7880 Palm Aire Ln #203 · Desoto Lakes, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom condo has a great view of the pond and golf course at Palm Aire Country Club . Located on the 7th hole of the Champions Golf Course . Large master bedroom with walk in closet and ensuite bath. Large open concept Living and Dining room , great for entertaining . Recently upgraded sliding doors , windows and exterior railings. Enjoy the community pool , maintained by the association and walking distance from the unit . Golf Membership is available but not required.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Community pool
- Private balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions available from University Pkwy to Palm Aire Lane
- Financial info: Total monthly fees reported; Total annual fees reported; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee; Condo fees billed monthly; Association requires approval; Association covers common area taxes, pool, structure maintenance and grounds; Community pool; Pets allowed with number and size limits (max 20 lb); Association: Advanced Management / Lynn Mahoney
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; One story; Second-floor unit; East-facing
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Other roof type; Slab foundation; Building name: PALM AIRE AT SARASOTA 8A; Building area reported
- Exterior features: Balcony; Pond view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-140 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (10.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.4% in Desoto Lakes — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#189 in FL, #3,003 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Marjorie G. Kinnan Elementary School (math 60% / reading 49%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 516 students, 73% FRL); Braden River High School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #201 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 1,774 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.1%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 11350% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.61%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-53,534
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -47.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.36×
- Total profit
- $-87,070
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34243
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Rents YoY
- -4.1%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,733 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,651/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$698
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $-140
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-10 | -5% $-75 | +0% $-140 | +5% $-205 | +10% $-269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-356 | -5% $-248 | +0% $-140 | +5% $-32 | +10% $76 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-24 | -0.5pp $-81 | base $-140 | +0.5pp $-199 | +1.0pp $-259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5409 Palm Aire Dr Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2098 | $3,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 6110 Country Club Way #201 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,000 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6120 Country Club Way #207 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5219 Inverness Dr Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1933 | $3,200 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8204 Villa Grande Ct Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $3,200 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5217 Canterbury Dr Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2146 | $2,800 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8128 Villa Grande Ct Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $3,190 | $1.75 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7557 Fairlinks Ct Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $7,000 | $3.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5924 Clubside Dr Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6041 Clubside Dr Unit 6041 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,950 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8119 Villa Grande Ct Unit Available Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2120 | $2,600 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7911 Whitebridge Gln University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $6,500 | $3.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5735 Gardens Dr Unit 5735 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5662 Gardens Dr #104 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,950 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5008 Medalist Rd Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $3,000 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5769 Avista Dr #5769 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,950 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6191 Timber Lake Dr Unit A6 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7725 Whitebridge Gln University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $5,250 | $3.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6211 Timber Lake Dr Unit B9 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7711 Whitebridge Gln University Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $2,500 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6104 Turnbury Park Dr Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,505 | $2.35 | 2d | 29 | 0.70mi |
| 7452 W Country Club Dr N Unit 1546435P Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1173 | $2,742 | $2.34 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8445 Gardens Cir Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $2,172 | $2.23 | 3d | 29 | 0.74mi |
| 7405 W Country Club Dr N #104 Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $3,200 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5640 Golf Pointe Dr #101 Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $2,250 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5581 Golf Pointe Dr Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2154 | $2,600 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5829 Fairwoods Cir Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1999 | $3,500 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7351 W Country Club Dr N #202 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $4,300 | $3.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5025 82nd Way E Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $2,250 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8316 Brandeis Cir W Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,450 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5635 Golf Pointe Dr #101 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $2,000 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8340 Brandeis Cir W Sarasota, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2179 | $2,871 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5761 Avista Dr Unit 5761 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $4,000 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7186 Lakeside Dr Sarasota, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,750 | $1.81 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5905 Doral Dr Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7887 Lockwood Ridge Rd Sarasota, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $2,297 | $2.51 | 3d | 16 | 0.89mi |
| 8240 Cypress Lake Dr Sarasota, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1993 | $4,750 | $2.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7251 W Country Club Dr N #226 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7234 Eleanor Cir #203 Sarasota, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,150 | $2.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8429 Cypress Lake Cir Sarasota, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1701 | $3,600 | $2.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $698 · $8,376/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical $1,975
-
2026-04-14price $1,975
-
2026-03-29$2,000
-
2026-03-23price $229,000
-
2026-03-17price $239,900
-
2026-03-07price $249,900
-
2026-02-19$259,000 Active
-
2021-08-20soldstatus $225,000
-
2021-08-19soldstatus $225,000 Closed 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This 3 bedroom condo has a great view of the pond and golf course at Palm Aire Country Club . Located on the 7th hole of the Champions Golf Course . Large master bedroom with walk in closet and ensuite bath. Large open concept Living and Dining room , great for entertaining . Recently upgraded sliding doors , windows and exterior railings. Enjoy the community pool , maintained by the association and walking distance from the unit . Golf Membership is available but not required.
-
2021-07-20status Pending 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This 3 bedroom condo has a great view of the pond and golf course at Palm Aire Country Club . Located on the 7th hole of the Champions Golf Course . Large master bedroom with walk in closet and ensuite bath. Large open concept Living and Dining room , great for entertaining . Recently upgraded sliding doors , windows and exterior railings. Enjoy the community pool , maintained by the association and walking distance from the unit . Golf Membership is available but not required.
-
2021-07-14$225,000 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This 3 bedroom condo has a great view of the pond and golf course at Palm Aire Country Club . Located on the 7th hole of the Champions Golf Course . Large master bedroom with walk in closet and ensuite bath. Large open concept Living and Dining room , great for entertaining . Recently upgraded sliding doors , windows and exterior railings. Enjoy the community pool , maintained by the association and walking distance from the unit . Golf Membership is available but not required.
-
2017-03-14soldstatus $140,000
-
2017-02-28soldstatus $140,000 Sold 867-char remark
Show marketing remark (867 chars)
Fantastic water and golf views from the three bedroom two bath updated condo. All new kitchen, new cabinets, new stainless steel appliances, new air conditioner and new hot water heater. Large master with walk in closet and bath. Outside areas of the buildings will be updated with new railing and paint. Located on the 7th hole of the Champions golf course. Walking distance to the Palm Aire Country Club, which is a private member only golf club. Membership is not mandatory but is very affordable. Country Club has two 18 hole courses, tennis courts, fitness center, Olympic size swimming pool and of course our million dollar clubhouse. Close to shopping restaurants, theaters and of course our white sandy beaches. Come take a look and welcome home. Outside of the building will be remodeled and has been paid for by the seller, it will look like 7860 next door.
-
2017-02-08status Pending 867-char remark
Show marketing remark (867 chars)
Fantastic water and golf views from the three bedroom two bath updated condo. All new kitchen, new cabinets, new stainless steel appliances, new air conditioner and new hot water heater. Large master with walk in closet and bath. Outside areas of the buildings will be updated with new railing and paint. Located on the 7th hole of the Champions golf course. Walking distance to the Palm Aire Country Club, which is a private member only golf club. Membership is not mandatory but is very affordable. Country Club has two 18 hole courses, tennis courts, fitness center, Olympic size swimming pool and of course our million dollar clubhouse. Close to shopping restaurants, theaters and of course our white sandy beaches. Come take a look and welcome home. Outside of the building will be remodeled and has been paid for by the seller, it will look like 7860 next door.
-
2017-01-23$159,900 Active 867-char remark
Show marketing remark (867 chars)
Fantastic water and golf views from the three bedroom two bath updated condo. All new kitchen, new cabinets, new stainless steel appliances, new air conditioner and new hot water heater. Large master with walk in closet and bath. Outside areas of the buildings will be updated with new railing and paint. Located on the 7th hole of the Champions golf course. Walking distance to the Palm Aire Country Club, which is a private member only golf club. Membership is not mandatory but is very affordable. Country Club has two 18 hole courses, tennis courts, fitness center, Olympic size swimming pool and of course our million dollar clubhouse. Close to shopping restaurants, theaters and of course our white sandy beaches. Come take a look and welcome home. Outside of the building will be remodeled and has been paid for by the seller, it will look like 7860 next door.
-
1994-04-04soldstatus $77,000
-
1984-06-01soldstatus $107,777
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,651 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,651 · $304/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,793
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,651
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,623
- − Management
- −$2,623
- − HOA
- −$8,376
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$5,116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $-449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Desoto Lakes
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #3003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,773
- Household income
- $81,219
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1138.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.67%
- Current HPI
- 280.5372
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.14%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-98.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Rental Removed $1,975 STELLARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $1,975 STELLARMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed for Rent $2,000 STELLARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Listed $259,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-19 Sold (MLS) $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-14 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-28 Sold (MLS) $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-23 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1984-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $107,777 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,651 · -14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…