1805 Rosemary Ave · Victoria, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Cash flow +4.4/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$294,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity at 1805 Rosemary! This fully occupied quadplex offers a great addition to any investor’s portfolio. The property features two 1 bedroom, 1.5 bath units and two 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath units, providing a desirable mix of layouts for tenants. Each unit offers functional living spaces along with convenient half-baths for guests. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2025 and HVAC systems from 2019, giving investors added peace of mind on major components. The property also includes a covered carport area for tenant parking, adding extra convenience and value. With all units currently tenant-occupied, this property presents a strong opportunity f
Key facts
- Covered carport area
- Hvac systems
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four total units (multi-unit property)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; 3-car carport
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electricity available and on property; Public water; Public sewer; Public trash collection
- Home design: Brick construction; 2 stories; Resale property; Slab foundation; Composition/shingle roof
- Construction: Brick exterior; Slab foundation; Composition/shingle roof; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Wood fencing; City lot on a paved city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Range; Exhaust fan
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric) with multiple heating units; Central air conditioning (electric) with three or more units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater; Multiple water heaters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/?-bath townhouse listed at $294k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-778 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (46.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (42.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $157k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#309 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Victoria ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #645 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Victoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Victoria County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.33%
- DSCR
- 0.50
- GRM
- 14.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $311,955
- List price
- $294,500
- Delta
- 2.39%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.24×
- Total profit
- $-102,183
- Equity at exit
- $43,911
- IRR
- -88.6%
- Equity multiple
- -1.08×
- Total profit
- $-171,688
- Equity at exit
- $25,463
Cash invested: $82,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77901
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,694 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,544
- Tax from tax record
- −$449 /mo · $5,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $-778
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-612 | -5% $-695 | +0% $-778 | +5% $-862 | +10% $-945 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-912 | -5% $-845 | +0% $-778 | +5% $-711 | +10% $-645 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-630 | -0.5pp $-703 | base $-778 | +0.5pp $-855 | +1.0pp $-932 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,625
- Closing costs
- $8,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $294,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $294,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $294,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $294,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $294,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $299,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,400 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,400 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $319,400 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $319,500 753-char remark
-
2026-05-12price $329,400 753-char remark
-
2026-05-04price $329,500 753-char remark
-
2026-04-20$339,500 Active 753-char remark
-
2026-04-20historical
-
2026-04-13price $348,500
-
2026-04-07$349,500 Active
-
2026-04-07historical
-
2026-03-31price $379,300
-
2026-03-23price $379,400
-
2026-03-19$379,500 Active
-
2009-09-21soldstatus
-
2006-01-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,390 · $449/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,390 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,322
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,497
- − Property taxes
- −$5,390
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,626
- − Management
- −$1,626
- − Depreciation
- −$8,567
- Taxable loss
- −$14,855
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Victoria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844150
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,534
- Composite
- 24.98/100
- National rank
- #7562
- State rank
- #645 of 826 in TX
Livability — Victoria
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #6960
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Victoria, TX
- County
- Victoria County · 69,915 people
- City population
- 69,915
- Metro
- Victoria, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,854
- Household income
- $57,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1802.0
Population outlook (Victoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,119 people
- By 2030
- 113,161 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 127,402 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 141,953 · +33.8%
- By 2075
- 179,410 · +69.1%
- By 2100
- 200,127 · +88.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Victoria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 28.4% · R 71.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.62%
- Current HPI
- 138.3569
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Victoria, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-22.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $294,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $299,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $319,400 CTXMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $319,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $329,400 CTXMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $329,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $339,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $348,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $349,500 CTXMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $379,300 CTXMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $379,400 CTXMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $379,500 CTXMLS
- 2009-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,390 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…