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2078 Aspen South Ln
C+ Composite 61.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

2078 Aspen South Ln · Clio, MI 48420
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Other · 325 Days on market
Built 1999 $35/sqft · 43% above area Est $38k · 43% over ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • New roof
  • Built 1999

Tags

CORNER LOTGARDEN TUB WITH WORKING JETSSEPARATE SHOWER STALLREMODELED STANDARD TUBNEW ROOFNEW PAINT AND FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 4.7% in Clio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#332 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clio Area School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #269 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 325 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $48,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 325 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.37%
Cap rate
20.45%
Cash-on-cash
50.56%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,500
List price
$54,900
Delta
42.60%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$32,373
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
6.29×
Total profit
$81,386
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48420

Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $54,900 Pending 325 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 324 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 323 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 322 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 321 DOM
  6. 2026-03-27
    price $54,900 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  7. 2026-03-26
    price $54,900 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park "“ Clio, MI Corner Lot \ Updated Throughout \ Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  8. 2026-01-12
    status Active 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  9. 2026-01-12
    status Active 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  10. 2026-01-09
    historical 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park "“ Clio, MI Corner Lot \ Updated Throughout \ Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  11. 2026-01-09
    historical 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park "“ Clio, MI Corner Lot \ Updated Throughout \ Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  12. 2025-07-08
    listed $60,000 Active 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

  13. 2025-07-08
    listed $60,000 Active 937-char remark
    Show marketing remark (937 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed / 2 Bath Home in Maple Run Park – Clio, MI Corner Lot | Updated Throughout | Park Approval Required, Seller will pay your first month lot rent with accepted offer. Welcome to this beautifully maintained corner-lot home located on the corner quiet in Maple Run Park, Clio, MI. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, style, and many recent upgrades: Primary Suite: Garden tub with working jets, separate shower stall Second Bathroom: Standard tub (remodeled in 2024, new faucet in 2023) New Roof: Installed in September 2021 Interior Updates: New paint and flooring throughout (2021) Kitchen Upgrades: Brand new dishwasher (March 2024) Laundry: Brand new dryer (2024) and washing machine (2021) Driveway: Completely redone in May 2025 This home is move-in ready and offers a quiet setting. Buyer must be approved by Maple Run Park to move in. Don't miss your chance to own this well-kept gem!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,601
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$7,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,760
After-tax cash flow
$6,012/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clio Area School District
NCES district ID
2610110
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,368
Composite
30.83/100
National rank
#6134
State rank
#269 of 540 in MI

Livability — Clio

Score
69/100
State rank
#332
US rank
#8154

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
21,213

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.27%
Current HPI
186.7816
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-08 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $31 · -45.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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