19777 N 76th St #2141 · Scottsdale, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- Cash flow +5.3/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$419,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare end-unit opportunity offering exceptional privacy with no neighbors above, below, or on one side. Expansive windows fill the home with natural light, creating a bright and inviting living space. Enjoy the convenience of a one-car attached garage located directly below the unit for easy access. Located in a gated North Scottsdale community, this home delivers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and resort-style living. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, searching for a primary residence, a lock-and-leave vacation retreat, or an investment property, this home checks every box. The Venu community offers an impressive array of amenities, including heated pools and spas, outdoor barbecue areas, and a recently renovated clubhouse featuring a state-of-the-art fitness center.
Key facts
- $495 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $419k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-927 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (39.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (38.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $255k (39.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 720 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($406k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $334k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.48%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $455,181
- List price
- $419,000
- Delta
- -7.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.64% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $56,833
- Equity at exit
- $253,854
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $224,245
- Equity at exit
- $452,328
Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85255
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 720
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,599 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,197
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$495
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $-927
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-690 | -5% $-808 | +0% $-927 | +5% $-1,045 | +10% $-1,164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,132 | -5% $-1,029 | +0% $-927 | +5% $-824 | +10% $-721 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-716 | -0.5pp $-820 | base $-927 | +0.5pp $-1,035 | +1.0pp $-1,146 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,750
- Closing costs
- $12,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19777 N 76th St Unit 1546393P Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $3,109 | $2.35 | 8d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1324 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 10d | 19 | 0.05mi |
| 19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1293 | $3,250 | $2.51 | 44d | 9 | 0.05mi |
| 19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1324 | $1,995 | $1.51 | 0d | 17 | 0.05mi |
| 19700 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1633 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 5d | 14 | 0.10mi |
| 19700 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1633 | $3,500 | $2.14 | 44d | 7 | 0.10mi |
| 20121 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $2,795 | $1.92 | 0d | 2 | 0.11mi |
| 20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $4,650 | $4.46 | 20d | 15 | 0.21mi |
| 20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $4,650 | $4.46 | 0d | 18 | 0.21mi |
| 20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $3,925 | $3.26 | 44d | 5 | 0.21mi |
| 7340 E Legacy Blvd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $1,940 | $1.86 | 0d | 20 | 0.37mi |
| 7355 E Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $2,048 | $1.96 | 0d | 40 | 0.44mi |
| 7220 E Mayo Blvd Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1418 | $7,633 | $5.38 | 0d | 86 | 0.88mi |
| 18525 N Scottsdale Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 749 | $1,965 | $2.62 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 19550 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1814 | $3,800 | $2.09 | 44d | 4 | 1.07mi |
| 19550 N Grayhawk Dr Unit 1545664P Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $2,159 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17777 N Scottsdale Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $3,399 | $3.61 | 0d | 23 | 1.16mi |
| 6800 E Mayo Blvd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $2,252 | $2.29 | 0d | 20 | 1.31mi |
| 18440 N 68th St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $2,215 | $2.63 | 0d | 63 | 1.43mi |
| 20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1930 | $3,195 | $1.66 | 0d | 9 | 1.44mi |
| 20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1930 | $3,300 | $1.71 | 25d | 8 | 1.44mi |
| 20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1930 | $3,250 | $1.68 | 22d | 9 | 1.44mi |
| 6901 E Chauncey Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $2,038 | $2.00 | 0d | 24 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $495 · $5,940/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $419,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $419,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $419,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $419,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $419,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $419,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $419,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $419,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $419,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $419,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $419,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $419,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $419,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $419,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-04-18$419,000 Active 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Rare end-unit opportunity offering exceptional privacy with no neighbors above, below, or on one side. Expansive windows fill the home with natural light, creating a bright and inviting living space. Enjoy the convenience of a one-car attached garage located directly below the unit for easy access. Located in a gated North Scottsdale community, this home delivers the perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and resort-style living. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, searching for a primary residence, a lock-and-leave vacation retreat, or an investment property, this home checks every box. The Venu community offers an impressive array of amenities, including heated pools and spas, outdoor barbecue areas, and a recently renovated clubhouse featuring a state-of-the-art fitness center.
-
2021-04-26soldstatus $333,500 Closed 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom
-
2021-04-26soldstatus $333,500
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom
-
2021-04-06historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom
-
2021-04-01status Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom
-
2021-03-29historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom
-
2021-02-27$330,000 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Were you looking for a North Scottsdale gated community home with all the community amenities you could ever want? Perfect for a first-time home buyer, primary residence, lock and leave vacation home, or investment property? Congratulations, you found your next home! The Venu community features resort-style heated pools and spas, outdoor barbeque areas, recently renovated and upgraded community/great room, which includes numerous on-site amenities for residents. Open and highly functional floorplan with expansive oversized windows and covered patio. Kitchen opens to main living space and master bedroom with ensuite bathroom
-
2019-06-14soldstatus $237,000 Closed
-
2019-06-14soldstatus $237,000
-
2019-05-31status Pending
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2019-05-21historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
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2019-05-16$234,950 Active
-
2007-05-31soldstatus $273,500
-
2007-05-31soldstatus $273,500
-
2007-05-21historical
-
2006-08-09$289,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,353 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,765 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,413/yr (+$118/mo · 104.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,471
- − Property taxes
- −$1,353
- − Insurance
- −$2,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,495
- − Management
- −$2,495
- − HOA
- −$5,940
- − Depreciation
- −$12,189
- Taxable loss
- −$18,854
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,525
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
- NCES district ID
- 0405930
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,106
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4316
- State rank
- #56 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Scottsdale
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1756
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsdale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 290,846
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,346
- Household income
- $140,616
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.64%
- Current HPI
- 330.9931
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+45.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Listed $419,000 ARMLS
- 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $333,500 Public Records
- 2021-04-26 Sold (MLS) $333,500 ARMLS
- 2021-04-06 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2021-04-01 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2021-03-29 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2021-02-27 Listed $330,000 ARMLS
- 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $237,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) $237,000 ARMLS
- 2019-05-31 Pending — ARMLS
- 2019-05-21 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2019-05-16 Listed $234,950 ARMLS
- 2007-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $273,500 Public Records
- 2007-05-31 Sold (MLS) $273,500 ARMLS
- 2007-05-21 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-08-09 Listed $289,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,353 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…