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15 Werner Rd Multi-family
C- Composite 54.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$545,000

15 Werner Rd · Clifton Gardens, NY 12065
5 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,540 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1972 2.03 ac lot $215/sqft · 24% below area Est $717k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a single family with not one but two in-law apartments... look no further. Perfect for the multi generational buyer. Located on a sprawling parcel and close to all amenities, this home features it all. The main house, fully renovated features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, all recently remodeled. The lower level features 2 bedrooms, a full kitchen, full bath and living area. The third in-law in the garage, and recently remodeled is a studio apartment. Among other features, this home boasts a new roof, new siding, new electrical, new gutters and so much more

Key facts

  • Studio-style area
  • Kitchen
  • Living area

Tags

SHENENDEHOWA SCHOOL DISTRICTLIVING AREAKITCHENFULL BATHSTUDIO-STYLE AREAWORKSPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; 10 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2,540 living area
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (two on the first floor, three on the second floor)
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air plus other cooling
  • Interior features: 17 total rooms; Apartment-style walk-out basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry rooms on the basement and first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath multifamily listed at $545k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $509k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $509k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Clifton Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Shenendehowa Central School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #98 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Shenendehowa High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 3,036 students, 21% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 72% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Shenendehowa Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,088/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($114k/yr) (locally 1040% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $450k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $508,800 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$717,400
List price
$545,000
Delta
-24.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-65,339
Equity at exit
$81,261
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-1,668
Equity at exit
$47,122

Cash invested: $152,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12065

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
25.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,088 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,858
Tax from tax record
$710 /mo · $8,519/yr
Insurance
$227
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,068
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,804
Max offer price $545,000
Occupancy floor 91%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $1,587
Total (3 units) $5,088

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$136,250
Closing costs
$16,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 857-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $545,000 Active 857-char remark
  3. 2022-05-16
    soldstatus $450,000
  4. 2022-05-09
    soldstatus $450,000 Closed 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Looking for a single family with not one but two in-law apartments... look no further. Perfect for the multi generational buyer. Located on a sprawling parcel and close to all amenities, this home features it all. The main house, fully renovated features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, all recently remodeled. The lower level features 2 bedrooms, a full kitchen, full bath and living area. The third in-law in the garage, and recently remodeled is a studio apartment. Among other features, this home boasts a new roof, new siding, new electrical, new gutters and so much more

  5. 2022-04-02
    status Pending 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Looking for a single family with not one but two in-law apartments... look no further. Perfect for the multi generational buyer. Located on a sprawling parcel and close to all amenities, this home features it all. The main house, fully renovated features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, all recently remodeled. The lower level features 2 bedrooms, a full kitchen, full bath and living area. The third in-law in the garage, and recently remodeled is a studio apartment. Among other features, this home boasts a new roof, new siding, new electrical, new gutters and so much more

  6. 2022-03-22
    listed $449,900 Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Looking for a single family with not one but two in-law apartments... look no further. Perfect for the multi generational buyer. Located on a sprawling parcel and close to all amenities, this home features it all. The main house, fully renovated features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bath, all recently remodeled. The lower level features 2 bedrooms, a full kitchen, full bath and living area. The third in-law in the garage, and recently remodeled is a studio apartment. Among other features, this home boasts a new roof, new siding, new electrical, new gutters and so much more

  7. 2017-12-13
    soldstatus $235,000
  8. 2017-12-07
    soldstatus $235,000 Closed (Final Sale)
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Nature lover's delight...enjoy privacy without compromising location! Country living with conveniences nearby .Plenty of room in this 4 bedroom split level. Hardwood floors. Heated two car detached garage and has plenty of storage along with a room perfect for a musician studio or workshop. Very Good Condition

  9. 2017-10-26
    status Pend (Under Cntr)
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Nature lover's delight...enjoy privacy without compromising location! Country living with conveniences nearby .Plenty of room in this 4 bedroom split level. Hardwood floors. Heated two car detached garage and has plenty of storage along with a room perfect for a musician studio or workshop. Very Good Condition

  10. 2017-10-13
    price $259,000
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Nature lover's delight...enjoy privacy without compromising location! Country living with conveniences nearby .Plenty of room in this 4 bedroom split level. Hardwood floors. Heated two car detached garage and has plenty of storage along with a room perfect for a musician studio or workshop. Very Good Condition

  11. 2017-09-28
    listed $269,900 New
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Nature lover's delight...enjoy privacy without compromising location! Country living with conveniences nearby .Plenty of room in this 4 bedroom split level. Hardwood floors. Heated two car detached garage and has plenty of storage along with a room perfect for a musician studio or workshop. Very Good Condition

  12. 2011-10-17
    soldstatus $225,000
  13. 2011-09-09
    soldstatus $225,000
  14. 2011-07-05
    historical
  15. 2010-04-22
    listed $259,900
  16. 2010-02-01
    historical
  17. 2009-08-04
    listed $275,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,519 · $710/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,865 · $739/mo
Expected delta
+$346/yr (+$29/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,056
− Mortgage interest
−$30,528
− Property taxes
−$8,519
− Insurance
−$2,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,884
− Management
−$4,884
− Depreciation
−$15,855
Taxable loss
−$6,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,522
After-tax cash flow
$4,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shenendehowa Central School District
NCES district ID
3626670
Math proficiency
72% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$82,933
Composite
64.59/100
National rank
#531
State rank
#98 of 590 in NY

Livability — Clifton Gardens

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saratoga County · 166,192 people
City population
44,726
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
45,116
Household income
$113,873
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1040.0

Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
238,889 people
By 2030
243,681 · +2.0%
By 2040
249,118 · +4.3%
By 2050
248,638 · +4.1%
By 2075
241,675 · +1.2%
By 2100
213,150 · -10.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Asian 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
2008→2024 swing
-1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.12%
Current HPI
318.0765
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $545,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-09 Sold (MLS) $450,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-04-02 Pending Global MLS
  • 2022-03-22 Listed $449,900 Global MLS
  • 2017-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-07 Sold (MLS) $235,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-10-26 Pending Global MLS
  • 2017-10-13 Price Changed $259,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-09-28 Listed $269,900 Global MLS
  • 2011-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 2011-09-09 Sold (MLS) $225,000 Global MLS
  • 2011-07-05 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2010-04-22 Listed $259,900 Global MLS
  • 2010-02-01 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2009-08-04 Listed $275,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,519 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…