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230 Private Road 4906
C Composite 55.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$252,350

230 Private Road 4906 · Rhome, TX 76052
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,048 sqft · Manufactured public records · 57 Days on market
Built 2001 1.00 ac lot $123/sqft · 12% below area Est $286k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential of this mobile home situated on a full acre of land, offering space, privacy, and flexibility with no HOA restrictions. Enjoy country-style living with room for outdoor activities, expansion, or storage—all while maintaining convenient access to nearby amenities. Don’t miss this chance to own land and create something truly your own. Whether you’re dreaming of a quiet retreat, a place to expand, or an investment opportunity, this property delivers. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify all information including room dimensions and schools.

Key facts

  • No hoa restrictions
  • Full acre of land
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

FULL ACRE OF LANDNO HOA RESTRICTIONSROOM FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $252k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (3.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Rhome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,376 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1083 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $243,758 (3.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
3.99%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,652
List price
$252,350
Delta
-11.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
578 Private Rd #4906 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,848 (-10%) 15mo $229,900 $124 59
1200 Alliance Blvd 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,128 (+4%) 4mo $275,000 $129 56
1353 Speedway Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,753 (-14%) 8mo $294,000 $168 43
1115 Daytona Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,280 (+11%) 2mo $292,500 $128 42
1205 Alliance Blvd 0.74mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,128 (+4%) 8mo $290,000 $136 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-30,533
Equity at exit
$37,626
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-25,532
Equity at exit
$21,819

Cash invested: $70,658 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76052

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
1083
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,438 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,323
Tax from tax record
$262 /mo · $3,145/yr
Insurance
$105
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,140
Max offer price $252,350
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,088
Closing costs
$7,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $252,350 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $252,350 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $252,350 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $252,350 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $252,350 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $252,350 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $252,350 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $252,350 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $252,350 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $252,350 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $252,350 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $252,350 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $252,350 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    listed $252,350 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Discover the potential of this mobile home situated on a full acre of land, offering space, privacy, and flexibility with no HOA restrictions. Enjoy country-style living with room for outdoor activities, expansion, or storage—all while maintaining convenient access to nearby amenities. Don’t miss this chance to own land and create something truly your own. Whether you’re dreaming of a quiet retreat, a place to expand, or an investment opportunity, this property delivers. Buyer or Buyer's agent to verify all information including room dimensions and schools.

  15. 2025-12-31
    historical
  16. 2025-09-29
    price $255,000
  17. 2025-08-01
    listed $260,000 Active
  18. 2025-08-01
    historical
  19. 2025-07-07
    price $260,000
  20. 2025-06-12
    price $275,000
  21. 2025-05-13
    price $280,000
  22. 2025-03-22
    listed $290,000 Active
  23. 2022-05-25
    soldstatus
  24. 2022-05-23
    soldstatus Closed
  25. 2022-05-10
    status Pending
  26. 2022-04-19
    historical Active Option Contract
  27. 2022-04-04
    listed $254,000 Active
  28. 2017-04-26
    soldstatus
  29. 2002-01-11
    soldstatus
  30. 2000-09-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,145 · $262/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,618 · $385/mo
Expected delta
+$1,473/yr (+$123/mo · 46.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,251
− Mortgage interest
−$14,136
− Property taxes
−$3,145
− Insurance
−$1,262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,340
− Management
−$2,340
− Depreciation
−$7,341
Taxable loss
−$1,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$315
After-tax cash flow
$3,136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest ISD
NCES district ID
4833180
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$85,315
Composite
46.15/100
National rank
#2504
State rank
#120 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rhome

Score
74/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#4376

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,249
Household income
$143,555
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
358.0

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,620 people
By 2030
75,858 · +5.9%
By 2040
83,908 · +17.2%
By 2050
90,717 · +26.7%
By 2075
107,583 · +50.2%
By 2100
114,996 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 11% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Slovak 4% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.77%
Current HPI
235.7417
Rent YoY
▲ 1.08%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $252,350 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $255,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $260,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $260,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $275,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $280,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-03-22 Listed $290,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-05-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-23 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-05-10 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-04-19 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2022-04-04 Listed $254,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-04-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-01-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,145 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…