14000 John Aregood Pass · Elgin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$232,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale Notice: This property is being sold as a Short Sale and is subject to lender approval. Utilities are currently off and must be turned on by the buyer for any inspections, appraisals, or due diligence. Buyer is responsible for all buyer-related closing costs and for verifying all information, including but not limited to square footage, property condition, taxes, HOA fees, and school boundaries. Please note that all offers are contingent upon the seller’s lender’s review and approval. Allow sufficient time for lender response. No survey. Property is sold as-is with no repairs or warranties.
Key facts
- 7,178 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2022
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $232k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-320 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (24.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (15.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#167 in TX, #4,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Elgin ISD (rural): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #741 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Neidig El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 599 students, 79% FRL); Elgin Middle (math 22% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,327 of 1,662 statewide, top 81%, 780 students, 82% FRL); Elgin H S (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 1,672 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 978 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 278 days — a 12% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 278 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.92%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,677
- List price
- $232,000
- Delta
- -33.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14504 Wahlbergs Way | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-3%) | 1mo | $272,900 | $209 | 88 |
| 18200 Papuan Cv | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 3mo | $235,341 | $168 | 84 |
| 14509 Bonellis Pass | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,412 (+5%) | 2mo | $275,490 | $195 | 82 |
| 14600 Wahlbergs Way | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-3%) | 6mo | $292,900 | $224 | 82 |
| 14624 Wahlbergs Way | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-3%) | 3mo | $269,900 | $207 | 82 |
| 14608 Sage Bloom Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 0mo | $212,990 | $177 | 72 |
| 18201 Papuan Cv | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (+11%) | 4mo | $277,490 | $185 | 71 |
| 18501 Quiet Range Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (+13%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $155 | 63 |
| 14504 Martial Eagle Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (+11%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $163 | 63 |
| 13016 Field Plow Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (+15%) | 7mo | $222,600 | $144 | 60 |
| 137 Appleberry Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (+11%) | 7mo | $270,000 | $180 | 44 |
| 123 Bluestem Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (+11%) | 2mo | $202,500 | $135 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $106,375
- Equity at exit
- $209,004
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $330,174
- Equity at exit
- $450,725
Cash invested: $64,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 95 active · 34 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.9 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $257,990 ($181/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 72 d
- This list price
- 21% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +42.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78621
- Home prices YoY
- 7.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 978
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,961 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,217
- Tax from tax record
- −$532 /mo · $6,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$25
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-320
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-189 | -5% $-255 | +0% $-320 | +5% $-386 | +10% $-452 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-475 | -5% $-398 | +0% $-320 | +5% $-243 | +10% $-165 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-204 | -0.5pp $-261 | base $-320 | +0.5pp $-381 | +1.0pp $-442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,000
- Closing costs
- $6,960
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18224 Speculator Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1599 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 18300 Speculator Ln Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,995 | $1.11 | 73d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 14141 Prospector Way Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 93d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 16408 Farmhouse Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 14508 Wahlbergs Way Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,045 | $1.90 | 60d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 18200 Papuan Cv Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 52d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 13028 Torrey Reynolds Dr Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,995 | $1.31 | 38d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 13028 Torrey Reynolds Dr Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 9d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14117 Hacienda Estates Dr Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,785 | $1.17 | 30d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 18500 Allen Welch Dr Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,785 | $1.17 | 42d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 14300 Boomtown Way Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 73d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 18505 Quiet Range Dr Unit 18505 Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,785 | $0.99 | 53d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 18505 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,950 | $1.09 | 73d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 18316 Stellers Sea St Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,045 | $1.90 | 68d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 18525 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,725 | $0.96 | 67d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 18612 Allen Welch Dr Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,845 | $1.03 | 42d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 18744 Speculator Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,750 | $1.15 | 9d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14421 Prairie Sod Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 51d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 18721 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1773 | $2,085 | $1.18 | 9d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 14213 Prairie Sod Ln Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,995 | $1.11 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 107 Tillage Rd Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 38d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 105 Appleberry Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1668 | $1,999 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 234 Heritage Mill Trl Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 36d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 109 Tillage Rd Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,690 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 116 Appleberry Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1363 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 149 Tillage Rd Elgin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $1,995 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12201 Token Trl Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 116 Honeybee Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 53d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 242 Barley Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 242 Barley Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1782 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 9d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19405 Bear Grass Dr Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,760 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13016 Roving Pass Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1859 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 34d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 13817 County Line Rd Elgin, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,699 | $1.72 | 9d | 11 | 0.91mi |
| 101 Bandara Woods Blvd Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,769 | $1.18 | 64d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 158 Daylily Dr Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 9d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 401 Bandara Woods Blvd Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $1,875 | $1.13 | 93d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 121 Shenandoah Trl Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $1,850 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 18333 Willow Sage Ln Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 419 Gettysburg Loop Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 61d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $232,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $232,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $232,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $232,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $232,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $232,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $232,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $232,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $232,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $232,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-07-23remarks 623-char remark
-
2026-07-23price $232,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $215,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-07-22status $215,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 261 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 260 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 259 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 257 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 256 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 255 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 254 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 253 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 252 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 251 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 250 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 249 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 248 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 246 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 245 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 244 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 242 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 241 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 240 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 239 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 238 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 237 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 236 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 235 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 233 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 231 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 230 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 227 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 226 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 225 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 213 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,379 · $532/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,379 · $532/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,996
- − Property taxes
- −$6,379
- − Insurance
- −$1,160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,883
- − Management
- −$1,883
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,749
- Taxable loss
- −$7,814
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant work is needed on the exterior, interior, and systems to make it move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major exterior paint — Peeling and chipping
- Major roof — No visible damage, but not inspected
- Major interior walls — No visible interior, but not inspected
- Major bathrooms — No visible bathrooms, but not inspected
- Major kitchen — No visible kitchen, but not inspected
- Major systems — No visible systems, but not inspected
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both roof inspection and repair — Ensures structural integrity and safety ↑
- Both interior painting and repairs — Improves living space and aesthetics ↑
- Both kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes spaces and increases appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elgin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818360
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,176
- Composite
- 19.62/100
- National rank
- #8749
- State rank
- #741 of 826 in TX
Livability — Elgin
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #4404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elgin, TX
- County
- Bastrop County · 1,545,133 people
- City population
- 27,860
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,411
- Household income
- $98,534
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,545,133 people
- By 2030
- 1,729,269 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 2,097,596 · +35.8%
- By 2050
- 2,463,890 · +59.5%
- By 2075
- 3,249,374 · +110.3%
- By 2100
- 3,801,868 · +146.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 38% Two or more races 19% Black 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 36%
Political lean MEDSL · Travis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.47%
- Current HPI
- 416.87
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-39.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-03 Listed $215,000 Unlock MLS
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2022-07-11 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2022-06-24 Listed $354,900 Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+110.7%/yrLatest (2026): $6,379 · -13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…