178 Albion St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Cash flow +0.9/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$995,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
Key facts
- Room for storage
- In unit laundry
- Clawfoot tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a 6-unit community
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $365; Community amenities: Barbecue, Roof deck; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered garage space; Side-by-side parking on site
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One story; Attached property; Built in 1909
- Construction: Year built 1909
- Exterior features: Ground-level entry
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: In-unit stacked washer/dryer; Inside laundry room; Wood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Stacked washer and dryer inside unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 12-bed/6.0-bath townhouse listed at $995k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-50k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $706k (29.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $664k (33.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $664k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 1.3% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,637/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($158k/yr) (locally 2732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($965k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $775k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.89%
- DSCR
- 0.20
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,195,220
- List price
- $995,000
- Delta
- -16.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -43.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.40×
- Total profit
- $-389,098
- Equity at exit
- $148,358
- IRR
- -32.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-513,179
- Equity at exit
- $86,029
Cash invested: $278,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94110
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,637 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,218
- Tax from tax record
- −$3,400 /mo · $40,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$415
- HOA
- −$365
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,394
- Net cashflow
- $-4,154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3,591 | -5% $-3,873 | +0% $-4,154 | +5% $-4,436 | +10% $-4,718 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-4,679 | -5% $-4,416 | +0% $-4,154 | +5% $-3,892 | +10% $-3,630 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-3,653 | -0.5pp $-3,901 | base $-4,154 | +0.5pp $-4,412 | +1.0pp $-4,674 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $248,750
- Closing costs
- $29,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $365 · $4,380/yr
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-15status $995,000 Pending 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $995,000 Contingent - No Show 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $995,000 Contingent - No Show 37 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $995,000 Contingent - No Show 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $995,000 Contingent - No Show 33 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $995,000 Contingent - No Show 32 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $995,000 Contingent - No Show 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $995,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $995,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $995,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $995,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $995,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-07$995,000 Active 1827-char remark
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2015-10-23soldstatus $775,000
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2009-12-18soldstatus $450,000
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2009-07-07soldstatus $400,000
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2009-07-01soldstatus $515,000
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2009-06-26historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-06-25soldstatus $415,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-06-25soldstatus $415,000
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-05-15historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-04-21status
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-04-19historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-03-20status
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-03-19historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-02-20status
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-02-19historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2009-01-09price $435,000
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2008-12-19status
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2008-12-19historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
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2008-11-20price $485,000
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2008-11-07status
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
-
2008-11-04historical
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
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2008-10-17price $510,000
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
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2008-09-20$530,000
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
New Tenancy in Common in a great Mission Dolores location close to shopping, transportation, and restaurants. Hardwood floors & spacious rooms. Updated kitchen. Shared roof deck. Independent parking space. Hardwood floors & charm. ALL UNITS VACANT, NO EVICTIONS. 2 SOLD. Seller may carry 10% 2nd.
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2008-08-20soldstatus $580,000
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2008-08-20soldstatus $525,000
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2008-08-19historical
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2008-07-18$505,000
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2005-07-12soldstatus $1,618,000
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1994-08-22$495,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $40,801 · $3,400/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $40,801 · $3,400/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $79,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,735
- − Property taxes
- −$40,801
- − Insurance
- −$4,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,372
- − Management
- −$6,372
- − HOA
- −$4,380
- − Depreciation
- −$28,945
- Taxable loss
- −$67,936
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$16,305
- After-tax cash flow
- $-33,547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,865
- Household income
- $158,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2732.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1385.62%
- Current HPI
- 267.2424
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.54%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+101.0% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — San Francisco MLS
- 2026-06-05 Contingent — San Francisco MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $995,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2015-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $775,000 Public Records
- 2009-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $515,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-26 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-25 Sold (MLS) $415,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2009-05-15 Contingent — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-04-21 Relisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-04-19 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-03-20 Relisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-03-19 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-02-20 Relisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-02-19 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-01-09 Price Changed $435,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2008-12-19 Relisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2008-12-19 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2008-11-20 Price Changed $485,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2008-11-07 Relisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2008-11-04 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2008-10-17 Price Changed $510,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2008-09-20 Listed $530,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2008-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $580,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-19 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2008-07-18 Listed $505,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2005-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $1,618,000 Public Records
- 1994-08-22 Listed $495,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2017): $40,801 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…