195 Tierra Rejada Rd #197 · Simi Valley, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Delightful 2 bedroom and 2 bath manufactured home in the desirable senior community of Friendly Village in Simi Valley. This home features an open floor concept with an upgraded kitchen, a dining area with built in cabinetry and an indoor laundry area. Some of the enhanced features provided over the years by the owner include pex plumbing, a newer water heater, central HVAC unit, a new GENERAC 2025 back-up generator, front porch with awning, newer electrical panel, RO water system with Alkaline minerals added back, remodeled kitchen with newer sink and granite counters, double pane windows and one of the largest lots in the park. There is ample landscaping and a rear yard ideal for entertaining with a storage shed for those extra items. Friendly Village offers fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse with a kitchen area, pool & spa, multiple artificial grass putting greens, dog run, library, fitness center and ample guest parking. The park is conveniently located near shopping, hiking trails, parks, restaurants, the Reagan Library and the 118 freeway. Come live in Friendly Village, it will feel like you are on vacation every day.
Key facts
- Central hvac unit
- Indoor laundry area
- Pex plumbing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $932 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
- Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 212 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $103k; list at $219k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.24%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,077
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -21.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #60 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $250 | 88 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #178 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $109 | 86 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #171 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+4%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $196 | 81 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #204 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 1mo | $161,000 | $155 | 74 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #46 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-7%) | 12mo | $328,800 | $294 | 69 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #71 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-10%) | 3mo | $317,000 | $294 | 68 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #1 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (+11%) | 6mo | $348,000 | $260 | 65 |
| 195 Tierra Rejada Rd #52 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 3mo | $308,000 | $229 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $16,643
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $62,673
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93065
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$650
- Net cashflow
- $932
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1987 Ridgegate Ln Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $2,858 | $3.30 | 1d | 16 | 0.39mi |
| 211 Red Brick Dr #3 Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1393 | $3,800 | $2.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1052 Hacienda Dr Unit A Simi Valley, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 241 Country Club Dr Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $2,967 | $3.66 | 2d | 25 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $219,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $229,000 1156-char remark
Show marketing remark (1156 chars)
Delightful 2 bedroom and 2 bath manufactured home in the desirable senior community of Friendly Village in Simi Valley. This home features an open floor concept with an upgraded kitchen, a dining area with built in cabinetry and an indoor laundry area. Some of the enhanced features provided over the years by the owner include pex plumbing, a newer water heater, central HVAC unit, a new GENERAC 2025 back-up generator, front porch with awning, newer electrical panel, RO water system with Alkaline minerals added back, remodeled kitchen with newer sink and granite counters, double pane windows and one of the largest lots in the park. There is ample landscaping and a rear yard ideal for entertaining with a storage shed for those extra items. Friendly Village offers fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse with a kitchen area, pool & spa, multiple artificial grass putting greens, dog run, library, fitness center and ample guest parking. The park is conveniently located near shopping, hiking trails, parks, restaurants, the Reagan Library and the 118 freeway. Come live in Friendly Village, it will feel like you are on vacation every day.
-
2026-03-20price $245,000 1156-char remark
Show marketing remark (1156 chars)
Delightful 2 bedroom and 2 bath manufactured home in the desirable senior community of Friendly Village in Simi Valley. This home features an open floor concept with an upgraded kitchen, a dining area with built in cabinetry and an indoor laundry area. Some of the enhanced features provided over the years by the owner include pex plumbing, a newer water heater, central HVAC unit, a new GENERAC 2025 back-up generator, front porch with awning, newer electrical panel, RO water system with Alkaline minerals added back, remodeled kitchen with newer sink and granite counters, double pane windows and one of the largest lots in the park. There is ample landscaping and a rear yard ideal for entertaining with a storage shed for those extra items. Friendly Village offers fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse with a kitchen area, pool & spa, multiple artificial grass putting greens, dog run, library, fitness center and ample guest parking. The park is conveniently located near shopping, hiking trails, parks, restaurants, the Reagan Library and the 118 freeway. Come live in Friendly Village, it will feel like you are on vacation every day.
-
2026-01-30$259,000 Active 1156-char remark
Show marketing remark (1156 chars)
Delightful 2 bedroom and 2 bath manufactured home in the desirable senior community of Friendly Village in Simi Valley. This home features an open floor concept with an upgraded kitchen, a dining area with built in cabinetry and an indoor laundry area. Some of the enhanced features provided over the years by the owner include pex plumbing, a newer water heater, central HVAC unit, a new GENERAC 2025 back-up generator, front porch with awning, newer electrical panel, RO water system with Alkaline minerals added back, remodeled kitchen with newer sink and granite counters, double pane windows and one of the largest lots in the park. There is ample landscaping and a rear yard ideal for entertaining with a storage shed for those extra items. Friendly Village offers fantastic amenities that include a clubhouse with a kitchen area, pool & spa, multiple artificial grass putting greens, dog run, library, fitness center and ample guest parking. The park is conveniently located near shopping, hiking trails, parks, restaurants, the Reagan Library and the 118 freeway. Come live in Friendly Village, it will feel like you are on vacation every day.
-
2018-06-01soldstatus $103,000 Closed 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
-
2018-06-01soldstatus $103,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
-
2018-03-28status Backup Offers Accepted 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
-
2018-03-06price $115,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
-
2018-02-20price $120,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
-
2018-01-29price $125,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
-
2018-01-11$130,000 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Welcome home to the highly desirable Friendly Village, a Senior Mobile Park. This adorable home features 2 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, a large spacious living room, Dining room with built in hutch and cabinets. This home is located on one of the largest lots in the park (Enough room for a triple wide!!)and has a grassy area and large back patio. Two Sheds are also included! This is a must see.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,285
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,972
- − Management
- −$2,972
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $8,184
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,964
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Simi Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636840
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,818
- Composite
- 40.23/100
- National rank
- #3773
- State rank
- #170 of 517 in CA
Livability — Simi Valley
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #15494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Simi Valley, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 128,600
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 73,534
- Household income
- $120,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2456.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Asian 9% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.81%
- Current HPI
- 285.0925
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.61%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+76.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $229,000 CSMAR
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $245,000 CSMAR
- 2026-01-30 Listed $259,000 CSMAR
- 2018-06-01 Sold (MLS) $103,000 CSMAR
- 2018-06-01 Sold (MLS) $103,000 CRMLS
- 2018-03-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2018-03-06 Price Changed $115,000 CRMLS
- 2018-02-20 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
- 2018-01-29 Price Changed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2018-01-11 Listed $130,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2022): $212 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…