403 E 6th St · Pawhuska, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$78,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great potential for investors. 2 bed 1 bath close to downtown. To be sold AS-IS. Must have proof of funds or pre-approval.
Key facts
- New exterior paint
- Updated kitchen
- New interior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Basement foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Concrete and gravel driveways; Deck; Chain link fencing; Corner lot with mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first floor); Additional bedroom (first floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Hall full bathroom (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum and wood window frames; Laminate counters; Electric oven and range connections; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Utility room inside (first floor); Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#37 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Pawhuska (town): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #248 of 270 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($543 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $78k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.66%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,908
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 E 11th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,409 (-5%) | 10mo | $15,000 | $11 | 60 |
| 421 E 11th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,680 (+14%) | 5mo | $201,500 | $120 | 50 |
| 912 E 9th St | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,650 (+12%) | 20mo | $85,900 | $52 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $43,033
- Equity at exit
- $47,865
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $109,906
- Equity at exit
- $85,547
Cash invested: $21,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74056
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,067 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$412
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $679/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,625
- Closing costs
- $2,355
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $78,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $78,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 290-char remark
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2026-06-12days on market $78,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,500 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $78,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $78,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,800 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,800 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,800 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,800 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,800 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-11$79,800 Active
-
2025-10-08historical
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2025-08-28status Active
-
2025-08-14status Pending
-
2025-06-16$57,000 Active
-
2020-01-03soldstatus $23,200 Closed 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
Great potential for investors. 2 bed 1 bath close to downtown. To be sold AS-IS. Must have proof of funds or pre-approval.
-
2019-10-18status Pending 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
Great potential for investors. 2 bed 1 bath close to downtown. To be sold AS-IS. Must have proof of funds or pre-approval.
-
2019-10-07$23,200 Active 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
Great potential for investors. 2 bed 1 bath close to downtown. To be sold AS-IS. Must have proof of funds or pre-approval.
-
2009-04-14soldstatus $59,900
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2009-03-10historical
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2008-11-12$59,900
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2008-11-05historical
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2008-05-05$59,900
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2003-09-15soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $706 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$28/yr (+$2/mo · 4.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,397
- − Property taxes
- −$679
- − Insurance
- −$392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,024
- − Management
- −$1,024
- − Depreciation
- −$2,284
- Taxable income
- $3,001
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$720
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pawhuska
- NCES district ID
- 4023580
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,773
- Composite
- 8.98/100
- National rank
- #9883
- State rank
- #248 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pawhuska
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #7514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pawhuska, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,874
Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,950 people
- By 2030
- 48,936 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 47,826 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 45,781 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 41,140 · -16.0%
- By 2100
- 32,796 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Native American 27% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Osage
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Current HPI
- 296.6482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+134.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $79,800 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-08 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-28 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-14 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-06-16 Listed $57,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-01-03 Sold (MLS) $23,200 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-10-18 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-10-07 Listed $23,200 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-04-14 Sold (MLS) $59,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2009-03-10 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-11-12 Listed $59,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-11-05 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2008-05-05 Listed $59,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $679 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…