17225 Valley · Fontana, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Brand-new roof
- Front and backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.2% in Fontana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#415 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Colton Joint Unified (suburban): math 16% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 517 in CA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.87%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,521
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 27.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17333 Valley Blvd Unit 140E | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 8mo | $58,000 | $81 | 87 |
| 17225 Valley Blvd Unit 17F | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $167 | 77 |
| 17333 Valley Blvd #103 | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+11%) | 4mo | $99,900 | $125 | 70 |
| 17225 Valley Blvd Unit 58W | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-8%) | 18mo | $103,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 17455 Marygold Ave Unit 49A | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 795 (+10%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $157 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $35,859
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $94,823
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92335
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,934 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $837
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17237 Deodar Ave Unit Adu Fontana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,800 | $4.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 16982 San Bernardino Ave Fontana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 586 | $1,700 | $2.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8998 Mango Ave Unit I Fontana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,650 | $2.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-05-07historical Active Under Contract 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.
-
2026-04-16price $100,000 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.
-
2026-03-05price $110,000 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.
-
2026-01-02$115,000 Active 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,212
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,857
- − Management
- −$1,857
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $8,987
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home in Fontana, CA is move-in ready with a new roof and a spacious layout. It offers a bright kitchen and two bathrooms, both in need of updates. The home's exterior and landscaping could benefit from some improvements to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear and tear
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both paint exterior — painting the exterior would improve curb appeal and value
- Both repair exterior siding — repairing the siding would improve the home's appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · moderate wear and tear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint exterior — painting the exterior would improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — repairing the siding would improve the home's appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colton Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609390
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,178
- Composite
- 23.74/100
- National rank
- #7820
- State rank
- #373 of 517 in CA
Livability — Fontana
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #415
- US rank
- #14177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fontana, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 203,028
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 97,511
- Household income
- $77,949
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3437.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 13% White 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 74%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 69% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -804.67%
- Current HPI
- 507.5862
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.34%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-13.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $100,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $115,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…