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28442 Thorny Brae Rd
D- Composite 35.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

28442 Thorny Brae Rd · Farmington Hills, MI 48331
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,245 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1956 0.35 ac lot Est $299k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Subdivision: KENDALLWOOD; Lot dimensions approx. 110 x 140 (0.35 acres); Directions: Take Bayberry north off 12 Mile, turn left onto Thorny Brae. Home is on the right side of the street.

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with direct access; Garage door opener; Garage faces side; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers and 220 volts
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level above grade; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built area above grade: 1,245; Finished below-grade area: 1,000
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Back yard fencing (fenced); Shed(s); Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric cooktop; Range hood; Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High speed internet; Finished basement; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Farmington Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#64 in MI, #1,364 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, health & safety F.
  • Farmington Public School District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Kenbrook Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #382 of 1,397 statewide, top 30%, 392 students, 32% FRL); Warner Middle School (math 37% / reading 56%, grade D+, #150 of 493 statewide, top 31%, 571 students, 34% FRL); North Farmington High School (math 48% / reading 67%, grade C, #95 of 713 statewide, top 14%, 1,268 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $188k; list at $325k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $251,837 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.58%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,800
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28357 New Castle Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+10%) 2mo $330,000 $240 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-51,823
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-604
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48331

Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,518 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$346 /mo · $4,146/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$-196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,766
Max offer price $290,416
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-12 -5% $-104 +0% $-196 +5% $-288 +10% $-380
Rent -10% $-395 -5% $-295 +0% $-196 +5% $-96 +10% $3
Rate -1.0pp $-32 -0.5pp $-113 base $-196 +0.5pp $-280 +1.0pp $-366

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $325,000 Active 851-char remark
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.

  2. 2026-05-22
    listed $325,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.

  3. 2026-05-21
    historical $325,000 851-char remark
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.

  4. 2014-07-24
    soldstatus $187,500
  5. 2014-05-30
    soldstatus $187,500 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!

  6. 2014-05-30
    soldstatus $187,500
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!

  7. 2014-05-01
    historical
  8. 2014-04-24
    listed $182,900 467-char remark
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!

  9. 2014-04-24
    listed $182,900
    Show marketing remark (467 chars)

    Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!

  10. 2013-07-08
    historical
  11. 2013-07-08
    historical
  12. 2012-08-25
    listed $184,500
  13. 2012-08-25
    listed $184,500
  14. 2012-05-19
    historical
  15. 2012-05-19
    historical
  16. 2012-04-19
    listed $184,500
  17. 2012-04-19
    listed $184,500
  18. 2012-04-19
    historical
  19. 2012-04-18
    historical
  20. 2012-04-05
    listed $189,900
  21. 2012-04-05
    listed $189,900
  22. 2012-01-18
    historical
  23. 2011-12-20
    historical
  24. 2011-12-18
    listed $189,900
  25. 2011-12-18
    listed $189,900
  26. 1997-06-23
    soldstatus $156,500
  27. 1997-06-02
    soldstatus $156,500
  28. 1997-03-19
    listed $158,000
  29. 1986-10-01
    soldstatus $90,000
  30. 1975-11-01
    soldstatus $48,000
  31. 1973-06-01
    soldstatus $41,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,146 · $346/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,576 · $381/mo
Expected delta
+$429/yr (+$36/mo · 10.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,220
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,146
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,418
− Management
−$2,418
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$8,046
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,931
After-tax cash flow
$-418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farmington Public School District
NCES district ID
2614070
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$72,846
Composite
46.17/100
National rank
#2497
State rank
#78 of 540 in MI

Livability — Farmington Hills

Score
81/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#1364

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmington Hills, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
67,612
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,562
Household income
$127,633
Rent vs Own
21.2% rent · 78.8% own
Severe rent burden
589.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 16% Asian 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Arab 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
74% English-only · Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.00%
Current HPI
158.1222
Rent YoY
▲ 9.66%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+685.0% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $325,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $187,500 Public Records
  • 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $187,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $187,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-04-24 Listed $182,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-04-24 Listed $182,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-25 Listed $184,500 REALCOMP
  • 2012-08-25 Listed $184,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-05-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-05-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-19 Listed $184,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-19 Listed $184,500 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-05 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-05 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-12-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-18 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-18 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
  • 1997-06-02 Sold (MLS) $156,500 REALCOMP
  • 1997-03-19 Listed $158,000 REALCOMP
  • 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1975-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 1973-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,146 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…