628 W Arch St · Mason City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on a generous 100X150 lot in Mason City, this spacious recently renovated 3-bedroom, 1.5 bath story and a half vinyl sided residence has a LOT to offer! Main floor of home offers an inviting foyer with a front facing bay window, cozy living room with an open staircase, updated and equipped eat-in kitchen with a tiled backsplash, two comfortably sized bedrooms, 1.5 baths, convenient rear laundry area, and a flexible 8X13 rec room. Upstairs you will find a large 12X19 third bedroom with an adjacent 12X7 nook. Property also features a partial basement, two car attached garage, older detached garage, large rear shed structure, and all appliances to remain upon settlement for new owner(
Key facts
- Inviting foyer
- Generous lot
- Open staircase
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Detached garage; Gravel parking; Two garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Property faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Rubber and shingle roof; Crawl space, partial, unfinished basement; Building area approximately 1333 total
- Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s); Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (one on main level; one on upper level; one on lower level/basement); Primary/main bedroom ~12 x 9 with egress window; Second main bedroom ~9 x 13 with egress window; Upper bedroom ~12 x 19 with egress window
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank in kitchen and one bedroom; Vinyl flooring in multiple rooms (bedrooms, living areas, recreation, laundry, foyer)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted/cathedral/tray ceilings; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry room (~8 x 15)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#620 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Illini Central CUSD 189 (rural): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #514 of 620 in IL (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Illini Central High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 185 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $95k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.11%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,479
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $14,619
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62664
- Home prices YoY
- -13.9%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $256 | -5% $229 | +0% $202 | +5% $175 | +10% $148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $156 | +0% $202 | +5% $248 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $226 | base $202 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-22$95,000 Active
-
2019-08-22soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,125 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,141 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,926
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,125
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,114
- − Management
- −$1,114
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,013
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$243
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Illini Central CUSD 189
- NCES district ID
- 1700113
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,086
- Composite
- 12.95/100
- National rank
- #9574
- State rank
- #514 of 620 in IL
Livability — Mason City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #620
- US rank
- #12714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mason City, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,848
Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,087 people
- By 2030
- 11,283 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 9,766 · -19.2%
- By 2050
- 8,421 · -30.3%
- By 2075
- 5,785 · -52.1%
- By 2100
- 3,888 · -67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mason
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.38%
- Current HPI
- 114.2568
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+280.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $95,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+25.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,125 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…