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1095-W McCoy Ln #91
C+ Composite 62.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

1095-W McCoy Ln #91 · Santa Maria, CA 93455
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 63 Days on market
Built 2000 Est $104k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A remarkable place to call home! Bonus: LOW Space Rent! Manufactured in 2000, this fabulously maintained home has an updated & spacious interior plus a wonderfully private (+fenced!) backyard. Laundry inside home, 2 full baths and bedrooms. Granite counters, real wood cabinets, ceiling fans and cozy fireplace. Sellers are even including 2 sheds for you! TraileRancho is a 55+ park with heated pool, BBQ's, billiard tables and coffee 7 days a week. Location of this home is all the way at the back...super quiet! (info verified, not guaranteed)

Key facts

  • Built in pool
  • Enclosed backyard
  • Storage sheds

Tags

ENCLOSED BACKYARDLEMON AND AVOCADO TREESTORAGE SHEDSBREAKFAST BARFIREPLACEBUILT IN POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot features: 0-1 unit/acre
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Manager approval required; Land lease of $800 monthly (seller reported)

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Trailer Rancho park
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District / public water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: 1; Mobile home model: Lake Springs; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile width 24 ft by length 52 ft
  • Construction: Year built (public records); Single-story construction
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Yard; Street lighting; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range; Gas oven; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Soaking tub; Shower in tub; Separate shower; Exhaust fan; Bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Open floor plan; East-facing entry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $139k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $130,659 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.33%
Cash-on-cash
35.86%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$103,680
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1095 W Mccoy Ln #5 0.10mi 2/1.5 1,000 (-7%) 13mo $94,050 $94 70
1095 W Mccoy Ln #35 0.04mi 2/2.0 980 (-9%) 20mo $94,000 $96 66
1095 W McCoy Ln #4 0.11mi 2/2.0 960 (-11%) 16mo $140,000 $146 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$49,525
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$130,323
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93455

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,688 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$565
Net cashflow
$1,163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
983 Dan Blough Dr Santa Maria, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1017 $3,073 $3.02 13d 45 0.46mi
1240 Bethel Ln Santa Maria, CA 2.0 1.0 838 $2,296 $2.74 13d 2 0.59mi
1245 Sonya Ln Santa Maria, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 728 $2,381 $3.27 13d 12 0.70mi
329 W Carmen Ln Santa Maria, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $2,396 $3.30 13d 9 0.74mi
1735 Biscayne St Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.0 1257 $3,081 $2.45 13d 9 0.74mi
2299 Carrasco Way Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.5–3.5 1419 $3,500 $2.47 13d 2 0.74mi
1720 S Depot St Santa Maria, CA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1308 $2,197 $1.68 13d 5 0.95mi
800 W Battles Rd Santa Maria, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1104 $2,403 $2.18 13d 6 0.97mi
310 E McCoy Ln Santa Maria, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1130 $2,200 $1.95 13d 2 1.09mi
310 W McCoy Ln Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.0 1130 $2,600 $2.30 13d 1 1.10mi
504 Playa Blanca Ct Santa Maria, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 13d 1 1.35mi
404 E Newlove Dr Apt O Santa Maria, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,400 $2.82 13d 1 1.42mi
3235 Orcutt Rd Orcutt, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1202 $2,695 $2.24 13d 5 1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $139,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $141,000 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $141,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $145,000
  18. 2026-05-04
    price $147,000
  19. 2026-04-16
    listed $149,000 Active
  20. 2017-06-30
    soldstatus $63,000 Closed 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    A remarkable place to call home! Bonus: LOW Space Rent! Manufactured in 2000, this fabulously maintained home has an updated & spacious interior plus a wonderfully private (+fenced!) backyard. Laundry inside home, 2 full baths and bedrooms. Granite counters, real wood cabinets, ceiling fans and cozy fireplace. Sellers are even including 2 sheds for you! TraileRancho is a 55+ park with heated pool, BBQ's, billiard tables and coffee 7 days a week. Location of this home is all the way at the back...super quiet! (info verified, not guaranteed)

  21. 2017-06-14
    status Pending 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    A remarkable place to call home! Bonus: LOW Space Rent! Manufactured in 2000, this fabulously maintained home has an updated & spacious interior plus a wonderfully private (+fenced!) backyard. Laundry inside home, 2 full baths and bedrooms. Granite counters, real wood cabinets, ceiling fans and cozy fireplace. Sellers are even including 2 sheds for you! TraileRancho is a 55+ park with heated pool, BBQ's, billiard tables and coffee 7 days a week. Location of this home is all the way at the back...super quiet! (info verified, not guaranteed)

  22. 2017-05-22
    historical Active Under Contract 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    A remarkable place to call home! Bonus: LOW Space Rent! Manufactured in 2000, this fabulously maintained home has an updated & spacious interior plus a wonderfully private (+fenced!) backyard. Laundry inside home, 2 full baths and bedrooms. Granite counters, real wood cabinets, ceiling fans and cozy fireplace. Sellers are even including 2 sheds for you! TraileRancho is a 55+ park with heated pool, BBQ's, billiard tables and coffee 7 days a week. Location of this home is all the way at the back...super quiet! (info verified, not guaranteed)

  23. 2017-05-17
    listed $64,000 Active 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    A remarkable place to call home! Bonus: LOW Space Rent! Manufactured in 2000, this fabulously maintained home has an updated & spacious interior plus a wonderfully private (+fenced!) backyard. Laundry inside home, 2 full baths and bedrooms. Granite counters, real wood cabinets, ceiling fans and cozy fireplace. Sellers are even including 2 sheds for you! TraileRancho is a 55+ park with heated pool, BBQ's, billiard tables and coffee 7 days a week. Location of this home is all the way at the back...super quiet! (info verified, not guaranteed)

  24. 2017-04-07
    historical
  25. 2004-06-02
    listed $74,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,258
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,581
− Management
−$2,581
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$12,487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,997
After-tax cash flow
$10,960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Maria-Bonita
NCES district ID
0605580
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,959
Composite
29.11/100
National rank
#11891
State rank
#1023 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Santa Maria

Score
71/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#6519

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Maria, CA
County
Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
City population
145,655
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
Population (ZIP)
44,611
Household income
$110,661
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
765.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,679 people
By 2030
505,323 · +4.3%
By 2040
545,783 · +12.6%
By 2050
584,263 · +20.5%
By 2075
682,586 · +40.8%
By 2100
723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 24% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Russian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
+3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -729.78%
Current HPI
314.6499
Rent YoY
▲ 2.23%
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+94.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $145,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $147,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-06-30 Sold (MLS) $63,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2017-06-14 Pending NSBCRMLS
  • 2017-05-22 Contingent NSBCRMLS
  • 2017-05-17 Listed $64,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2017-04-07 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2004-06-02 Listed $74,500 NSBCRMLS

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $167 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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