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102 E Arch St
B Composite 74.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$52,000

102 E Arch St · Shamokin, PA 17872
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,910 sqft · Other · 54 Days on market
Built 1900 1,742 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Highest And Best due by 4/1/2026 11:59:00 PM MST. Located on a desirable corner lot, this detached Shamokin home would be an excellent addition to your investment portfolio or is a fantastic base to make it your own. Crossing the front porch and entering the first floor, you are greeted by a welcoming foyer and gorgeous staircase. To the right is a comfortable living room with a desirable fireplace. A convenient half bath is located across from the living room. The large dining room is located between the living room and kitchen, ideal for hosting and family get-togethers. Off the dining room is a space which can be used as a bedroom or den. In the rear, the kitchen provides plenty of countertop space for meal prep. A cozy breakfast nook, perfect for a morning coffee is situated at the back of the kitchen. The laundry is also located off the rear of the kitchen. On the second floor are three spacious bedrooms and a full bathroom. Both the attic and basement provide plenty of storage space. Off the rear of the home, a fenced back yard is a wonderful space for outdoor quality time. Offered at $52,000, call to schedule a private showing today!

Key facts

  • Cozy breakfast nook
  • Large dining room
  • Welcoming foyer

Tags

CORNER LOTWELCOMING FOYERGORGEOUS STAIRCASELARGE DINING ROOMCOZY BREAKFAST NOOKPLENTY OF COUNTERTOP SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average; Total below-grade area estimated at 636 (unfinished); Finished above-grade area estimated at 1,910

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Building winterized
  • Construction: Frame construction with asbestos; Stone foundation; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built estimated
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot; Rear yard; Wood fencing; Home is on the corner (per directions)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heat; Natural gas heat and hot water
  • Interior features: Attic; Breakfast area; Crown moldings; Dining area; Double/dual staircase; Entry-level bedroom; Traditional floor plan; Plaster walls; Not furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 11.4% in Shamokin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Shamokin Area El Sch (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,146 of 1,518 statewide, top 76%, 832 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Ms (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #412 of 512 statewide, top 81%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Hs (math 42% / reading 30%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 57% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($360 loan paydown + $990 appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,440 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
17.65%
Cash-on-cash
40.57%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
3.38×
Total profit
$34,723
Equity at exit
$20,240
10-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
6.74×
Total profit
$83,612
Equity at exit
$28,940

Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$273
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,647/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $546
Max offer price $52,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,000
Closing costs
$1,560
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $975 $0.67 43d 1 0.33mi
609 E Commerce St Shamokin, PA 4.0 1.5 1668 $1,500 $0.90 43d 1 0.36mi
804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 43d 1 0.62mi
1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1275 $825 $0.65 43d 1 0.94mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Highest And Best due by 4/1/2026 11:59:00 PM MST. Located on a desirable corner lot, this detached Shamokin home would be an excellent addition to your investment portfolio or is a fantastic base to make it your own. Crossing the front porch and entering the first floor, you are greeted by a welcoming foyer and gorgeous staircase. To the right is a comfortable living room with a desirable fireplace. A convenient half bath is located across from the living room. The large dining room is located between the living room and kitchen, ideal for hosting and family get-togethers. Off the dining room is a space which can be used as a bedroom or den. In the rear, the kitchen provides plenty of countertop space for meal prep. A cozy breakfast nook, perfect for a morning coffee is situated at the back of the kitchen. The laundry is also located off the rear of the kitchen. On the second floor are three spacious bedrooms and a full bathroom. Both the attic and basement provide plenty of storage space. Off the rear of the home, a fenced back yard is a wonderful space for outdoor quality time. Offered at $52,000, call to schedule a private showing today!

  2. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Highest And Best due by 4/1/2026 11:59:00 PM MST. Located on a desirable corner lot, this detached Shamokin home would be an excellent addition to your investment portfolio or is a fantastic base to make it your own. Crossing the front porch and entering the first floor, you are greeted by a welcoming foyer and gorgeous staircase. To the right is a comfortable living room with a desirable fireplace. A convenient half bath is located across from the living room. The large dining room is located between the living room and kitchen, ideal for hosting and family get-togethers. Off the dining room is a space which can be used as a bedroom or den. In the rear, the kitchen provides plenty of countertop space for meal prep. A cozy breakfast nook, perfect for a morning coffee is situated at the back of the kitchen. The laundry is also located off the rear of the kitchen. On the second floor are three spacious bedrooms and a full bathroom. Both the attic and basement provide plenty of storage space. Off the rear of the home, a fenced back yard is a wonderful space for outdoor quality time. Offered at $52,000, call to schedule a private showing today!

  3. 2026-03-05
    listed $52,000 Active
  4. 2026-03-02
    listed $52,000 Active 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Highest And Best due by 4/1/2026 11:59:00 PM MST. Located on a desirable corner lot, this detached Shamokin home would be an excellent addition to your investment portfolio or is a fantastic base to make it your own. Crossing the front porch and entering the first floor, you are greeted by a welcoming foyer and gorgeous staircase. To the right is a comfortable living room with a desirable fireplace. A convenient half bath is located across from the living room. The large dining room is located between the living room and kitchen, ideal for hosting and family get-togethers. Off the dining room is a space which can be used as a bedroom or den. In the rear, the kitchen provides plenty of countertop space for meal prep. A cozy breakfast nook, perfect for a morning coffee is situated at the back of the kitchen. The laundry is also located off the rear of the kitchen. On the second floor are three spacious bedrooms and a full bathroom. Both the attic and basement provide plenty of storage space. Off the rear of the home, a fenced back yard is a wonderful space for outdoor quality time. Offered at $52,000, call to schedule a private showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,647 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,647 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,033
− Mortgage interest
−$2,913
− Property taxes
−$1,647
− Insurance
−$260
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$1,513
Taxable income
$5,455
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,309
After-tax cash flow
$4,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $52,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $52,000 PMAR

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,647 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…