325 Clematis St · Wylie, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$227,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New homes in Princeton, TX! Welcome to Arbor Trails! This gorgeous new Express homes community is located in Collin County, Branch , Princeton area off CR 437. DR Horton, your new home builder, we offer 3 different plans in Arbor Trails ranging from a 2 2.5 1 1,130 sq ft to a 4 2.5 1 that's 1,549 sq ft.
Key facts
- 6,050 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2025
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Energy-efficient features include enhanced attic insulation (12 inch+), HVAC, thermostat, and efficient windows
- Financial info: Treat as clear (loan type); No second mortgage
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; Semi-annual association fee (management fees included); HOA management: Neighborhood Managment
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; One covered space; One garage space (approx. 11' x 20')
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Municipal utility district; City water and city sewer; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry on multiple levels; New construction (incomplete, year built 2025); Subdivision: Arbor Trails South
- Construction: Frame and siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; City water; City sewer; Concrete, curbs, and sidewalk; Underground utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 2; Additional bedrooms on level 2
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Other interior features; Two levels; Six total rooms; One living area; One dining area
- Laundry & utility: Smart home features (app or pass available)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $228k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-75/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (0.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mayfield El (609 students, 73% FRL); Clark Middle (math 53% / reading 42%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 707 students, 66% FRL); Princeton H S (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #437 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,521 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1410 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11305% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.12%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $238,580
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Arbor Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 1,510 (0%) | 0mo | $209,990 | $139 | 68 |
| 6314 Sandpiper Ln | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 1,535 (+2%) | 1mo | $207,999 | $136 | 63 |
| 416 Sandhill Crane Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-7%) | 0mo | $221,999 | $158 | 60 |
| 204 Redwood Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,489 (-1%) | 1mo | $237,990 | $160 | 59 |
| 6414 Willet Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-7%) | 1mo | $252,999 | $180 | 58 |
| 6412 Longspur Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-7%) | 0mo | $222,999 | $159 | 57 |
| 118 Tall Cedar Way | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 1,648 (+9%) | 0mo | $226,990 | $138 | 56 |
| 123 Tall Cedar Way | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 1,648 (+9%) | 1mo | $236,990 | $144 | 54 |
| 202 Arbor Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 1,648 (+9%) | 0mo | $211,990 | $129 | 54 |
| 6508 Glade St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-7%) | 1mo | $222,999 | $159 | 52 |
| 6308 Sandpiper Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,360 (-10%) | 1mo | $217,999 | $160 | 44 |
| 120 Redwood Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 1,720 (+14%) | 0mo | $255,990 | $149 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-43,264
- Equity at exit
- $33,994
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-61,059
- Equity at exit
- $19,712
Cash invested: $63,837 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75407
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 1410
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,196
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$285 /mo · $3,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-6
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $73 | +0% $-6 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-87 | +0% $-6 | +5% $74 | +10% $155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $52 | base $-6 | +0.5pp $-65 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,998
- Closing costs
- $6,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 Clematis ST Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1648 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 317 Clematis ST Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1510 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 6111 Shearwater Rd , TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 134 Harvest St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,825 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 6445 Middlebury Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,649 | $1.30 | 9d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6533 Middlebury Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 214 Wheatgrass Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,699 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 402 Harvest St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,665 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6550 August Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6561 Alfalfa St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,599 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 143 Plumcove Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1376 | $2,150 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 211 Herman Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 152 Thresher Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 241 Boxberry Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,725 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6739 Coulter Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 206 Sunflower St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,475 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 119 Sunflower St Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,999 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 241 Thresher Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,850 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 818 Coastline Way Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1783 | $2,600 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 230 Sunflower St Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,520 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 427 Bower DR Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 252 Jethro Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5825 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,780 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 101 County Road 1010 Unit 1010 Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,295 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5817 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,624 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6751 Highlands St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,639 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6808 Sunbeam Cir Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,534 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 228 Rubylace Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6505 Glade St Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 151 Sesame Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,634 | $1.26 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5836 Timber Point Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,875 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5733 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,720 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 600 Sandhill Crane Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5724 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $2,050 | $1.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5720 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,205 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 416 Finch CIR Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7018 Cottonseed Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2131 | $2,095 | $0.98 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7007 Cottonseed Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $1,995 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7007 Cottonseed Dr Princeton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $1,995 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5708 Rockrose Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,925 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,771
- − Property taxes
- −$3,420
- − Insurance
- −$1,140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,958
- − Management
- −$1,958
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$6,632
- Taxable loss
- −$3,908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$938
- After-tax cash flow
- $863/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Princeton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835850
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,827
- Composite
- 42.44/100
- National rank
- #3226
- State rank
- #188 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wylie
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #8623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 34,171
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,171
- Household income
- $100,037
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 368.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.99%
- Current HPI
- 238.9373
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-99.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-28 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Rental Removed $1,850 BUILDIUM
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $1,850 BUILDIUM
- 2025-12-31 Listed for Rent $1,999 BUILDIUM
- 2025-12-04 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $227,990 NTREIS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $232,990 NTREIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $237,990 NTREIS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $232,990 NTREIS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $242,990 NTREIS
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $234,990 NTREIS
- 2025-06-11 Listed $239,990 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…