3411 Langley Bend Ln · Fulshear, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience modern luxury in this stunning almost new home. This meticulously maintained single-story home boasts a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom open-concept layout, highlighted by a gourmet kitchen with a central island, stainless steel appliances, and sleek finishes that flow seamlessly into the bright living and dining areas. The private primary suite serves as a true retreat with a generous walk-in closet, while the covered back patio and expansive yard provide the perfect backdrop for outdoor entertaining. Energy-efficient features & smart home capabilities offer peace of mind and comfort in this gem. Residents enjoy world-class neighborhood amenities—including two resort-
Key facts
- Central island
- Expansive yard
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Tamarron HOA with annual fee; HOA amenities include clubhouse, community pool, fitness center, tennis and pickleball courts, dog park, and trails; Association fee $1,250 annually (includes clubhouse and recreation facilities)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces west; Built in 2023; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and cement siding construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Private fenced yard with backyard fencing; Sprinkler/irrigation system; Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Walk-in pantry; Quartz countertops
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First level) — 16x13; Bedroom (First level) — 11x10; Bedroom (First level) — 10x10; Bedroom (First level) — 10x10
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Double vanity; Kitchen island; Quartz countertops; Soaking tub; Separate shower; Tub/shower combination; Walk-in pantry; Ceiling fans; Low emissivity windows; Ventilation for improved indoor air quality; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Tankless water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (16.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (2.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Huggins El (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 893 students, 23% FRL); Dean Leaman J H School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 2,191 students, 32% FRL); Fulshear H S (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,464 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1242 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.90%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,486
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -13.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31814 Hallington Hill Ln | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,097 (+0%) | 1mo | $284,900 | $136 | 85 |
| 31331 Joshua Knoll Ln | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,176 (+4%) | 1mo | $364,990 | $168 | 74 |
| 3546 Blueberry Thistle Ln | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (-2%) | 1mo | $334,990 | $164 | 69 |
| 3507 Harlow Vista Ct | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 | 2,297 (+10%) | 3mo | $374,990 | $163 | 66 |
| 3406 Blueberry Thistle Ln | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 2,199 (+5%) | 1mo | $344,990 | $157 | 66 |
| 3326 Blueberry Thistle Ln | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,199 (+5%) | 1mo | $339,990 | $155 | 66 |
| 31323 Joshua Knoll Ln | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 | 2,297 (+10%) | 2mo | $369,990 | $161 | 63 |
| 3410 Ashe Landing Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,199 (+5%) | 1mo | $349,990 | $159 | 61 |
| 31250 Whistledown Ln | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 | 2,199 (+5%) | 2mo | $349,990 | $159 | 60 |
| 3310 Ashe Landing Dr | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,199 (+5%) | 2mo | $344,990 | $157 | 60 |
| 3402 Ashe Landing Dr | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,199 (+5%) | 2mo | $339,990 | $155 | 60 |
| 3719 Langridge Dr | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 2,042 (-2%) | 3mo | $329,990 | $162 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-74,211
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -47.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.41×
- Total profit
- $-118,692
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77441
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 1242
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,924 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$781 /mo · $9,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$104
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$614
- Net cashflow
- $-273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-103 | -5% $-188 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-358 | +10% $-443 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-504 | -5% $-389 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-158 | +10% $-42 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-122 | -0.5pp $-197 | base $-273 | +0.5pp $-351 | +1.0pp $-430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3714 Sloane Peak Ln Fulshear, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1713 | $2,397 | $1.40 | 0d | 24 | 1.00mi |
| 31123 Brightwell Bnd Fulshear, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $2,400 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 31043 Vintage Creek Ln Fulshear, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2800 | $3,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2826 Torrey Pines Dr Unit DO Pattison, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2657 | $2,071 | $0.78 | 7d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 30375 Centipede Grove Ln Brookshire, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $2,900 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5462 Grand View Dr Unit 1568482P Pattison, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2992 | $3,732 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5222 Wyatt James Ln Brookshire, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2487 | $3,250 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $104 · $1,248/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$299,900 Active 895-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,378 · $781/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,378 · $781/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,087
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$9,378
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,807
- − Management
- −$2,807
- − HOA
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$8,176
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,962
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This nearly new single-story home offers modern luxury and is in excellent condition, with minimal repairs needed. It's move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through cosmetic updates and smart home integration.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers.
- Both Smart home integration — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers.
- Both Energy-efficient upgrades — Energy-efficient upgrades can reduce utility costs and appeal to environmentally conscious buyers.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers. ↑
- Both Smart home integration — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers. ↑
- Both Energy-efficient upgrades — Energy-efficient upgrades can reduce utility costs and appeal to environmentally conscious buyers. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826580
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,213
- Composite
- 46.43/100
- National rank
- #2452
- State rank
- #116 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fulshear
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #430
- US rank
- #8901
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- City population
- 41,324
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,324
- Household income
- $184,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 301.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 4% Chinese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.74%
- Current HPI
- 275.8798
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.63%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $299,900 HARMLS
Property tax history
+86.9%/yrLatest (2025): $9,378 · +86.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…