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19777 N 76th St #2141
D- Composite 39.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$419,000

19777 N 76th St #2141 · Scottsdale, AZ 85255
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,222 sqft · Condo public records · 60 Days on market
Built 2000 $343/sqft · 8% below area Est $455k · 8% under $495/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare end-unit opportunity offering exceptional privacy with no neighbors above, below, or on one side. Expansive windows fill the home with natural light, creating a bright and inviting living space. Enjoy the convenience of a one-car attached garage located directly below the unit for easy access. Located in a gated North Scottsdale community, this home delivers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and resort-style living. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, searching for a primary residence, a lock-and-leave vacation retreat, or an investment property, this home checks every box. The Venu community offers an impressive array of amenities, including heated pools and spas, outdoor barbecue areas, and a recently renovated clubhouse featuring a state-of-the-art fitness center.

Key facts

  • $495 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Tags

ONE-CAR ATTACHED GARAGEHEATED POOLS AND SPASOUTDOOR BARBECUE AREASRECENTLY RENOVATED CLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $419k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-927 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (39.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (38.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (39.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 720 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($406k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $334k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $255,291 (39.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
3.64%
Cash-on-cash
-9.48%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
13.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$455,181
List price
$419,000
Delta
-7.95%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.64% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$56,833
Equity at exit
$253,854
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$224,245
Equity at exit
$452,328

Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85255

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
720
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,599 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,197
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$495
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$546
Net cashflow
$-927

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,772
Max offer price $255,291
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-690 -5% $-808 +0% $-927 +5% $-1,045 +10% $-1,164
Rent -10% $-1,132 -5% $-1,029 +0% $-927 +5% $-824 +10% $-721
Rate -1.0pp $-716 -0.5pp $-820 base $-927 +0.5pp $-1,035 +1.0pp $-1,146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$104,750
Closing costs
$12,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19777 N 76th St Unit 1546393P Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1323 $3,109 $2.35 8d 1 0.04mi
19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1324 $1,900 $1.44 10d 19 0.05mi
19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1293 $3,250 $2.51 44d 9 0.05mi
19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1324 $1,995 $1.51 0d 17 0.05mi
19700 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1633 $2,000 $1.22 5d 14 0.10mi
19700 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1633 $3,500 $2.14 44d 7 0.10mi
20121 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1453 $2,795 $1.92 0d 2 0.11mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $4,650 $4.46 20d 15 0.21mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $4,650 $4.46 0d 18 0.21mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1202 $3,925 $3.26 44d 5 0.21mi
7340 E Legacy Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $1,940 $1.86 0d 20 0.37mi
7355 E Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $2,048 $1.96 0d 40 0.44mi
7220 E Mayo Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 1.0–3.0 1418 $7,633 $5.38 0d 86 0.88mi
18525 N Scottsdale Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 749 $1,965 $2.62 12d 1 1.02mi
19550 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 1814 $3,800 $2.09 44d 4 1.07mi
19550 N Grayhawk Dr Unit 1545664P Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1313 $2,159 $1.64 14d 1 1.12mi
17777 N Scottsdale Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 942 $3,399 $3.61 0d 23 1.16mi
6800 E Mayo Blvd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0–2.0 985 $2,252 $2.29 0d 20 1.31mi
18440 N 68th St Phoenix, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $2,215 $2.63 0d 63 1.43mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1930 $3,195 $1.66 0d 9 1.44mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1930 $3,300 $1.71 25d 8 1.44mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1930 $3,250 $1.68 22d 9 1.44mi
6901 E Chauncey Ln Phoenix, AZ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $2,038 $2.00 0d 24 1.47mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$495 · $5,940/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $419,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $419,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $419,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $419,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $419,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $419,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $419,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $419,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $419,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $419,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $419,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $419,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $419,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $419,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-04-18
    listed $419,000 Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    Rare end-unit opportunity offering exceptional privacy with no neighbors above, below, or on one side. Expansive windows fill the home with natural light, creating a bright and inviting living space. Enjoy the convenience of a one-car attached garage located directly below the unit for easy access. Located in a gated North Scottsdale community, this home delivers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and resort-style living. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, searching for a primary residence, a lock-and-leave vacation retreat, or an investment property, this home checks every box. The Venu community offers an impressive array of amenities, including heated pools and spas, outdoor barbecue areas, and a recently renovated clubhouse featuring a state-of-the-art fitness center.

  16. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus $333,500 Closed 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom

  17. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus $333,500
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom

  18. 2021-04-06
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom

  19. 2021-04-01
    status Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom

  20. 2021-03-29
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom

  21. 2021-02-27
    listed $330,000 Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom

  22. 2019-06-14
    soldstatus $237,000 Closed
  23. 2019-06-14
    soldstatus $237,000
  24. 2019-05-31
    status Pending
  25. 2019-05-21
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  26. 2019-05-16
    listed $234,950 Active
  27. 2007-05-31
    soldstatus $273,500
  28. 2007-05-31
    soldstatus $273,500
  29. 2007-05-21
    historical
  30. 2006-08-09
    listed $289,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,765 · $230/mo
Expected delta
+$1,413/yr (+$118/mo · 104.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,183
− Mortgage interest
−$23,471
− Property taxes
−$1,353
− Insurance
−$2,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,495
− Management
−$2,495
− HOA
−$5,940
− Depreciation
−$12,189
Taxable loss
−$18,854
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,525
After-tax cash flow
$-6,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
NCES district ID
0405930
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$64,106
Composite
37.89/100
National rank
#4316
State rank
#56 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
45,346
Household income
$140,616
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.64%
Current HPI
330.9931
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $419,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $333,500 Public Records
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (MLS) $333,500 ARMLS
  • 2021-04-06 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2021-04-01 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2021-03-29 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2021-02-27 Listed $330,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $237,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) $237,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-05-31 Pending ARMLS
  • 2019-05-21 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2019-05-16 Listed $234,950 ARMLS
  • 2007-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $273,500 Public Records
  • 2007-05-31 Sold (MLS) $273,500 ARMLS
  • 2007-05-21 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-08-09 Listed $289,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,353 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…