28442 Thorny Brae Rd · Farmington Hills, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Subdivision: KENDALLWOOD; Lot dimensions approx. 110 x 140 (0.35 acres); Directions: Take Bayberry north off 12 Mile, turn left onto Thorny Brae. Home is on the right side of the street.
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with direct access; Garage door opener; Garage faces side; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers and 220 volts
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level above grade; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built area above grade: 1,245; Finished below-grade area: 1,000
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Back yard fencing (fenced); Shed(s); Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric cooktop; Range hood; Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High speed internet; Finished basement; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (10.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Farmington Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#64 in MI, #1,364 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, health & safety F.
- Farmington Public School District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Kenbrook Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #382 of 1,397 statewide, top 30%, 392 students, 32% FRL); Warner Middle School (math 37% / reading 56%, grade D+, #150 of 493 statewide, top 31%, 571 students, 34% FRL); North Farmington High School (math 48% / reading 67%, grade C, #95 of 713 statewide, top 14%, 1,268 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $188k; list at $325k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.58%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,800
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28357 New Castle Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (+10%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $240 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-51,823
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-604
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48331
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$346 /mo · $4,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $-196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-12 | -5% $-104 | +0% $-196 | +5% $-288 | +10% $-380 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-395 | -5% $-295 | +0% $-196 | +5% $-96 | +10% $3 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-32 | -0.5pp $-113 | base $-196 | +0.5pp $-280 | +1.0pp $-366 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-05-22$325,000 Active 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.
-
2026-05-22$325,000 Active
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.
-
2026-05-21historical $325,000 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
A Dream Come True! Attractive brick ranch on a park-like lot boasts a spacious living room with a natural fireplace and large picture window. Formal dining room leads to backyard deck. Hardwood flooring throughout most of the main level. The kitchen has a built-in dishwasher and an updated electric cooktop and refrigerator along with a breakfast bar overlooking the backyard. Updates in this home include furnace and central air (`16), electric panel (`18), most interior doors, many windows, hot water heater (`17), gutters with a gutter guard system. Wonderful finished, carpeted basement with Rec. room, full bathroom and a flex room for an office or guest visits. Newer (`20) washer and dryer included. The backyard has privacy fencing and a spacious deck and concrete patio. Two car, side-entry garage with door opener. Occupancy is negotiable.
-
2014-07-24soldstatus $187,500
-
2014-05-30soldstatus $187,500 467-char remark
Show marketing remark (467 chars)
Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!
-
2014-05-30soldstatus $187,500
Show marketing remark (467 chars)
Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!
-
2014-05-01historical
-
2014-04-24$182,900 467-char remark
Show marketing remark (467 chars)
Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!
-
2014-04-24$182,900
Show marketing remark (467 chars)
Sharp ranch! Hrdwd floors in living, bedrms & dining. Door from dining to large deck & patio. Master w/ 2 closets. Kitchen w/ ceramic, appliances. 1/2 bath w/ pedestal sink. Partially finished basement w/ 4th bed, family rm, bath & walk-in closet. 2 car attached garage. Wooded back yard w/ new concrete patio, sidewalks & many perennials! Great sub close/walking distance to grocery, drug store, eateries, parks, YMCA, etc. Home warranty too!
-
2013-07-08historical
-
2013-07-08historical
-
2012-08-25$184,500
-
2012-08-25$184,500
-
2012-05-19historical
-
2012-05-19historical
-
2012-04-19$184,500
-
2012-04-19$184,500
-
2012-04-19historical
-
2012-04-18historical
-
2012-04-05$189,900
-
2012-04-05$189,900
-
2012-01-18historical
-
2011-12-20historical
-
2011-12-18$189,900
-
2011-12-18$189,900
-
1997-06-23soldstatus $156,500
-
1997-06-02soldstatus $156,500
-
1997-03-19$158,000
-
1986-10-01soldstatus $90,000
-
1975-11-01soldstatus $48,000
-
1973-06-01soldstatus $41,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,146 · $346/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,576 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- +$429/yr (+$36/mo · 10.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,146
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,418
- − Management
- −$2,418
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$8,046
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,931
- After-tax cash flow
- $-418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Farmington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614070
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,846
- Composite
- 46.17/100
- National rank
- #2497
- State rank
- #78 of 540 in MI
Livability — Farmington Hills
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #1364
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmington Hills, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 67,612
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,562
- Household income
- $127,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 589.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 16% Asian 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Arab 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.00%
- Current HPI
- 158.1222
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.66%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+685.0% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $325,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $187,500 Public Records
- 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $187,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-30 Sold (MLS) $187,500 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-04-24 Listed $182,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-04-24 Listed $182,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-07-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-07-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-08-25 Listed $184,500 REALCOMP
- 2012-08-25 Listed $184,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-05-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-05-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-04-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-19 Listed $184,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-19 Listed $184,500 REALCOMP
- 2012-04-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-04-05 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2012-04-05 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-12-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2011-12-18 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-12-18 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
- 1997-06-02 Sold (MLS) $156,500 REALCOMP
- 1997-03-19 Listed $158,000 REALCOMP
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1975-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1973-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,146 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…