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615 N Church St
B Composite 71.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

615 N Church St · Starke, FL 32091
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1959 0.35 ac lot Est $232k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lots of space in this 3 bedroom concrete block home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot. Home features a lovely florida room, 2 car garage, fresh paint,and lots of cabinets in kitchen. There is tons of storage space plus a storage shed all in a convient location.

Key facts

  • Large living area
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Sunroom

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE LIVING AREAAMPLE CABINETRYSUNROOMFULLY FENCED REAR YARDSIDE-ENTRY GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Shed(s) on property; Lot size approx. 0.35 acre
  • Financial info: Property taxed (tax amount available separately)
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Garage faces side; Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Fixer condition; One story; Faces east; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as single-story
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Private mailbox; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Cleared lot; Public paved road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.5% in Starke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#336 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
  • Bradford (town): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #57 of 73 in FL (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 93 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,570 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.75%
Cash-on-cash
12.36%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$231,552
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 N Church St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,765 (+2%) 1mo $153,900 $87 92
423 N Broadway St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,736 (+0%) 1mo $232,000 $134 72
763 N Walnut St 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,627 (-6%) 6mo $199,900 $123 69
374 N Cherry St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,876 (+9%) 11mo $59,999 $32 61
315 N St Clair St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-9%) 22mo $215,000 $137 49
4740 SE 96th Ter 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,608 (-7%) 24mo $252,000 $157 44
601 W Weldon St 0.69mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,726 (-0%) 17mo $266,000 $154 41
208 W Pratt St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,472 (-15%) 23mo $180,000 $122 37
431 N Broadway St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-13%) 22mo $215,000 $144 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,554
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$41,612
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32091

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,048 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,801/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,456
Max offer price $162,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
650 E Call St Starke, FL 3.0 2.5 1438 $2,300 $1.60 12d 1 0.45mi
687 S Orange St Starke, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 12d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-03
    listed $162,000 Active
  3. 2024-03-06
    status Pending
  4. 2024-02-27
    status Active
  5. 2024-02-21
    status Pending
  6. 2024-02-09
    listed $200,000 Active
  7. 2005-09-09
    soldstatus $125,000
  8. 2005-08-24
    soldstatus $125,000 266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Lots of space in this 3 bedroom concrete block home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot. Home features a lovely florida room, 2 car garage, fresh paint,and lots of cabinets in kitchen. There is tons of storage space plus a storage shed all in a convient location.

  9. 2005-05-25
    listed $125,000 266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Lots of space in this 3 bedroom concrete block home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot. Home features a lovely florida room, 2 car garage, fresh paint,and lots of cabinets in kitchen. There is tons of storage space plus a storage shed all in a convient location.

  10. 1986-08-01
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,801 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,801 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,572
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$2,801
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,966
− Management
−$1,966
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable income
$3,242
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$778
After-tax cash flow
$4,828/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bradford
NCES district ID
1200120
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,661
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4840
State rank
#57 of 73 in FL

Livability — Starke

Score
72/100
State rank
#336
US rank
#5839

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Starke, FL
City population
16,062
Population (ZIP)
16,062

Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,999 people
By 2030
23,895 · -4.4%
By 2040
21,329 · -14.7%
By 2050
18,681 · -25.3%
By 2075
13,557 · -45.8%
By 2100
9,228 · -63.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradford

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.1% · R 78.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.3pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+52.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+40.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.09%
Current HPI
305.3668
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+260.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $162,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-27 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-21 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-09 Listed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-24 Sold (MLS) $125,000 realMLS
  • 2005-05-25 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,801 · +253.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…