1904 W Jentsch Rd · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wonderful country living and just minutes from the city. Located at the corner of FM 1954 and W Jentsch Road is this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with an attached 2 vehicle garage. Wonderful kitchen and a covered patio. This home is situated on 5.210 acres with an attached workshop and 2 outbuildings. A lot of privacy with this property.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 2001
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence with acreage; Single-story; Faces northeast
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Irregular-shaped lot; Outbuilding; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $174k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Recommended offer: $171k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Archer City ISD (rural): math 56% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #79 of 826 in TX (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 25 units permitted in Archer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Archer County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.16%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-5,723
- Equity at exit
- $25,944
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $53,608
- Equity at exit
- $15,044
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76310
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$218 /mo · $2,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $270 | +0% $209 | +5% $149 | +10% $89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $139 | +0% $209 | +5% $280 | +10% $351 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $297 | -0.5pp $254 | base $209 | +0.5pp $164 | +1.0pp $118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-09status Active 333-char remark
-
2026-05-05historical 333-char remark
-
2026-05-03$174,000 Active 333-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$2,610
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,716
- − Management
- −$1,716
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable loss
- −$274
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$66
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, including updating the kitchen and painting interior walls, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor kitchen countertops — slight wear
- Minor kitchen appliances — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — New cabinets and countertops can greatly enhance the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained yard and curb appeal can increase the home's resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen countertops · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen appliances · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — New cabinets and countertops can greatly enhance the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained yard and curb appeal can increase the home's resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Archer City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808610
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,782
- Composite
- 50.04/100
- National rank
- #1917
- State rank
- #79 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,029
- Household income
- $82,183
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 263.0
Population outlook (Archer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,158 people
- By 2030
- 7,855 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 7,120 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 6,320 · -22.5%
- By 2075
- 4,842 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 3,527 · -56.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Archer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.3) · D 10.1% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: -65.4pp · 2024: -79.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.3 2020: R+80.4 2016: R+79.4 2012: R+73.8 2008: R+65.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.37%
- Current HPI
- 176.0321
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.83%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2026-06-02 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — WFAOR
- 2026-05-05 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2026-05-03 Listed $174,000 WFAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…