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369 Gun Clb #21
B+ Composite 76.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

369 Gun Clb #21 · Woodland, WA 98674
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,294 sqft · Manufactured public records · 20 Days on market
Built 2000 4,306 sqft lot $77/sqft · 12% below area Est $112k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this lovely 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,294 sq ft of comfortable living in the desirable Woodland East 55+ community. The functional floor plan features vaulted ceilings and a spacious primary suite with ensuite soaker tub as well as a shower. The kitchen offers plenty of storage, and all appliances are included, making this home truly move-in ready.Major updates provide peace of mind, including new roof, flooring, and water heater in 2020, exterior paint in 2021, and new HVAC in 2025. Full home security system included.Enjoy the pleasant backyard as the home backs to a wooded area, providing a natural backdrop. The space is ideal for year-round entertaining with a new large gazebo and propane fire pit.Additional storage includes a shed in the backyard and a storage room off the carport. Shed, storage cabinet, upright freezer, and safe remain with the home. With thoughtful updates, abundant storage, and a comfortable, inviting outdoor area, this home is ready for its next owner—don’t miss it!

Key facts

  • Ensuite soaker tub
  • New flooring
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

WOODLAND EAST COMMUNITYVAULTED CEILINGSSPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITEENSUITE SOAKER TUBNEW ROOFNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease applies
  • HOA & community: Located in Woodland East manufactured home community; Senior community; Community amenities include clubhouse, common area, high-speed internet availability, RV parking, security gate, and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Uncovered parking
  • Security: Security gate; Security system
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured double wide (Golden West, model 27/48); One level; Entry on tie-down foundation
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Manufactured home built after 6/15/1976
  • Exterior features: Wood products exterior; Curbs; Paved; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Dining room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Patio/porch/deck; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Security system
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $940 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 2.7% in Woodland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#152 in WA, #3,252 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F.
  • Woodland School District (town): math 48% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #94 of 291 in WA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: North Fork Elementary School (445 students, 36% FRL); Woodland High School (658 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 348 units permitted in Cowlitz County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cowlitz County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.55%
Cap rate
22.85%
Cash-on-cash
59.15%
DSCR
3.63
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$112,000
List price
$99,000
Delta
-11.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
369 Gun Club Rd #78 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+0%) 9mo $45,000 $35 86
369 Gun Club Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+0%) 12mo $70,000 $54 85
369 Gun Club Rd #7 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+0%) 12mo $70,000 $54 84
369 Gun Club Rd #75 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+8%) 2mo $103,000 $73 77
369 Gun Club Rd #6 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+4%) 13mo $90,000 $67 77
369 Gun Club Rd #88 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+8%) 4mo $85,000 $61 75
369 Gun Club Rd #108 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (+8%) 10mo $95,000 $68 70
369 Gun Club Rd #70 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,484 (+15%) 6mo $85,500 $58 62
215 Sycamore St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-7%) 3mo $383,000 $319 53
1850 Heartwood Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,426 (+10%) 5mo $225,000 $158 51
275 Sycamore St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+11%) 8mo $412,500 $288 47
2009 Lewis River Rd #16 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-15%) 17mo $129,000 $117 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.3%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$44,082
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
43.9%
Equity multiple
5.20×
Total profit
$116,549
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98674

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,529 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $850/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$531
Net cashflow
$940

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,339
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
332 York St Unit 2 Woodland, WA 3.0 2.0 1497 $2,529 $1.69 43d 1 0.37mi
2179 Dahlia St Woodland, WA 3.0 2.0 1096 $2,225 $2.03 19d 1 0.42mi
1451 N Goerig St Unit 1459-5 Woodland, WA 2.0 2.0 1048 $1,450 $1.38 2d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    listed $99,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1036 chars)

    Welcome to this lovely 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,294 sq ft of comfortable living in the desirable Woodland East 55+ community. The functional floor plan features vaulted ceilings and a spacious primary suite with ensuite soaker tub as well as a shower. The kitchen offers plenty of storage, and all appliances are included, making this home truly move-in ready.Major updates provide peace of mind, including new roof, flooring, and water heater in 2020, exterior paint in 2021, and new HVAC in 2025. Full home security system included.Enjoy the pleasant backyard as the home backs to a wooded area, providing a natural backdrop. The space is ideal for year-round entertaining with a new large gazebo and propane fire pit.Additional storage includes a shed in the backyard and a storage room off the carport. Shed, storage cabinet, upright freezer, and safe remain with the home. With thoughtful updates, abundant storage, and a comfortable, inviting outdoor area, this home is ready for its next owner—don’t miss it!

  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $99,000 Active 1036-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1036 chars)

    Welcome to this lovely 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offering 1,294 sq ft of comfortable living in the desirable Woodland East 55+ community. The functional floor plan features vaulted ceilings and a spacious primary suite with ensuite soaker tub as well as a shower. The kitchen offers plenty of storage, and all appliances are included, making this home truly move-in ready.Major updates provide peace of mind, including new roof, flooring, and water heater in 2020, exterior paint in 2021, and new HVAC in 2025. Full home security system included.Enjoy the pleasant backyard as the home backs to a wooded area, providing a natural backdrop. The space is ideal for year-round entertaining with a new large gazebo and propane fire pit.Additional storage includes a shed in the backyard and a storage room off the carport. Shed, storage cabinet, upright freezer, and safe remain with the home. With thoughtful updates, abundant storage, and a comfortable, inviting outdoor area, this home is ready for its next owner—don’t miss it!

  3. 2021-04-19
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Great location in the park, backyard abuts vacant land. New paint, carpet and LVP flooring. All appliances are included. Roof is 2 years old. 55+ park.

  4. 2021-04-19
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Great location in the park, backyard abuts vacant land. New paint, carpet and LVP flooring. All appliances are included. Roof is 2 years old. 55+ park.

  5. 2021-04-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Great location in the park, backyard abuts vacant land. New paint, carpet and LVP flooring. All appliances are included. Roof is 2 years old. 55+ park.

  6. 2021-04-09
    status Pending 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Great location in the park, backyard abuts vacant land. New paint, carpet and LVP flooring. All appliances are included. Roof is 2 years old. 55+ park.

  7. 2021-03-09
    listed $90,000 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Great location in the park, backyard abuts vacant land. New paint, carpet and LVP flooring. All appliances are included. Roof is 2 years old. 55+ park.

  8. 2021-03-09
    listed $90,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Great location in the park, backyard abuts vacant land. New paint, carpet and LVP flooring. All appliances are included. Roof is 2 years old. 55+ park.

  9. 2018-03-21
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold
  10. 2018-02-28
    status Pending
  11. 2018-01-30
    price $71,950
  12. 2018-01-10
    price $74,950
  13. 2017-11-16
    listed $84,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$850 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$120/yr (+$10/mo · 14.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,344
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$850
− Insurance
−$5,614
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,428
− Management
−$2,428
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$10,599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,544
After-tax cash flow
$8,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodland School District
NCES district ID
5310050
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$60,973
Composite
49.77/100
National rank
#4219
State rank
#94 of 291 in WA

Livability — Woodland

Score
77/100
State rank
#152
US rank
#3252

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodland, WA
County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
17,525
Metro
Longview, WA
Population (ZIP)
17,525
Household income
$94,245
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
209.0

Population outlook (Cowlitz County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
104,780 people
By 2030
103,980 · -0.8%
By 2040
100,769 · -3.8%
By 2050
96,685 · -7.7%
By 2075
86,454 · -17.5%
By 2100
74,052 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cowlitz

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 11.2pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+17.4 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+11.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.68%
Current HPI
333.4106
Rent YoY
Metro
Longview, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-25 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $99,000 RMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $99,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 RMLS
  • 2021-04-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-09 Pending RMLS
  • 2021-03-09 Listed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-09 Listed $90,000 RMLS
  • 2018-03-21 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLS
  • 2018-02-28 Pending RMLS
  • 2018-01-30 Price Changed $71,950 RMLS
  • 2018-01-10 Price Changed $74,950 RMLS
  • 2017-11-16 Listed $84,950 RMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $850 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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