14 Bantam Rd · New Fairfield, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
Key facts
- New privacy fence
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved private driveway; Driveway and paved parking; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Private well water; Cesspool sewage; Electric power
- Home design: Single-family seasonal property; Tan exterior; Vinyl siding; Gable roof with asphalt shingles
- Construction: Frame construction; Block and concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Covered deck; Patio; Partial privacy fencing and secluded setting; Interior, level lot on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Foyer entry; Ceiling fans; Storm doors; Has attic with floored storage space and pull-down stairs; Crawl space basement (unfinished, dirt floor, partial with hatchway)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in hallway on main level; Propane hot water (30 gallon tank)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $243k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- New Fairfield School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #41 of 153 in CT (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Consolidated School (483 students, 16% FRL); New Fairfield High School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #26 of 194 statewide, top 16%, 686 students, 15% FRL).
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $255k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.29%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,654
- List price
- $255,000
- Delta
- -29.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jackson Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 784 (+1%) | 11mo | $360,000 | $459 | 73 |
| 5 Glenville Rd | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 884 (+14%) | 11mo | $360,000 | $407 | 58 |
| 23 Ball Pond Rd E | 0.49mi | 1/1.0 | 844 (+8%) | 9mo | $459,000 | $544 | 55 |
| 6 Ansonia Rd | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+14%) | 22mo | $330,000 | $371 | 48 |
| 53 Eastwood Rd | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 | 696 (-10%) | 2mo | $206,000 | $296 | 47 |
| 18 Ilion Rd | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 868 (+12%) | 21mo | $362,000 | $417 | 46 |
| 12 Yale Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (-10%) | 22mo | $250,000 | $359 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-25,085
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-1,003
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06812
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,430 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $255,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $255,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $255,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $255,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $255,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical
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2026-05-04$265,000 Active 1102-char remark
-
2026-04-06price $265,000
-
2026-01-30$275,000 Active
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2026-01-28historical
-
2024-10-07status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
-
2024-10-07soldstatus $150,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
-
2024-07-28historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
-
2024-07-18price $185,000
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
-
2024-06-29price $204,000
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
-
2024-05-28$224,000 Active
Show marketing remark (623 chars)
Renovated SEASONAL Cottage in the Ball Pond area of New Fairfield. Quaint & quiet, a great place to enjoy the summer. Newer wood looking vinyl flooring & raised panel doors throughout. Updated kitchen & full bath. Feels bigger than the square footage -foyer, den opens up to screened in porch, livingroom/diningroom combo but there is a room that could be a separate dining room, plus an office. Great outdoor space - front porch, side yard and patio. Paved driveway for parking. Located on a small, quiet dead end. Attic for storage plus crawl space storage under the home. Come enjoy summers in New Fairfield!
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2005-11-23soldstatus $63,000
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2005-11-23soldstatus $63,000
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2005-11-22soldstatus $63,000
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2005-07-11$62,000
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2003-12-13historical
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2003-08-13$62,500
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2003-01-21historical
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2002-07-21$62,500
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1999-12-03historical
-
1999-07-12$49,900
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1998-10-01historical
-
1998-07-02$59,500
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1997-10-01historical
-
1997-06-30$59,500
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1996-10-12historical
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1996-07-16$59,500
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1995-10-29historical
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1995-07-29$60,000
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1994-10-16historical
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1994-07-16$60,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,650 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,054 · $338/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,404/yr (+$117/mo · 53.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$2,650
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,333
- − Management
- −$2,333
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$1,134
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$272
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Fairfield School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902730
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,909
- Composite
- 55.38/100
- National rank
- #1253
- State rank
- #41 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Fairfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ball Pond, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,558
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.77%
- Current HPI
- 238.3277
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+322.2% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $255,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $265,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $265,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $275,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-01-28 Coming Soon — Smart MLS
- 2024-10-07 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2024-10-07 Sold (MLS) $150,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-07-28 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2024-07-18 Price Changed $185,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-06-29 Price Changed $204,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-05-28 Listed $224,000 Smart MLS
- 2005-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-22 Sold (MLS) $63,000 Smart MLS
- 2005-07-11 Listed $62,000 Smart MLS
- 2003-12-13 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2003-08-13 Listed $62,500 Smart MLS
- 2003-01-21 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2002-07-21 Listed $62,500 Smart MLS
- 1999-12-03 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1999-07-12 Listed $49,900 Smart MLS
- 1998-10-01 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1998-07-02 Listed $59,500 Smart MLS
- 1997-10-01 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1997-06-30 Listed $59,500 Smart MLS
- 1996-10-12 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1996-07-16 Listed $59,500 Smart MLS
- 1995-10-29 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1995-07-29 Listed $60,000 Smart MLS
- 1994-10-16 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1994-07-16 Listed $60,400 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2022): $2,650 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…