422 Willow Dr · Lochbuie, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Updated bathrooms
- Easy access to i-76
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.2% in Lochbuie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#283 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Weld County School District Re-3J (rural): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #64 of 86 in CO (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $160k; list at $300k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-37,797
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-19,398
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80603
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,460 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $873/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637 Coney Aly Brighton, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1274 | $2,560 | $2.01 | 1d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 632 Ute Peak Aly Brighton, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1274 | $2,560 | $2.01 | 20d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 622 Leland Brighton, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1274 | $2,560 | $2.01 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 30 events
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2026-06-18status $300,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-18pricestatusdays on market $300,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 290 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $335,000 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 282 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 281 DOM
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2026-04-23status Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2026-04-23status Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2026-04-18status Pending 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2026-04-18status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2026-03-26price $335,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2026-03-26price $335,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2026-02-13price $340,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2026-02-13price $340,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-10-24price $355,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-10-24price $355,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-09-10status Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-09-10status Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-07-15status Pending 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-07-15status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-06-21$360,000 Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2025-06-21$360,000 Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Cash or Seller financing only. Fell out of contract because we didn’t have an affidavit of affixture (purged). However, the affidavit of a fixture has been obtained. We are ready for a buyer!! Welcome to this updated 2 bed, 2 bath home, situated on a spacious 6,000 sq ft lot, with a detached bonus space! Inside you'll find a remodeled kitchen and bathroom with new flooring and carpet throughout. The roof here is only 6 years old. This home is move-in ready, well taken care of, and clean! It sits on a permitted, poured concrete foundation for added stability. Need extra space? The detached bonus structure has electricity and is finished inside with drywall and 2 rooms (each measuring about 14 x 13). This space is waiting to be transformed into a guest suite, home office, or studio. Conveniently located right off I-76, you'll enjoy quick access to nearby amenities and destinations. Affordable, updated, and packed with potential. Don't miss out on this one!
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2022-07-22soldstatus $160,000
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2010-07-08historical
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2008-06-10$29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $873 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,650 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$777/yr (+$65/mo · 88.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,517
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$873
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,361
- − Management
- −$2,361
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$3,111
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$747
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weld County School District Re-3J
- NCES district ID
- 0804920
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,814
- Composite
- 22.63/100
- National rank
- #8062
- State rank
- #64 of 86 in CO
Livability — Lochbuie
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #20485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lochbuie, CO
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 16,811
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,811
- Household income
- $118,297
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 50.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.04%
- Current HPI
- 243.7511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+1055.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — IRES
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Pending — IRES
- 2026-04-18 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $335,000 IRES
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $335,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $340,000 IRES
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $340,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $355,000 IRES
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $355,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-10 Relisted — IRES
- 2025-09-10 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Pending — IRES
- 2025-07-15 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-21 Listed $360,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-21 Listed $360,000 IRES
- 2022-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-08 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-10 Listed $29,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $873 · +62.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…