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628 W Arch St
C Composite 57.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

628 W Arch St · Mason City, IL 62664
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,333 sqft · Other · 28 Days on market
0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Situated on a generous 100X150 lot in Mason City, this spacious recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1.5 bath story and a half vinyl sided residence has a LOT to offer! Main floor of home offers an inviting foyer with a front facing bay window, cozy living room with an open staircase, updated and equipped eat-in kitchen with a tiled backsplash, two comfortably sized bedrooms, 1.5 baths, convenient rear laundry area, and a flexible 8X13 rec room. Upstairs you will find a large 12X19 third bedroom with an adjacent 12X7 nook. Property also features a partial basement, two car attached garage, older detached garage, large rear shed structure, and all appliances to remain upon settlement for new owner(

Key facts

  • Inviting foyer
  • Generous lot
  • Open staircase

Tags

GENEROUS LOTINVITING FOYERFRONT FACING BAY WINDOWOPEN STAIRCASEUPDATED EAT-IN KITCHENTILED BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Detached garage; Gravel parking; Two garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Property faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Rubber and shingle roof; Crawl space, partial, unfinished basement; Building area approximately 1333 total
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s); Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (one on main level; one on upper level; one on lower level/basement); Primary/main bedroom ~12 x 9 with egress window; Second main bedroom ~9 x 13 with egress window; Upper bedroom ~12 x 19 with egress window
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank in kitchen and one bedroom; Vinyl flooring in multiple rooms (bedrooms, living areas, recreation, laundry, foyer)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted/cathedral/tray ceilings; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry room (~8 x 15)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#620 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Illini Central CUSD 189 (rural): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #514 of 620 in IL (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Illini Central High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 185 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $95k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.11%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,479
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$14,619
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62664

Home prices YoY
-13.9%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,125/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $905
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $229 +0% $202 +5% $175 +10% $148
Rent -10% $110 -5% $156 +0% $202 +5% $248 +10% $294
Rate -1.0pp $250 -0.5pp $226 base $202 +0.5pp $177 +1.0pp $152

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $95,000 Active
  18. 2019-08-22
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,125 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,141 · $178/mo
Expected delta
+$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,926
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,125
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$243
After-tax cash flow
$2,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Illini Central CUSD 189
NCES district ID
1700113
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$46,086
Composite
12.95/100
National rank
#9574
State rank
#514 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mason City

Score
65/100
State rank
#620
US rank
#12714

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mason City, IL
Population (ZIP)
2,848

Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,087 people
By 2030
11,283 · -6.7%
By 2040
9,766 · -19.2%
By 2050
8,421 · -30.3%
By 2075
5,785 · -52.1%
By 2100
3,888 · -67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mason

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.38%
Current HPI
114.2568
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+280.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $95,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+25.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,125 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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