2078 Aspen South Ln · Clio, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
Key facts
- Corner lot
- New roof
- Built 1999
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 4.7% in Clio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#332 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clio Area School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #269 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 325 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 325 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.56%
- DSCR
- 3.25
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $38,500
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- 42.60%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $32,373
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $81,386
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48420
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
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2026-06-03statusdays on market $54,900 Pending 325 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 323 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 322 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $54,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-03-27price $54,900 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2026-03-26price $54,900 947-char remark
Show marketing remark (947 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park "“ Clio, MI Corner Lot \ Updated Throughout \ Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2026-01-12status Active 947-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2026-01-12status Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2026-01-09historical 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (947 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park "“ Clio, MI Corner Lot \ Updated Throughout \ Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2026-01-09historical 947-char remark
Show marketing remark (947 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park "“ Clio, MI Corner Lot \ Updated Throughout \ Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2025-07-08$60,000 Active 947-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
-
2025-07-08$60,000 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $7,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,760
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clio Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2610110
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,368
- Composite
- 30.83/100
- National rank
- #6134
- State rank
- #269 of 540 in MI
Livability — Clio
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #332
- US rank
- #8154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,213
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.27%
- Current HPI
- 186.7816
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-8.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-08 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $31 · -45.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…