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57005 Antelope
D Composite 41.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

57005 Antelope · Yucca Valley, CA 92284
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1965 7,200 sqft lot $226/sqft · 24% below area Est $342k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in Yucca Valley. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,150 sq ft of living space on a large lot, located in a well-established neighborhood. The property could benefit from updates and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Conveniently situated within walking distance to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, the location adds strong appeal for future resale or rental potential. With a functional layout and solid footprint, this home presents a great opportunity to create value. Bring your visionthis is a value-add opportunity with upside. Property to be sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Functional layout
  • Solid footprint

Tags

LARGE LOTWELL-ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODDINING AND EVERYDAY AMENITIESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSOLID FOOTPRINT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (11.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (22.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools F, crime D-.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $126k; list at $260k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,623 (22.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.73%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$342,213
List price
$260,000
Delta
-24.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7380 Dumosa 0.29mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,170 (+2%) 1mo $225,000 $192 76
7215 Barberry Ave 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,046 (-9%) 21mo $339,000 $324 61
7099 Plasse St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,269 (+10%) 20mo $370,000 $292 56
56610 Antelope Trl 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,125 (-2%) 10mo $265,000 $236 55
56608 Sunnyslope Dr 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (+4%) 1mo $392,000 $327 55
7432 Aster Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,239 (+8%) 20mo $410,000 $331 55
56926 SUNNYSLOPE Ter 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,124 (-2%) 19mo $305,000 $271 54
6922 Grand Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,234 (+7%) 12mo $320,000 $259 53
7674 Dumosa Ave 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,161 (+1%) 15mo $245,000 $211 48
6929 Grand Ave 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,278 (+11%) 10mo $280,000 $219 45
7204 Palm Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,090 (-5%) 21mo $305,000 $280 34
57527 Sunnyslope Dr 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (+13%) 6mo $299,000 $230 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-50,401
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-47,877
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92284

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
563
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,006 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$279 /mo · $3,347/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$-166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,216
Max offer price $230,718
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
57004 Antelope Trl Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 2.0 1143 $2,050 $1.79 44d 1 0.02mi
7154 Barberry Ave Unit A Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,049 $1.86 18d 1 0.08mi
7330 Dumosa Ave Unit 7330 Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 3d 1 0.26mi
7453 Dumosa Ave Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,200 $1.58 44d 1 0.46mi
6936 Grand Ave Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 785 $1,600 $2.04 18d 1 0.51mi
57472 Primrose Dr Unit 3 Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 44d 1 0.55mi
56565 Sunnyslope Dr Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 44d 1 0.68mi
7028 Cholla Ave Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,895 $1.58 5d 1 0.81mi
6963 Tamarisk Ave Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 18d 1 0.86mi
7389 Cibola Trl Unit B Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 15d 1 1.04mi
7496 Church St Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 2.0 987 $1,850 $1.87 18d 1 1.08mi
5928 Chula Vista Ave Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 1020 $2,850 $2.79 4d 1 1.09mi
56594 Joshua Dr Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1307 $2,250 $1.72 44d 1 1.34mi
7616 Apache Trl Yucca Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,900 $1.88 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $260,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $260,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $260,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $260,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $260,000 Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Yucca Valley. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,150 sq ft of living space on a large lot, located in a well-established neighborhood. The property could benefit from updates and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value. Conveniently situated within walking distance to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, the location adds strong appeal for future resale or rental potential. With a functional layout and solid footprint, this home presents a great opportunity to create value. Bring your visionthis is a value-add opportunity with upside. Property to be sold as-is.

  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $260,000 Active 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Yucca Valley. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,150 sq ft of living space on a large lot, located in a well-established neighborhood. The property could benefit from updates and is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to add value.Conveniently situated within walking distance to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, the location adds strong appeal for future resale or rental potential. With a functional layout and solid footprint, this home presents a great opportunity to create value.Bring your visionthis is a value-add opportunity with upside. Property to be sold as-is.

  17. 2017-10-10
    soldstatus $125,500 Closed Sale
  18. 2017-10-10
    soldstatus $125,500
  19. 2017-09-04
    status Pending Sale
  20. 2017-08-25
    price $129,900
  21. 2017-08-04
    listed $135,000 Active
  22. 2008-03-05
    soldstatus $95,000
  23. 2008-01-29
    historical
  24. 2008-01-22
    listed $99,900
  25. 2007-10-24
    historical
  26. 2007-10-04
    price $100,000
  27. 2007-09-11
    price $90,000
  28. 2007-08-21
    price $110,000
  29. 2007-05-24
    price $130,000
  30. 2007-05-10
    listed $165,000
  31. 2006-09-29
    soldstatus $195,000
  32. 2006-09-29
    soldstatus $195,000
  33. 2006-08-04
    historical
  34. 2006-07-04
    historical
  35. 2006-06-13
    listed $192,500
  36. 2006-05-04
    listed $217,000
  37. 2006-04-04
    historical
  38. 2006-01-04
    listed $230,000
  39. 2004-05-05
    soldstatus $122,000
  40. 2003-07-02
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,347 · $279/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,347 · $279/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,075
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$3,347
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,926
− Management
−$1,926
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$6,551
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,572
After-tax cash flow
$-417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yucca Valley

Score
60/100
State rank
#566
US rank
#18584

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yucca Valley, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
25,415
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,415
Household income
$58,373
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.13%
Current HPI
486.7185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+261.1% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $260,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $260,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2017-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
  • 2017-10-10 Sold (MLS) $125,500 CRMLS
  • 2017-09-04 Pending CRMLS
  • 2017-08-25 Price Changed $129,900 CRMLS
  • 2017-08-04 Listed $135,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-03-05 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-01-29 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-01-22 Listed $99,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-10-24 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-10-04 Price Changed $100,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-09-11 Price Changed $90,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-08-21 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-05-24 Price Changed $130,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-05-10 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2006-09-29 Sold (MLS) $195,000 PALM
  • 2006-08-04 Delisted PALM
  • 2006-07-04 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-06-13 Listed $192,500 PALM
  • 2006-05-04 Listed $217,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-04-04 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-01-04 Listed $230,000 CRMLS
  • 2004-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,347 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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