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1910 River Rd
B- Composite 69.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

1910 River Rd · Clarksville, TN 37040
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily · 288 Days on market
Built 1930 1.50 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1.70 Acres!!+/- No Restrictions and No HOA—plenty of room, mature trees, and no rear neighbors for privacy. Perfect spot to keep your trailers, RVs, boats, or whatever toys you’ve got. Located in the Montgomery Central school district!!

Key facts

  • 1.5 acre lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 288 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered spaces; No dedicated parking total listed
  • Utilities: Private water source; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Existing year built; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: 1.5-acre lot; Water available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other); Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Oven; Carpet flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.5% in Clarksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in TN, #798 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #65 of 139 in TN (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cumberland Heights Elementary (math 45% / reading 34%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 592 students, 0% FRL); Montgomery Central High (math 6% / reading 40%, grade F, #149 of 332 statewide, top 46%, 1,056 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 604 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,583 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (617 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.34%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$244,720
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1910 River Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,064 (0%) 0mo $80,000 $75 100
1916 River Rd 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,156 (+9%) 6mo $310,000 $268 70
2032 Dinsmore Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+3%) 18mo $260,000 $238 58
575 Palmyra Rd 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-1%) 22mo $214,900 $204 54
1756 Cumberland Heights Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (-2%) 5mo $220,000 $212 51
2139 River Rd 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,032 (-3%) 22mo $222,000 $215 49
213 Wayne Hall Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,214 (+14%) 18mo $282,000 $232 28
229 Wayne Hall Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,214 (+14%) 16mo $279,000 $230 27
237 Wayne Hall Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,214 (+14%) 20mo $295,000 $243 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$14,310
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$43,454
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37040

Home prices YoY
-22.0%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
604
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 Mayhew Rd Unit D7 Clarksville, TN 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 21d 1 1.09mi
474 Indian Overlook Clarksville, TN 3.0 2.5 1443 $2,000 $1.39 21d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 288 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 287 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active Under Contract 286 DOM
  4. 2025-09-08
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2025-08-25
    price $90,000
  6. 2025-08-18
    listed $100,000 Active
  7. 2025-07-30
    historical $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,892
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,135
After-tax cash flow
$4,746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
4703030
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,423
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7641
State rank
#65 of 139 in TN

Livability — Clarksville

Score
84/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#798

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Montgomery County · 211,371 people
City population
211,371
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
Population (ZIP)
64,977
Household income
$67,745
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
2670.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
236,633 people
By 2030
258,978 · +9.4%
By 2040
305,456 · +29.1%
By 2050
353,147 · +49.2%
By 2075
471,289 · +99.2%
By 2100
564,122 · +138.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
R (+18.4) · D 40.0% · R 58.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -18.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.4 2020: R+12.7 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.79%
Current HPI
269.0601
Rent YoY
▲ 1.32%
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-08 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-25 Price Changed $90,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $100,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-30 Coming Soon $100,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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