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7407 Avenue X Fourplex
C Composite 55.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,000

7407 Avenue X · Lubbock, TX 79423
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,808 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 244 Days on market
Built 1981 10,655 sqft lot $92/sqft · at area comps Est $333k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away in a quiet roundabout for ultimate privacy, this South Lubbock quadplex offers the best of both worlds, peaceful seclusion and quick access to all the amenities Lubbock has to offer. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and steady tenants with minimal complaints. Market rents currently sit around $800-$850/month, with clear upside potential through light cosmetic upgrades. Secure four solid doors in a strong rental market. This is a rare opportunity to add a clean, income-producing asset to your portfolio in one of Lubbock's most accessible locations. Currently bringing in $3,070/mo gross rent.

Key facts

  • Steady tenants
  • Quiet roundabout
  • Four units

Tags

QUIET ROUNDABOUTPEACEFUL SECLUSIONFOUR UNITSSTEADY TENANTSSTRONG RENTAL MARKETCLEAN INCOME PRODUCING ASSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $349k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $161/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
  • Recommended offer: $307k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,867/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 1385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($307k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $169k; list at $349k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $307,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.92%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$333,437
List price
$349,000
Delta
4.67%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-18,751
Equity at exit
$52,037
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$23,295
Equity at exit
$30,175

Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79423

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
663
Price-to-rent
30.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,867 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,830
Tax from tax record
$434 /mo · $5,208/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$812
Net cashflow
$645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,050
Max offer price $349,000
Occupancy floor 78%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,867

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,250
Closing costs
$10,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,000 Active 244 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,000 Active 243 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,000 Active 242 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $349,000 Active 241 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active 241 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $350,000 Active 239 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $350,000 Active 238 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $350,000 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $350,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $350,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $350,000 Active 233 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $350,000 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $350,000 Active 229 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Active 228 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Active 227 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 226 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $350,000 Active 225 DOM
  18. 2026-03-17
    price $350,000 632-char remark
    Show marketing remark (632 chars)

    Tucked away in a quiet roundabout for ultimate privacy, this South Lubbock quadplex offers the best of both worlds, peaceful seclusion and quick access to all the amenities Lubbock has to offer. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and steady tenants with minimal complaints. Market rents currently sit around $800-$850/month, with clear upside potential through light cosmetic upgrades. Secure four solid doors in a strong rental market. This is a rare opportunity to add a clean, income-producing asset to your portfolio in one of Lubbock's most accessible locations. Currently bringing in $3,070/mo gross rent.

  19. 2025-10-17
    listed $360,000 Active 632-char remark
    Show marketing remark (632 chars)

    Tucked away in a quiet roundabout for ultimate privacy, this South Lubbock quadplex offers the best of both worlds, peaceful seclusion and quick access to all the amenities Lubbock has to offer. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and steady tenants with minimal complaints. Market rents currently sit around $800-$850/month, with clear upside potential through light cosmetic upgrades. Secure four solid doors in a strong rental market. This is a rare opportunity to add a clean, income-producing asset to your portfolio in one of Lubbock's most accessible locations. Currently bringing in $3,070/mo gross rent.

  20. 2023-01-25
    soldstatus
  21. 2023-01-20
    soldstatus Closed 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    100% rented quadraplex in South Lubbock off University and Loop 289. Each unit is 2/1, great floorplan with corner fireplace, spacious living room and kitchen. Tons of storage with two coat closets, pantry and hallway storage. One carport per unit.

  22. 2022-12-27
    status Pending 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    100% rented quadraplex in South Lubbock off University and Loop 289. Each unit is 2/1, great floorplan with corner fireplace, spacious living room and kitchen. Tons of storage with two coat closets, pantry and hallway storage. One carport per unit.

  23. 2022-12-21
    listed $315,000 Active 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    100% rented quadraplex in South Lubbock off University and Loop 289. Each unit is 2/1, great floorplan with corner fireplace, spacious living room and kitchen. Tons of storage with two coat closets, pantry and hallway storage. One carport per unit.

  24. 2012-09-19
    soldstatus
  25. 2006-11-01
    soldstatus $169,000
  26. 1993-05-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,208 · $434/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,387 · $532/mo
Expected delta
+$1,179/yr (+$98/mo · 22.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,404
− Mortgage interest
−$19,549
− Property taxes
−$5,208
− Insurance
−$1,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,712
− Management
−$3,712
− Depreciation
−$10,153
Taxable income
$2,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$558
After-tax cash flow
$7,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,998
Household income
$84,933
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1385.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.00%
Current HPI
213.6491
Rent YoY
▲ 2.13%
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $350,000 LARMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $360,000 LARMLS
  • 2023-01-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) LARMLS
  • 2022-12-27 Pending LARMLS
  • 2022-12-21 Listed $315,000 LARMLS
  • 2012-09-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $169,000 Public Records
  • 1993-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,208 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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