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137 70th St 8-Plex
C Composite 59.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,695,000

137 70th St · Guttenberg, NJ 07093
None bd · None ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 108 Days on market
Built 1900 ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Well maintained 8 Family building Family owned since 2007 Quiet Building Close to all forms of transportation Plenty of shops with-in walking distance for tenants immediate needs Nice quiet Neighborhood Solid Investment Low turnover vacancy Call for additional Information City View Brokers 201-687-7711 Pedro Padron Broker

Key facts

  • City view
  • Plenty of shops
  • Listed 107 days

Tags

CLOSE TO TRANSPORTATIONPLENTY OF SHOPSCITY VIEW

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income, mixed-use property
  • Construction: Flat roof construction
  • Exterior features: Flat roof

Interior

  • Interior features: Mixed-use residential income property

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.70M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive. Per door: $485/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.70M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.54M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.3% in Guttenberg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#51 in NJ, #1,253 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
  • Guttenberg School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #435 of 472 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $19,148/mo this rent would consume 314% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 5546% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $51k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.54M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,542,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.81%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
55 71ST St 0.20mi 8/5.0 2mo $1,375,000 76
143 64TH St 0.29mi 10/4.0 4mo $960,000 70
6314 Broadway 0.29mi 10/4.0 4mo $860,800 70
421 73RD St 0.34mi 6/2.0 2mo $900,000 70
7722 BROADWAY 0.38mi 5/3.0 1mo $1,260,000 69
6107A PALISADE Ave 0.49mi 5/3.0 1mo $801,000 64
6107 Palisade Ave 0.50mi 5/3.0 1mo $801,000 64
6034 Park Ave 0.50mi —/— 2mo $815,000 62
7405 2ND Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1mo $675,000 62
7204 ADAMS St 0.57mi 5/2.0 0mo $650,000 61
7517 1St Ave 0.53mi —/— 3mo $670,000 61
6910 JACKSON St 0.51mi 9/3.0 4mo $772,000 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-33,065
Equity at exit
$252,730
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$266,754
Equity at exit
$146,553

Cash invested: $474,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07093

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
59.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$19,148 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8,889
Tax from tax record
$1,651 /mo · $19,814/yr
Insurance
$706
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,021
Net cashflow
$3,881

Break-even live

Break-even rent $14,236
Max offer price $1,695,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,840 -5% $4,361 +0% $3,881 +5% $3,401 +10% $2,921
Rent -10% $2,368 -5% $3,124 +0% $3,881 +5% $4,637 +10% $5,393
Rate -1.0pp $4,734 -0.5pp $4,312 base $3,881 +0.5pp $3,442 +1.0pp $2,995

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $19,148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$423,750
Closing costs
$50,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
139 70th St Unit 3 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 525 $1,775 $3.38 16d 1 0.01mi
148 70th St Unit 401 Guttenberg, NJ 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,250 $2.95 26d 1 0.04mi
148 70th St Unit 401 Guttenberg, NJ 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,250 $2.95 19d 1 0.04mi
148 70th St Unit 303 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 753 $2,400 $3.19 19d 1 0.05mi
148 70th St Unit 303 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 753 $2,400 $3.19 26d 1 0.05mi
140 71st St Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,795 6d 1 0.08mi
140 71st St Unit 8 Guttenberg, NJ 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,750 $2.50 19d 1 0.08mi
140 71st St Unit 5 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 500 $1,800 $3.60 8d 1 0.08mi
140 71st St Guttenberg, NJ 3.0 1.5 $2,750 8d 1 0.08mi
134 71st St Unit GR Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 26d 1 0.09mi
212 70th St Unit 203 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $2,400 23d 1 0.09mi
110 68th St Apt 2E Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 26d 1 0.09mi
116 71st St #14 Guttenberg, NJ 2.0 1.0 700 $2,500 $3.57 8d 1 0.10mi
7007 Park Ave Unit 2nd Floor Guttenberg, NJ 2.0 1.0 $2,100 14d 1 0.10mi
226 70th St #1 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,750 26d 1 0.12mi
78 69th St Unit 1A Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,950 20d 1 0.13mi
78 69th St Unit 9A Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 500 $1,800 $3.60 6d 1 0.13mi
74 69th St Unit 3B Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 535 $2,050 $3.83 26d 1 0.13mi
110 67th St Unit 2nd floor West New York, NJ 3.0 1.5 $3,000 23d 1 0.13mi
230 68th St #3 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,850 26d 1 0.14mi
141 67th St Unit 1 West New York, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,800 22d 1 0.14mi
6710 Park Ave #205 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 700 $2,550 $3.64 26d 1 0.15mi
6710 Park Ave #203 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 700 $2,500 $3.57 26d 1 0.15mi
70 69th St #4 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $2,250 26d 1 0.15mi
62 69th St Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 829 $2,495 $3.01 19d 1 0.15mi
80 71st St #2 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $2,200 26d 1 0.15mi
109 67th St Unit 13 West New York, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,800 23d 1 0.15mi
109 67th St Apt B1 West New York, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,800 26d 1 0.15mi
64 70th St #2 Guttenberg, NJ 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,900 $2.00 0d 1 0.17mi
67 71st St Unit 2 Guttenberg, NJ 3.0 2.0 $3,600 8d 1 0.17mi
124 73rd St Unit 3 North Bergen, NJ 2.0 1.0 $2,200 26d 1 0.18mi
310 70th St Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 600 $1,850 $3.08 26d 1 0.19mi
307 71st St Guttenberg, NJ 3.0 1.0 $3,200 26d 1 0.19mi
60 68th St Unit 505 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 670 $2,550 $3.81 14d 1 0.19mi
60 68th St Unit 406 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 14d 1 0.19mi
56 68th St #7 Guttenberg, NJ 1.0 1.0 $2,200 26d 1 0.19mi
6816 Bellevue Ave Unit 3A Guttenberg, NJ 3.0 1.0 $3,300 7d 1 0.21mi
320 67th St Unit 2 West New York, NJ 2.0 1.0 600 $2,400 $4.00 26d 1 0.22mi
6515 Hudson Ave Unit 3 West New York, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,800 $2.80 5d 1 0.23mi
332 70th St Unit 2 Guttenberg, NJ 2.0 1.0 $2,200 26d 1 0.24mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,695,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    price $1,695,000
  17. 2026-03-05
    listed $1,850,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$19,814 · $1,651/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$31,010 · $2,584/mo
Expected delta
+$11,196/yr (+$933/mo · 56.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$229,776
− Mortgage interest
−$94,946
− Property taxes
−$19,814
− Insurance
−$8,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$18,382
− Management
−$18,382
− Depreciation
−$49,309
Taxable income
$20,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,912
After-tax cash flow
$41,657/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guttenberg School District
NCES district ID
3406240
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$53,491
Composite
17.35/100
National rank
#9079
State rank
#435 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Guttenberg

Score
82/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#1253

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment B Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Guttenberg, NJ
County
Hudson County · 718,323 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
63,758
Household income
$73,174
Rent vs Own
73.6% rent · 26.4% own
Severe rent burden
5546.0

Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
771,834 people
By 2030
818,028 · +6.0%
By 2040
907,866 · +17.6%
By 2050
994,480 · +28.8%
By 2075
1,163,301 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,254,703 · +62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 75% Two or more races 27% White 15% Asian 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 12% Dominican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
58% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 67% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hudson

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.80%
Current HPI
364.4128
Rent YoY
▲ 2.71%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $1,695,000 NJMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $1,850,000 NJMLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $19,814 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…