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15095 N Thompson Peak Pkwy #2067
D- Composite 39.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$320,000

15095 N Thompson Peak Pkwy #2067 · Scottsdale, AZ 85260
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Condo public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1995 $330/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful mountain views from 2 balconies. Lovely 2 bed, 1 bath apartment unit now for sale in the Community of Signature at Scottsdale Horizon! Spacious dining & living room featuring elegant wood-look flooring, crown moulding, and warm palette throughout. The kitchen is equipped w/everything you need for home cooking, ample cabinet & counter space, track lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a lovely breakfast bar. The primary bedroom boasts soft carpet, private balcony access, a walk-in closet, and a fireplace to keep you warm during the coming winter months. Enjoy wonderful mountain views and a refreshing Community pool!

Key facts

  • Smart appliances
  • Smart lighting
  • Mountain views

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSNORTH SCOTTSDALE LOCATIONSMART LIGHTINGSMART APPLIANCESLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community pool; Community spa; Monthly association fee covers cable TV, grounds maintenance, street maintenance, front yard maintenance, trash, water, and exterior maintenance; Near bus stop; Biking/walking path

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered space; 1 assigned parking; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: Public sewer; City water
  • Home design: Condominium (apartment, attached property)
  • Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Pantry; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Possible 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Double vanity; Breakfast bar; No interior steps; Full bathroom in master bedroom; Pantry; Dual-pane windows; Master bedroom fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-129 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (7.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Redfield Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #73 of 1,109 statewide, top 7%, 428 students, 20% FRL); Desert Canyon Middle School (math 57% / reading 59%, grade B, #5 of 218 statewide, top 2%, 490 students, 15% FRL); Desert Mountain High School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #46 of 381 statewide, top 12%, 1,880 students, 8% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 315 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $262,760 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.73%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-62,627
Equity at exit
$47,713
10-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-75,397
Equity at exit
$27,668

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85260

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
315
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,628 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $760/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$330
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$-129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,791
Max offer price $297,208
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $52 -5% $-38 +0% $-129 +5% $-220 +10% $-310
Rent -10% $-337 -5% $-233 +0% $-129 +5% $-25 +10% $79
Rate -1.0pp $32 -0.5pp $-48 base $-129 +0.5pp $-212 +1.0pp $-296

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15095 N Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 978 $6,750 $6.90 45d 6 0.07mi
15095 N Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $3,075 $2.81 0d 5 0.07mi
15095 N Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $4,225 $3.87 25d 8 0.07mi
14545 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $1,902 $1.76 7d 7 0.23mi
9455 E Raintree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1310 $2,000 $1.53 1d 5 0.35mi
9455 E Raintree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1310 $3,000 $2.29 45d 3 0.35mi
15380 N 100th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 1172 $2,750 $2.35 5d 2 0.36mi
15255 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,872 $2.07 0d 22 0.42mi
9494 E Redfield Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $1,788 $1.73 0d 23 0.46mi
9259 E Raintree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,604 $1.81 1d 8 0.50mi
9340 E Redfield Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1001 $1,798 $1.80 1d 19 0.61mi
15555 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1111 $1,904 $1.71 5d 1 0.63mi
15555 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 775 $1,799 $2.32 23d 1 0.63mi
9550 E Thunderbird Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $6,135 $5.77 14d 4 0.65mi
9240 E Redfield Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 786 $1,731 $2.20 0d 8 0.67mi
9100 E Raintree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1166 $5,125 $4.40 45d 2 0.67mi
14145 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 949 $2,800 $2.95 5d 12 0.70mi
9595 E Thunderbird Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1039 $2,114 $2.03 1d 17 0.76mi
15757 N 90th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $1,929 $1.77 1d 23 0.83mi
15600 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1122 $2,460 $2.19 1d 21 0.93mi
15024 N 90th St Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $3,134 $3.20 5d 35 0.94mi
16356 N Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,862 $1.79 0d 73 0.99mi
16801 N 94th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1329 $3,800 $2.86 7d 7 1.29mi
16801 N 94th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1329 $2,399 $1.81 45d 8 1.29mi
16801 N 94th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1329 $2,495 $1.88 0d 7 1.29mi
8688 E Raintree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1129 $2,745 $2.43 1d 17 1.31mi
8555 E Raintree Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $3,169 $3.50 0d 24 1.40mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$330 · $3,960/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $320,000 Pending 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 42 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 41 DOM
  10. 2026-05-11
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 779-char remark
  11. 2026-04-20
    listed $320,000 Active 779-char remark
  12. 2024-01-31
    soldstatus $315,000 Closed 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Beautiful mountain views from 2 balconies. Lovely 2 bed, 1 bath apartment unit now for sale in the Community of Signature at Scottsdale Horizon! Spacious dining & living room featuring elegant wood-look flooring, crown moulding, and warm palette throughout. The kitchen is equipped w/everything you need for home cooking, ample cabinet & counter space, track lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a lovely breakfast bar. The primary bedroom boasts soft carpet, private balcony access, a walk-in closet, and a fireplace to keep you warm during the coming winter months. Enjoy wonderful mountain views and a refreshing Community pool!

  13. 2024-01-31
    soldstatus $315,000
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Beautiful mountain views from 2 balconies. Lovely 2 bed, 1 bath apartment unit now for sale in the Community of Signature at Scottsdale Horizon! Spacious dining & living room featuring elegant wood-look flooring, crown moulding, and warm palette throughout. The kitchen is equipped w/everything you need for home cooking, ample cabinet & counter space, track lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a lovely breakfast bar. The primary bedroom boasts soft carpet, private balcony access, a walk-in closet, and a fireplace to keep you warm during the coming winter months. Enjoy wonderful mountain views and a refreshing Community pool!

  14. 2024-01-23
    status Pending 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Beautiful mountain views from 2 balconies. Lovely 2 bed, 1 bath apartment unit now for sale in the Community of Signature at Scottsdale Horizon! Spacious dining & living room featuring elegant wood-look flooring, crown moulding, and warm palette throughout. The kitchen is equipped w/everything you need for home cooking, ample cabinet & counter space, track lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a lovely breakfast bar. The primary bedroom boasts soft carpet, private balcony access, a walk-in closet, and a fireplace to keep you warm during the coming winter months. Enjoy wonderful mountain views and a refreshing Community pool!

  15. 2024-01-11
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Beautiful mountain views from 2 balconies. Lovely 2 bed, 1 bath apartment unit now for sale in the Community of Signature at Scottsdale Horizon! Spacious dining & living room featuring elegant wood-look flooring, crown moulding, and warm palette throughout. The kitchen is equipped w/everything you need for home cooking, ample cabinet & counter space, track lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a lovely breakfast bar. The primary bedroom boasts soft carpet, private balcony access, a walk-in closet, and a fireplace to keep you warm during the coming winter months. Enjoy wonderful mountain views and a refreshing Community pool!

  16. 2023-12-15
    listed $320,000 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Beautiful mountain views from 2 balconies. Lovely 2 bed, 1 bath apartment unit now for sale in the Community of Signature at Scottsdale Horizon! Spacious dining & living room featuring elegant wood-look flooring, crown moulding, and warm palette throughout. The kitchen is equipped w/everything you need for home cooking, ample cabinet & counter space, track lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a lovely breakfast bar. The primary bedroom boasts soft carpet, private balcony access, a walk-in closet, and a fireplace to keep you warm during the coming winter months. Enjoy wonderful mountain views and a refreshing Community pool!

  17. 2015-04-02
    historical
  18. 2015-02-19
    price $169,500
  19. 2014-12-04
    listed $174,900 Active
  20. 2008-08-25
    soldstatus $173,900
  21. 2008-07-25
    historical
  22. 2008-05-30
    listed $173,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$760 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,112 · $176/mo
Expected delta
+$1,352/yr (+$113/mo · 177.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,531
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$760
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,522
− Management
−$2,522
− HOA
−$3,960
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable loss
−$7,068
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,696
After-tax cash flow
$148/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
NCES district ID
0407570
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,139
Composite
48.02/100
National rank
#2196
State rank
#30 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
39,896
Household income
$97,177
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -469.04%
Current HPI
316.8969
Rent YoY
▲ 2.01%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
  • 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $315,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $320,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-31 Sold (MLS) $315,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-01-23 Pending ARMLS
  • 2024-01-11 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2023-12-15 Listed $320,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-04-02 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2015-02-19 Price Changed $169,500 ARMLS
  • 2014-12-04 Listed $174,900 ARMLS
  • 2008-08-25 Sold (MLS) $173,900 ARMLS
  • 2008-07-25 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2008-05-30 Listed $173,900 ARMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $760 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…