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17225 Valley
C+ Composite 62.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

17225 Valley · Fontana, CA 92335
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 167 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition 768 sqft lot $139/sqft · 27% above area Est $79k · 27% over ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Brand-new roof
  • Front and backyard

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFBRIGHT KITCHENFRONT AND BACKYARDCOZY FRONT PORCHQUIET CLEAN COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.2% in Fontana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#415 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Colton Joint Unified (suburban): math 16% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 517 in CA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.34%
Cash-on-cash
35.87%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,521
List price
$100,000
Delta
27.35%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17333 Valley Blvd Unit 140E 0.05mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 8mo $58,000 $81 87
17225 Valley Blvd Unit 17F 0.11mi 2/1.0 720 (0%) 17mo $120,000 $167 77
17333 Valley Blvd #103 0.08mi 2/1.0 800 (+11%) 4mo $99,900 $125 70
17225 Valley Blvd Unit 58W 0.16mi 2/1.0 660 (-8%) 18mo $103,000 $156 59
17455 Marygold Ave Unit 49A 0.25mi 2/1.0 795 (+10%) 21mo $125,000 $157 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$35,859
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
37.7%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$94,823
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92335

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,934 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$837

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17237 Deodar Ave Unit Adu Fontana, CA 1.0 1.0 450 $1,800 $4.00 43d 1 0.57mi
16982 San Bernardino Ave Fontana, CA 1.0 1.0 586 $1,700 $2.90 43d 1 0.66mi
8998 Mango Ave Unit I Fontana, CA 1.0 1.0 692 $1,650 $2.38 22d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 158 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 157 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 156 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 153 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 152 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract 550-char remark
    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.

  16. 2026-04-16
    price $100,000 550-char remark
    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.

  17. 2026-03-05
    price $110,000 550-char remark
    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.

  18. 2026-01-02
    listed $115,000 Active 550-char remark
    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained manufactured home located in one of the best parks in Fontana, CA! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a BRAND-NEW ROOF and is completely move-in ready. Enjoy a spacious layout with a bright kitchen that opens to the main living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home also offers both a front and backyard, plus a cozy front porch—ideal for your morning coffee. Located in a quiet, clean, and well-kept community with low space rent, this home is a rare find and an affordable opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,212
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,857
− Management
−$1,857
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$8,987
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,157
After-tax cash flow
$7,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained manufactured home in Fontana, CA is move-in ready with a new roof and a spacious layout. It offers a bright kitchen and two bathrooms, both in need of updates. The home's exterior and landscaping could benefit from some improvements to increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear and tear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both paint exterior — painting the exterior would improve curb appeal and value
  • Both repair exterior siding — repairing the siding would improve the home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · moderate wear and tear Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both paint exterior — painting the exterior would improve curb appeal and value
  • Both repair exterior siding — repairing the siding would improve the home's appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colton Joint Unified
NCES district ID
0609390
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$51,178
Composite
23.74/100
National rank
#7820
State rank
#373 of 517 in CA

Livability — Fontana

Score
64/100
State rank
#415
US rank
#14177

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fontana, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
203,028
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
97,511
Household income
$77,949
Rent vs Own
51.8% rent · 48.2% own
Severe rent burden
3437.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 13% White 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 74%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
27% English-only · Spanish 69% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -804.67%
Current HPI
507.5862
Rent YoY
▲ 2.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $100,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $115,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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