717 Mississippi Ave NE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HOUSE HAS BEEN PAINTED/FLOORS VARNISHED/CLEAN AS A PIN/SELLER WILL INSTALL ELECTRIC BASEBOARD HEAT/NICE STARTER HOME.
Key facts
- Large metal workshop
- Enclosed rear porch
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Terrace Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,108 statewide, top 94%, 297 students, 103% FRL); Breckinridge Middle (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #315 of 342 statewide, top 93%, 624 students, 99% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $135k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.55%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,888
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Fieldale Rd NE | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 849 (+14%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 3126 Plantation Rd NE | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 826 (+11%) | 1mo | $164,000 | $199 | 63 |
| 128 Courtney Ave NE | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-6%) | 7mo | $158,950 | $227 | 62 |
| 2002 Wayne St NE | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-3%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $263 | 61 |
| 3250 Ellsworth St NE | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (-2%) | 10mo | $212,995 | $291 | 61 |
| 66 Forest Hill Ave NE | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+3%) | 10mo | $154,000 | $201 | 54 |
| 136 Courtney Ave NE | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-6%) | 20mo | $129,950 | $186 | 52 |
| 3227 Oliver Rd NE | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 855 (+15%) | 5mo | $197,450 | $231 | 47 |
| 925 Monticello Ave NE | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+10%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $270 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,906
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $42,048
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24012
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,040/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3111 Ellsworth St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,199 | $1.81 | 13d | 2 | 0.44mi |
| 120 Avendale Ave NE Unit 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 916 Kyle Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $2,250 | $3.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1630 Wayne St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2916 Courtland Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,123 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1415 15th St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $995 | $1.76 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2807 Oakland Blvd NW Apt 4 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1423 Varnell Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 601 Orange Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $1,234 | $2.38 | 13d | 9 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2025-12-30$135,000 Active
-
2019-11-21historical
-
2019-11-01$49,000
-
2001-10-29soldstatus $43,950 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
HOUSE HAS BEEN PAINTED/FLOORS VARNISHED/CLEAN AS A PIN/SELLER WILL INSTALL ELECTRIC BASEBOARD HEAT/NICE STARTER HOME.
-
2001-10-24soldstatus $43,950
-
2001-10-24soldstatus $43,950
-
2001-07-25$43,950 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
HOUSE HAS BEEN PAINTED/FLOORS VARNISHED/CLEAN AS A PIN/SELLER WILL INSTALL ELECTRIC BASEBOARD HEAT/NICE STARTER HOME.
-
2001-05-05historical
-
2000-07-06$44,950
-
1987-05-04soldstatus $25,000
-
1983-05-31soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,040 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,107 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,581
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,040
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,247
- − Management
- −$1,247
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,235
- Household income
- $52,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1360.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.94%
- Current HPI
- 186.9007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.46%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+938.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — MLSRV
- 2025-12-30 Listed $135,000 MLSRV
- 2019-11-21 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2019-11-01 Listed $49,000 MLSRV
- 2001-10-29 Sold (MLS) $43,950 MLSRV
- 2001-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $43,950 Public Records
- 2001-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $43,950 Public Records
- 2001-07-25 Listed $43,950 MLSRV
- 2001-05-05 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2000-07-06 Listed $44,950 MLSRV
- 1987-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1983-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,040 · +26.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…