-01-28soldstatus $70,000 Sold 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2015-12-03status Pending 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2015-10-29status Active 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2015-10-14status Pending 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2015-08-04$80,000 Active 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2015-08-04$80,000 620-char remark
Show marketing remark (620 chars)
Beautiful 3BR/2BA manufactured home in all-age community. Space rent is only $680! Home includes all appliances in kitchen, dual pane windows, shed, central AC, laundry room, 3 Car Carport, back yard… Community is centrally located to all that San Diego has to offer and has many amenities like Pool, Basketball/Barbecue area, laundry facilities and a large Club House with kitchen! If you’re looking for an economical, nice, comfortable home, this home is for you! Neighborhoods: Spring Valley Complex Features: , ,, ,, , Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2015-08-01historical
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2015-07-31historical
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2015-06-19status Active
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2015-06-12status Pending
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2015-02-05$80,000 Active
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2015-02-05$80,000
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2014-12-31historical
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2014-11-15historical
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2014-08-21price $75,000
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2014-08-06price $75,000
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2014-03-25$85,000 Active
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2014-03-14$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,938 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- +$765/yr (+$64/mo · 65.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$1,173
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,552
- − Management
- −$2,552
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable income
- $2,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$636
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Mesa-Spring Valley
- NCES district ID
- 0620250
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,742
- Composite
- 43.53/100
- National rank
- #6442
- State rank
- #478 of 1400 in CA
Livability — La Presa
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #571
- US rank
- #18714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Presa, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 62,957
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,064
- Household income
- $99,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2007.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 29% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 32% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -697.99%
- Current HPI
- 381.66
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.88%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $255,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $279,300 CRMLS
- 2025-06-04 Listed $300,000 CRMLS
- 2016-01-28 Sold (MLS) $70,000 SDMLS
- 2016-01-28 Sold (MLS) $70,000 CRMLS
- 2015-12-03 Pending — SDMLS
- 2015-10-29 Relisted — SDMLS
- 2015-10-14 Pending — SDMLS
- 2015-08-04 Listed $80,000 SDMLS
- 2015-08-04 Listed $80,000 CRMLS
- 2015-08-01 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-07-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-06-19 Relisted — SDMLS
- 2015-06-12 Pending — SDMLS
- 2015-02-05 Listed $80,000 CRMLS
- 2015-02-05 Listed $80,000 SDMLS
- 2014-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2014-11-15 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2014-08-21 Price Changed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2014-08-06 Price Changed $75,000 SDMLS
- 2014-03-25 Listed $85,000 SDMLS
- 2014-03-14 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2013): $1,173 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…