51 W Ridge Rd · Saratoga Springs, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Killer gym
- Unobstructed views
- Top-floor living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Has home warranty; Zoned single-family and multi-family; Subdivision: HILLCREST CONDO; Above-grade finished area reported
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $340; HOA covers sewer, trash and water; Community clubhouse, fitness center, playground, pool, snow removal; pets permitted
Exterior
- Parking: Total 2 parking spaces; 1 garage space; 1 covered/open parking space
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary water
- Home design: Condo, top-level unit; Built/standing condition; Stone construction; Asphalt roof; Has view
- Construction: Stone exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Sliding glass doors; Sidewalks; Landscaping (full); Lake, mountain and valley views; Private gunite pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Free-standing range/oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary on 1st floor)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas central); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bath; Walk-in closet; Free-standing range/oven; Vaulted ceilings; Blinds; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-435 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (28.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Riverview School (math 56% / reading 55%, grade C, #93 of 585 statewide, top 17%, 977 students, 16% FRL); Westlake High (math 39% / reading 48%, grade F, #50 of 171 statewide, top 29%, 2,659 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1175 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.91%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $114,908
- Equity at exit
- $243,147
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $352,164
- Equity at exit
- $524,356
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84045
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1175
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,956 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$340
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $-435
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 W Ridge Rd Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1823 N Crest Rd Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,650 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 241 W Ridge Rd Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2153 Springtime Dr Unit Bedroom 1 Master Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $900 | $0.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 157 W Springview Dr Unit 1 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,625 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 830 N Canvasback Dr Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1093 3980 W Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,625 | $1.28 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3761 W 620 N Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,295 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4216 W 1530 N Unit BB304 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 848 N Old Ranch Rd Unit 1 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,250 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1423 N 3830 W Unit B204 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 902 N Old Ranch Rd Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1451 N 3830 W #204 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,895 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1424 N 3830 W Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,850 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1342 N 3650 W Unit W303 Eagle Mountain, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3722 W 1440 N Unit F202 Eagle Mountain, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,495 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1532 N Rosa Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $2,234 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3637 W 1480 N Eagle Mountain, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,899 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1256 Commerce Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1147 | $1,759 | $1.53 | 2d | 15 | 0.89mi |
| 4336 W 1850 N Unit L302 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,675 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4064 W 1850 N #301 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,725 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3956 W 1850 N #203 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 127 Jordan Ridge Blvd Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,595 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 157 E Jordan Ridge Blvd #311 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,650 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2273 N Elderberry Dr Unit 1387177P Saratoga Springs, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,951 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3772 W 1850 N #102 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 414 W Peppergrass Way Saratoga Springs, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,700 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3364 Hardman Way Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2277 N Sunmore Way Lehi, UT | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1316 | $2,469 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1936 N 3410 W Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1886 3330 W Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1985 3330 W Unit B201 Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,649 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3647 W 2280 N Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4632 W Hudson Way Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $2,389 | $2.59 | 2d | 163 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $340 · $4,080/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-14status Under Contract
-
2026-04-24$269,900 Active
-
2020-11-30soldstatus Sold 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2020-11-30soldstatus
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2020-10-27historical Backup 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2020-10-20$233,000 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2017-06-21soldstatus Sold 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2017-06-20soldstatus
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2017-05-17status Under Contract 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2017-05-02$189,000 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2013-09-09historical
-
2013-05-24$134,900
-
2007-08-01historical
-
2006-05-05$134,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,350 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,781 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$431/yr (+$36/mo · 31.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,878
- − Management
- −$1,878
- − HOA
- −$4,080
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$10,036
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,409
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,815/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine District
- NCES district ID
- 4900030
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,595
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #3213
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in UT
Livability — Saratoga Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #7648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saratoga Springs, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 45,429
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,429
- Household income
- $130,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Scottish 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.09%
- Current HPI
- 298.0545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+100.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $269,900 WFRMLS
- 2020-11-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-11-30 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2020-10-27 Contingent — WFRMLS
- 2020-10-20 Listed $233,000 WFRMLS
- 2017-06-21 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2017-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-05-17 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2017-05-02 Listed $189,000 WFRMLS
- 2013-09-09 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2013-05-24 Listed $134,900 WFRMLS
- 2007-08-01 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2006-05-05 Listed $134,900 WFRMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,350 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…