703 1st St · Franklin, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.14%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS IS WITH NO REPAIRS. CONTRACT WAS CANCELLED FORMEDICAL REASONS.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Garage
- Listed 134 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 5.9% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Junior High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 211 students, 88% FRL); Franklin Senior High School (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #179 of 265 statewide, top 68%, 297 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Mary Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.44%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,808
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 1st St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 3,092 (0%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $47 | 100 |
| 208 Morris St | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 2,920 (-6%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $54 | 72 |
| 809 W Third St | 0.16mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,111 (+1%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $74 | 68 |
| 402 Main St | 0.25mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,773 (-10%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $79 | 59 |
| 1011 Main St | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 | 2,912 (-6%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $57 | 59 |
| 302 Eastwood Dr | 0.47mi | 4/4.0 | 3,054 (-1%) | 13mo | $400,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 105 Main St | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,805 (-9%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 1004 Malcolm St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,706 (-12%) | 3mo | $17,000 | $6 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $60,506
- Equity at exit
- $46,730
- IRR
- 36.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.84×
- Total profit
- $148,989
- Equity at exit
- $69,962
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70538
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,111/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $781
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $844 | -5% $813 | +0% $781 | +5% $750 | +10% $719 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $623 | -5% $702 | +0% $781 | +5% $860 | +10% $939 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $837 | -0.5pp $809 | base $781 | +0.5pp $753 | +1.0pp $724 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Morris St Franklin, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2920 | $2,000 | $0.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 208 Morris St Franklin, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2920 | $2,000 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-20status Pending
-
2025-11-19status Active
-
2025-10-27status Pending
-
2025-10-14$110,000 Active
-
2008-03-13soldstatus $160,000
-
2007-10-15soldstatus
-
2003-10-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,111 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,111 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,111
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $8,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,953
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Mary Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201620
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,843
- Composite
- 28.1/100
- National rank
- #6828
- State rank
- #37 of 98 in LA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #10368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,561
Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,510 people
- By 2030
- 47,570 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 43,880 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 40,655 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 37,190 · -24.9%
- By 2100
- 38,101 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Current HPI
- 82.9321
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-31.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-27 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-14 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2008-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2007-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,111 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…