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14 E Magnolia Ave
D Composite 40.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$149,990

14 E Magnolia Ave · Saucier, MS 39561
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,584 sqft · Manufactured public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1991 0.78 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious and private 3BR/2.5BA double wide situated on 3/4 of an acre (two lots) with two living spaces, a fireplace, and lots of storage throughout. The primary suite has a soaking tub with separate stand-up shower. Covered back patio, big covered carport, and a large powered shop. New roof, community water, and private septic.

Key facts

  • Two living spaces
  • Double wide
  • Soaking tub

Tags

DOUBLE WIDETWO LIVING SPACESSOAKING TUBCOVERED BACK PATIOLARGE POWERED SHOPNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Community water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home / mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Pilings/steel/wood foundation; Shingle roof; Built (year from public records)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Rain gutters; Workshop; Lot is cleared with few trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (3 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Soaking tub; Kitchen island; Fireplace in living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (13.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (24.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#91 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Stone County School District (town): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #15 of 130 in MS (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Perkinston Elementary School (math 54% / reading 53%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 549 students, 100% FRL); Stone Middle School (math 54% / reading 42%, grade C-, #34 of 179 statewide, top 20%, 599 students, 100% FRL); Stone High School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #30 of 197 statewide, top 15%, 722 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Stone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,708 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.95%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$27,781
Equity at exit
$87,124
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$90,747
Equity at exit
$152,151

Cash invested: $41,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39561

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,137 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$-138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $129,986
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,498
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $149,990 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,990 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,990 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,990 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,990 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,990 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,990 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,990 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,990 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,990 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,990 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,990 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,990 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    listed $149,990 Active
  15. 2021-10-01
    historical
  16. 2019-04-01
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,645
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,092
− Management
−$1,092
− Depreciation
−$4,363
Taxable loss
−$4,303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,033
After-tax cash flow
$-626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stone County School District
NCES district ID
2804170
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,785
Composite
41.4/100
National rank
#3476
State rank
#15 of 130 in MS

Livability — Saucier

Score
66/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#11386

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,224

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,528 people
By 2030
18,585 · +0.3%
By 2040
18,429 · -0.5%
By 2050
17,825 · -3.8%
By 2075
16,095 · -13.1%
By 2100
14,276 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.0) · D 20.5% · R 78.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -58.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.0 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.23%
Current HPI
182.594
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+57.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $149,990 MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2019-04-01 Listed $95,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…