615 N Church St · Starke, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of space in this 3 bedroom concrete block home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot. Home features a lovely florida room, 2 car garage, fresh paint,and lots of cabinets in kitchen. There is tons of storage space plus a storage shed all in a convient location.
Key facts
- Large living area
- Ample cabinetry
- Sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Shed(s) on property; Lot size approx. 0.35 acre
- Financial info: Property taxed (tax amount available separately)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Garage faces side; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Fixer condition; One story; Faces east; Entry level: One
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as single-story
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Private mailbox; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Cleared lot; Public paved road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.5% in Starke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#336 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
- Bradford (town): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #57 of 73 in FL (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 93 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bradford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.36%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,552
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 N Church St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,765 (+2%) | 1mo | $153,900 | $87 | 92 |
| 423 N Broadway St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+0%) | 1mo | $232,000 | $134 | 72 |
| 763 N Walnut St | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,627 (-6%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $123 | 69 |
| 374 N Cherry St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+9%) | 11mo | $59,999 | $32 | 61 |
| 315 N St Clair St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-9%) | 22mo | $215,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 4740 SE 96th Ter | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (-7%) | 24mo | $252,000 | $157 | 44 |
| 601 W Weldon St | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,726 (-0%) | 17mo | $266,000 | $154 | 41 |
| 208 W Pratt St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (-15%) | 23mo | $180,000 | $122 | 37 |
| 431 N Broadway St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-13%) | 22mo | $215,000 | $144 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,554
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $41,612
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32091
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,048 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$233 /mo · $2,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $467
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650 E Call St Starke, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1438 | $2,300 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 687 S Orange St Starke, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-03$162,000 Active
-
2024-03-06status Pending
-
2024-02-27status Active
-
2024-02-21status Pending
-
2024-02-09$200,000 Active
-
2005-09-09soldstatus $125,000
-
2005-08-24soldstatus $125,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Lots of space in this 3 bedroom concrete block home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot. Home features a lovely florida room, 2 car garage, fresh paint,and lots of cabinets in kitchen. There is tons of storage space plus a storage shed all in a convient location.
-
2005-05-25$125,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Lots of space in this 3 bedroom concrete block home on a beautifully landscaped corner lot. Home features a lovely florida room, 2 car garage, fresh paint,and lots of cabinets in kitchen. There is tons of storage space plus a storage shed all in a convient location.
-
1986-08-01soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,801 · $233/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,801 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,572
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$2,801
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,966
- − Management
- −$1,966
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $3,242
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$778
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradford
- NCES district ID
- 1200120
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,661
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4840
- State rank
- #57 of 73 in FL
Livability — Starke
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #336
- US rank
- #5839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Starke, FL
- City population
- 16,062
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,062
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,999 people
- By 2030
- 23,895 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 21,329 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 18,681 · -25.3%
- By 2075
- 13,557 · -45.8%
- By 2100
- 9,228 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.1% · R 78.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.3pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+52.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+40.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.09%
- Current HPI
- 305.3668
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+260.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $162,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-09 Listed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-24 Sold (MLS) $125,000 realMLS
- 2005-05-25 Listed $125,000 realMLS
- 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,801 · +253.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…