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2141 E 790 North Rd
C Composite 57.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

2141 E 790 North Rd · Shelbyville, IL 62565
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 704 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 2016 5,954 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

Key facts

  • Double closet space
  • Large garage
  • Garden oasis

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTLARGE GARAGEGARDEN OASISEAT-IN KITCHENDOUBLE CLOSET SPACECONVENIENTLY LOCATED LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Shed(s); Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes living areas and bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric water heater; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Range hood; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($806 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.0% in Shelbyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#355 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Shelbyville CUSD 4 (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #225 of 620 in IL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $75k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $73,776 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.44%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-1,642
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$12,040
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62565

Home prices YoY
-11.6%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$806 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$169
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $597
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $74,900 Active
  4. 2026-03-27
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2025-11-20
    price $74,900
  7. 2025-11-04
    listed $81,900 Active
  8. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $48,500 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

  9. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $48,500
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

  10. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $48,500
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

  11. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $48,500
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

  12. 2020-04-17
    listed $49,900 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

  13. 2020-04-17
    listed $49,900
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    You might be interested! This 1 bedroom, 1 bath home is located in the small rural community of Clarksburg. It is on a double lot with views of the countryside. The great room and kitchen are spacious with stove, refrigerator and dishwasher. The 1 bedroom has a large closet and the bathroom is adjoining. A utility area (washer and dry staying) with lots of storage is central in the home. The home is sitting on a concrete slab with tie downs and is sitting on a block foundation w/foam insulation. Covered front porch for relaxing and sunsets. Vinyl storage shed 12x17 with floor. You should take a look!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,136 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$565/yr (+$47/mo · 98.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,670
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$774
− Management
−$774
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$803
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$193
After-tax cash flow
$1,788/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelbyville CUSD 4
NCES district ID
1736090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$44,461
Composite
28.1/100
National rank
#6827
State rank
#225 of 620 in IL

Livability — Shelbyville

Score
70/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#7321

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
7,422
Population (ZIP)
7,422

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,512 people
By 2030
19,675 · -4.1%
By 2040
17,851 · -13.0%
By 2050
15,973 · -22.1%
By 2075
11,799 · -42.5%
By 2100
8,030 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-40.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.35%
Current HPI
178.3002
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending CIBR
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent CIBR
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $74,900 CIBR
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted CIBR
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent CIBR
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $74,900 CIBR
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $81,900 CIBR
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (MLS) $48,500 CIBR
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (MLS) $48,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-04-17 Listed $49,900 CIBR
  • 2020-04-17 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-5.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $571 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…