57005 Antelope · Yucca Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity in Yucca Valley. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,150 sq ft of living space on a large lot, located in a well-established neighborhood. The property could benefit from updates and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Conveniently situated within walking distance to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, the location adds strong appeal for future resale or rental potential. With a functional layout and solid footprint, this home presents a great opportunity to create value. Bring your visionthis is a value-add opportunity with upside. Property to be sold as-is.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Functional layout
- Solid footprint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (11.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $126k; list at $260k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.73%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $342,213
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -24.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7380 Dumosa | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,170 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $192 | 76 |
| 7215 Barberry Ave | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,046 (-9%) | 21mo | $339,000 | $324 | 61 |
| 7099 Plasse St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+10%) | 20mo | $370,000 | $292 | 56 |
| 56610 Antelope Trl | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (-2%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $236 | 55 |
| 56608 Sunnyslope Dr | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 1mo | $392,000 | $327 | 55 |
| 7432 Aster Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (+8%) | 20mo | $410,000 | $331 | 55 |
| 56926 SUNNYSLOPE Ter | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,124 (-2%) | 19mo | $305,000 | $271 | 54 |
| 6922 Grand Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,234 (+7%) | 12mo | $320,000 | $259 | 53 |
| 7674 Dumosa Ave | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,161 (+1%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $211 | 48 |
| 6929 Grand Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,278 (+11%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $219 | 45 |
| 7204 Palm Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-5%) | 21mo | $305,000 | $280 | 34 |
| 57527 Sunnyslope Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+13%) | 6mo | $299,000 | $230 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-50,401
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-47,877
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92284
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,006 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,347/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $-166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57004 Antelope Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $2,050 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 7154 Barberry Ave Unit A Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,049 | $1.86 | 18d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 7330 Dumosa Ave Unit 7330 Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7453 Dumosa Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6936 Grand Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,600 | $2.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 57472 Primrose Dr Unit 3 Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 56565 Sunnyslope Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7028 Cholla Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6963 Tamarisk Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7389 Cibola Trl Unit B Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7496 Church St Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,850 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5928 Chula Vista Ave Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $2,850 | $2.79 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 56594 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $2,250 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7616 Apache Trl Yucca Valley, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,900 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $260,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $260,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $260,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $260,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $260,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $260,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$260,000 Active 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
Investor opportunity in Yucca Valley. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,150 sq ft of living space on a large lot, located in a well-established neighborhood. The property could benefit from updates and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Conveniently situated within walking distance to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, the location adds strong appeal for future resale or rental potential. With a functional layout and solid footprint, this home presents a great opportunity to create value. Bring your visionthis is a value-add opportunity with upside. Property to be sold as-is.
-
2026-05-05$260,000 Active 641-char remark
Show marketing remark (641 chars)
Investor opportunity in Yucca Valley. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,150 sq ft of living space on a large lot, located in a well-established neighborhood. The property could benefit from updates and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value.Conveniently situated within walking distance to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, the location adds strong appeal for future resale or rental potential. With a functional layout and solid footprint, this home presents a great opportunity to create value.Bring your visionthis is a value-add opportunity with upside. Property to be sold as-is.
-
2017-10-10soldstatus $125,500 Closed Sale
-
2017-10-10soldstatus $125,500
-
2017-09-04status Pending Sale
-
2017-08-25price $129,900
-
2017-08-04$135,000 Active
-
2008-03-05soldstatus $95,000
-
2008-01-29historical
-
2008-01-22$99,900
-
2007-10-24historical
-
2007-10-04price $100,000
-
2007-09-11price $90,000
-
2007-08-21price $110,000
-
2007-05-24price $130,000
-
2007-05-10$165,000
-
2006-09-29soldstatus $195,000
-
2006-09-29soldstatus $195,000
-
2006-08-04historical
-
2006-07-04historical
-
2006-06-13$192,500
-
2006-05-04$217,000
-
2006-04-04historical
-
2006-01-04$230,000
-
2004-05-05soldstatus $122,000
-
2003-07-02soldstatus $72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,347 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,347 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,347
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,926
- − Management
- −$1,926
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$6,551
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,572
- After-tax cash flow
- $-417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yucca Valley
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #566
- US rank
- #18584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yucca Valley, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 25,415
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,415
- Household income
- $58,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.13%
- Current HPI
- 486.7185
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+261.1% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $260,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $260,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2017-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
- 2017-10-10 Sold (MLS) $125,500 CRMLS
- 2017-09-04 Pending — CRMLS
- 2017-08-25 Price Changed $129,900 CRMLS
- 2017-08-04 Listed $135,000 CRMLS
- 2008-03-05 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
- 2008-01-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-01-22 Listed $99,900 CRMLS
- 2007-10-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-10-04 Price Changed $100,000 CRMLS
- 2007-09-11 Price Changed $90,000 CRMLS
- 2007-08-21 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2007-05-24 Price Changed $130,000 CRMLS
- 2007-05-10 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
- 2006-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-29 Sold (MLS) $195,000 PALM
- 2006-08-04 Delisted — PALM
- 2006-07-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-06-13 Listed $192,500 PALM
- 2006-05-04 Listed $217,000 CRMLS
- 2006-04-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-01-04 Listed $230,000 CRMLS
- 2004-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,347 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…