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455 Lyon Ave
D Composite 41.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

455 Lyon Ave · Marshall, MO 65340
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,390 sqft · Other · 21 Days on market
Built 1948 0.25 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on the market due to no fault of the seller or home! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Construction: Above-grade finished living area; Below-grade finished living area
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 78 x 142; Zoned residential

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Interior features: Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($524/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#62 in MO, #4,390 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall (town): math 17% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #296 of 324 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bueker Middle (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #339 of 391 statewide, top 87%, 701 students, 69% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saline County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,542 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.50%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-17,499
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-11,755
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65340

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,085/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,010
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $79 +0% $44 +5% $8 +10% $-27
Rent -10% $-41 -5% $2 +0% $44 +5% $86 +10% $128
Rate -1.0pp $107 -0.5pp $75 base $44 +0.5pp $11 +1.0pp $-22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    listed $125,000 Active 605-char remark
  2. 2024-11-08
    historical 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  3. 2024-11-08
    historical
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  4. 2024-11-08
    historical
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  5. 2024-11-06
    soldstatus Closed 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  6. 2024-11-06
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  7. 2024-11-06
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  8. 2024-09-06
    status Pending 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  9. 2024-09-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  10. 2024-09-06
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  11. 2024-08-02
    price $135,000 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  12. 2024-08-02
    price $135,000
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  13. 2024-08-02
    price $135,000
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2024-07-15
    status Active 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2024-07-15
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2024-07-15
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2024-07-10
    status Pending 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2024-07-10
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2024-07-10
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2024-06-28
    status Active 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2024-06-28
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  22. 2024-06-28
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    Back on market due to NO fault of the seller or house! Check out this beautifully maintained starter home! Loaded with charming updates and plenty of space inside and out, you don't want to miss this one! Recent updates in the interior include flooring, kitchen, and paint. You'll find loads of space in the basement including two additional non-conforming bedrooms. A 20' x 9' deck will be built to the height of the threshold of the back door. Schedule your showing today!

  23. 2024-06-21
    listed Active Under Contract
  24. 2024-06-20
    listed $140,000
  25. 2018-06-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,085 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$127/yr (+$11/mo · 11.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,785
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,085
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,023
− Management
−$1,023
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$1,609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$386
After-tax cash flow
$910/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall
NCES district ID
2920410
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$38,967
Composite
19.3/100
National rank
#8796
State rank
#296 of 324 in MO

Livability — Marshall

Score
74/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#4390

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marshall, MO
Population (ZIP)
15,977

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,716 people
By 2030
22,343 · -1.6%
By 2040
21,596 · -4.9%
By 2050
21,171 · -6.8%
By 2075
20,680 · -9.0%
By 2100
20,147 · -11.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 29.2% · R 69.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-37.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.60%
Current HPI
206.6714
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending CMBR
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $125,000 CMBR
  • 2024-11-08 Delisted WCAR
  • 2024-11-08 Delisted CMBR
  • 2024-11-08 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-06 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-06 Sold (MLS) CMBR
  • 2024-11-06 Sold (MLS) WCAR
  • 2024-09-06 Pending WCAR
  • 2024-09-06 Pending CMBR
  • 2024-09-06 Contingent Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-02 Price Changed $135,000 WCAR
  • 2024-08-02 Price Changed $135,000 CMBR
  • 2024-08-02 Price Changed $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-15 Relisted WCAR
  • 2024-07-15 Relisted CMBR
  • 2024-07-15 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-10 Pending WCAR
  • 2024-07-10 Pending CMBR
  • 2024-07-10 Contingent Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-28 Relisted WCAR
  • 2024-06-28 Relisted CMBR
  • 2024-06-28 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-21 Listed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-20 Listed $140,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,085 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…