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3973 Lake Bayshore Dr #503
C Composite 55.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,000

3973 Lake Bayshore Dr #503 · South Bradenton, FL 34205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Condo · 168 Days on market
55+ age-restricted Built 1978 Good condition $75/sqft · 34% below area Est $119k · 34% under $646/mo HOA · 42% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy Florida living in the desirable Bayshore on the Lake 55+ community! This beautifully refreshed 2 bedroom, 1 bath condo offers comfort, convenience, and peaceful surroundings all in one. Freshly updated with new carpet, laminate flooring, and interior paint, the home feels bright, clean, and move-in ready from the moment you walk in. The spacious layout features an inviting living and dining area with plenty of natural light, while the updated flooring adds a modern touch throughout the main living spaces. The kitchen offers ample cabinet storage and flows seamlessly into the living area, making it perfect for everyday living or entertaining guests.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • New carpet
  • Natural light

Tags

BAYSHORE ON THE LAKENEW CARPETLAMINATE FLOORINGINTERIOR PAINTNATURAL LIGHTAMPLE CABINET STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $78k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($373/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.7% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Robert H. Prine Elementary School (math 46% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 744 students, 75% FRL); W. D. Sugg Middle School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #462 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 1,010 students, 72% FRL); Southeast High School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,716 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97% ✓
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,004
List price
$78,000
Delta
-34.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2628 45th Ave W 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 984 (-5%) 0mo $210,000 $213 60
1101 Lemonwood Ave 1.05mi 2/1.0 992 (-5%) 0mo $250,000 $252 57
4307 Park Lake Ter N 1.32mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+6%) 0mo $298,000 $271 51
2925 Park Lake Dr #12 1.35mi 2/2.0 1,127 (+8%) 0mo $142,900 $127 47
4423 Park Lake Ter N 1.38mi 2/2.0 1,127 (+8%) 0mo $244,000 $217 47
390 301 Blvd W Unit 5B 1.13mi 2/1.0 900 (-14%) 0mo $88,500 $98 42
2719 51st Ave W 1.15mi 2/1.0 896 (-14%) 0mo $127,000 $142 42
202 46th Avenue Ter W Unit 209 1.40mi 2/2.0 1,188 (+14%) 0mo $152,500 $128 37
3740 Pinebrook Cir #207 1.46mi 2/2.0 1,239 (+19%) 0mo $154,000 $124 36
3780 Pinebrook Cir #307 1.25mi 2/2.0 1,280 (+23%) 0mo $165,000 $129 36
5127 8th St W 1.49mi 2/2.0 800 (-23%) 0mo $105,000 $131 36
2815 Southern Pkwy W 0.80mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,174 (+13%) 0mo $371,000 $316 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.6%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-14,751
Equity at exit
$11,630
10-year hold
IRR
-51.3%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-26,023
Equity at exit
$6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 2 under contract
Median asking
$129,900 ($114/sqft)
Median days on market
177 d
This list price
20% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+0.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34205

Rents YoY
-2.4%
Active inventory
444
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,539 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$409
Tax est. 1.5%
−$98 /mo · $1,170/yr
Insurance
−$32
HOA
−$646
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,500
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $85 -5% $58 +0% $31 +5% $4 +10% $-23
Rent -10% $-91 -5% $-30 +0% $31 +5% $92 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $70 -0.5pp $51 base $31 +0.5pp $11 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4127 Heron Way Unit E-111 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,450 $1.27 55d 1 0.02mi
4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 768 $1,250 $1.63 164d 1 0.02mi
3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 912 $1,150 $1.26 162d 1 0.02mi
4143 Heron Way Unit 207 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,500 $1.31 10d 1 0.02mi
3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 155d 1 0.02mi
3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,700 $1.49 164d 1 0.02mi
4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,340 $1.17 164d 1 0.02mi
4111 Heron Way Unit E103 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.02mi
4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,500 $1.31 10d 1 0.02mi
4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,340 $1.17 133d 1 0.02mi
3561 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1040 $2,000 $1.92 2d 1 0.09mi
3693 Lake Bayshore Dr Bldg H Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 760 $1,295 $1.70 110d 1 0.10mi
4242 Heron Way Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1196 $1,500 $1.25 10d 1 0.17mi
4204 Heron Way Unit B304 Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 912 $1,400 $1.54 144d 1 0.20mi
3316 26th St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,999 $1.36 55d 1 0.27mi
3525 19th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $1,600 $1.84 55d 1 0.33mi
2306 30th Ave W Unit 2306 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 945 $1,495 $1.58 41d 1 0.40mi
2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 945 $1,500 $1.59 53d 1 0.40mi
3122 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.41mi
3124 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 219 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $2,300 $2.01 10d 1 0.41mi
3570 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K-206 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.41mi
3064 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 115 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1144 $1,250 $1.09 10d 1 0.41mi
2914 24th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 756 $1,695 $2.24 41d 1 0.43mi
3007 40th Ave W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1041 $2,095 $2.01 10d 1 0.47mi
2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $1,400 $1.49 125d 1 0.47mi
2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $1,400 $1.49 133d 1 0.47mi
2901 26th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $1,725 $1.81 0d 2 0.48mi
2901 26th St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 940 $1,650 $1.76 55d 2 0.48mi
3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 993 $1,650 $1.66 0d 4 0.49mi
4540 19th Street Cir W Unit 4405-D Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 804 $1,495 $1.86 10d 1 0.51mi
4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,390 $2.02 0d 31 0.52mi
3617 32nd St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1276 $1,800 $1.41 53d 1 0.53mi
2820 21st St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 947 $2,295 $2.42 10d 1 0.53mi
2820 21st St W Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 947 $2,330 $2.46 23d 1 0.53mi
3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 138d 1 0.56mi
2305 46th Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,811 $1.78 0d 10 0.60mi
4444 17th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $2,200 $2.59 10d 1 0.61mi
1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 715 $1,125 $1.57 0d 1 0.64mi
1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL 1.0 1.0 715 $1,175 $1.64 15d 1 0.64mi
2105 46th Avenue Dr W Unit 2405 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 884 $2,100 $2.38 119d 1 0.66mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Partially furnishedLiving area approximately 1,040 sq ftBuilding total area approximately 1,222 sq ftDirections: Go toward Anna Maria Island on Cortez Road, right on 26th Ave, right on Lake Bayshore Drive; enter community to building F and take elevator to floor 5.
Financial info
Total annual fees: $7,752Lease restrictions apply
HOA & community
HOA managed by Property Resource ManagementMonthly condo fee: $646 (includes cable TV, pool, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, trash)Association approval requiredBuyer approval requiredClubhouse and poolCommunity mailboxAssociation recreation ownedPets allowed: cats and dogsSenior community

Exterior

Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable connected
Home design
CondominiumResidential propertyNorth-facingLocated on 5th floorThree or more levels in buildingEntry on slab foundation
Construction
Block constructionShingle roofBuilt on slab foundationBuilding identified as F
Exterior features
BalconyAsphalt road accessLake view and lake access

Interior

Kitchen
MicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetLaminateTile
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansLiving room/dining room comboOpen floorplanWalk-in closet(s)Building has elevator
Laundry & utility
Common area laundry

HOA detail $646/mo · $7,752/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-06
    days on market $78,000 Active 168 DOM
  2. 2026-11-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-11-04
    days on market $78,000 Active 166 DOM
  4. 2026-11-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-11-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 163 DOM
  6. 2026-10-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 162 DOM
  7. 2026-10-30
    days on market $78,000 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-10-29
    days on market $78,000 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-10-28
    days on market $78,000 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-10-27
    pricedays on market $78,000 Active 158 DOM
  11. 2026-10-26
    days on market $82,000 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-10-25
    days on market $82,000 Active 156 DOM
  13. 2026-10-24
    days on market $82,000 Active 155 DOM
  14. 2026-10-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 154 DOM
  15. 2026-10-22
    days on market $82,000 Active 153 DOM
  16. 2026-10-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 152 DOM
  17. 2026-10-20
    days on market $82,000 Active 151 DOM
  18. 2026-10-19
    days on market $82,000 Active 150 DOM
  19. 2026-10-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 149 DOM
  20. 2026-10-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 148 DOM
  21. 2026-10-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 147 DOM
  22. 2026-10-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 146 DOM
  23. 2026-10-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 145 DOM
  24. 2026-10-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 144 DOM
  25. 2026-10-12
    days on market $82,000 Active 143 DOM
  26. 2026-10-11
    days on market $82,000 Active 142 DOM
  27. 2026-10-10
    days on market $82,000 Active 141 DOM
  28. 2026-10-09
    days on market $82,000 Active 140 DOM
  29. 2026-10-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 139 DOM
  30. 2026-10-07
    days on market $82,000 Active 138 DOM
  31. 2026-10-06
    days on market $82,000 Active 137 DOM
  32. 2026-10-05
    days on market $82,000 Active 136 DOM
  33. 2026-10-04
    days on market $82,000 Active 135 DOM
  34. 2026-10-03
    days on market $82,000 Active 134 DOM
  35. 2026-10-02
    days on market $82,000 Active 133 DOM
  36. 2026-10-01
    days on market $82,000 Active 132 DOM
  37. 2026-09-30
    days on market $82,000 Active 131 DOM
  38. 2026-09-29
    days on market $82,000 Active 130 DOM
  39. 2026-09-28
    days on market $82,000 Active 129 DOM
  40. 2026-09-27
    days on market $82,000 Active 128 DOM
  41. 2026-09-25
    days on market $82,000 Active 126 DOM
  42. 2026-09-24
    days on market $82,000 Active 125 DOM
  43. 2026-09-22
    days on market $82,000 Active 123 DOM
  44. 2026-09-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 122 DOM
  45. 2026-09-20
    days on market $82,000 Active 121 DOM
  46. 2026-09-19
    days on market $82,000 Active 120 DOM
  47. 2026-09-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 119 DOM
  48. 2026-09-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 118 DOM
  49. 2026-09-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 117 DOM
  50. 2026-09-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 116 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,473
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,170
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,478
− Management
−$1,478
− HOA
−$7,752
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable loss
−$433
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$104
After-tax cash flow
$477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 24 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,200–$15,600 screening

This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo is move-in ready with updated flooring, cabinets, and appliances. It offers a good return on investment with its location and amenities.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Robert H. Prine Elementary School F FL #1,560/2,144 Nat'l #20,819/41,679 Middle W. D. Sugg Middle School F FL #462/571 Nat'l #8,646/14,009 High Southeast High School F FL #447/667 Nat'l #11,215/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 77/100

Livability — South Bradenton

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3092

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bradenton, FL
County
Manatee County · 447,342 people
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,946
Household income
$52,525
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
18% of renters

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $88,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…