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542 Southgate Rd
D Composite 41.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,500

542 Southgate Rd · Hattiesburg, MS 39401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 197 Days on market
Built 1986 1.93 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Open-living layout
  • Abundant cabinetry

Tags

FRONT AND REAR PORCHESOPEN-LIVING LAYOUTWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEABUNDANT CABINETRYSEPARATE BREAKFAST NOOKAMPLE PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 1.93 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car carport; Driveway parking; Total parking for 8 vehicles
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Community water; Cable available, electricity connected, water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story; Living area recorded by appraiser
  • Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year from public records)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Additional exterior details: Other / See remarks

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Exhaust fan; Wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-124/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (1.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Hattiesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in MS, #2,046 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment F.
  • Forrest County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #47 of 130 in MS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 121 units permitted in Forrest County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Forrest County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,657 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.31%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-19,309
Equity at exit
$21,247
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,942
Equity at exit
$12,321

Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39401

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$747
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,787/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$-10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,210
Max offer price $140,677
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,625
Closing costs
$4,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $142,500 Active 197 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,500 Active 196 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,500 Active 195 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,500 Active 194 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $142,500 Active 193 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $142,500 Active 191 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,500 Active 190 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $142,500 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,500 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,500 Active 186 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 185 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $142,500 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,500 Active 180 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,500 Active 179 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,500 Active 178 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $142,500 Active 177 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    status Active 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  18. 2026-05-01
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  19. 2026-03-20
    status Pending 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  20. 2026-03-20
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  21. 2026-03-18
    historical
  22. 2025-12-22
    price $142,500
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  23. 2025-12-22
    price $142,500 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  24. 2025-10-22
    listed $149,900 Active
  25. 2025-10-19
    listed $149,900 Active 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Welcome to this charming retreat tucked away just minutes from Hattiesburg, yet offering a serene, secluded setting. Nestled on almost 2 acres of wooded land, this home features inviting front and rear porches that deepen the sense of peaceful, outdoor living. Step inside to a comfortable open-living layout anchored by a cozy wood-burning fireplace (perfect for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests). The kitchen boasts abundant cabinetry and a separate breakfast nook, making it a functional hub for meals and other gatherings. Each bedroom is spacious with a large closet, offering full comfort for any occupants or guests. Outside consists of ample parking with space for an RV or camper. At the back of the property, there is a private pond for anyone who loves to fish. The property requires a little cosmetic TLC, which would be perfect for anyone looking for an interior design project or to put your own touch to the home. Whether you're seeking a permanent home, a weekend escape, or a savvy investment, this property delivers a rare blend of convenience and tranquility: close to city amenities yet offering a true retreat in nature. Don't miss your chance to call this peaceful haven YOUR haven!

  26. 2025-05-24
    historical
  27. 2025-05-17
    status Active
  28. 2025-03-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  29. 2025-01-23
    price $174,900
  30. 2025-01-23
    price $174,900
  31. 2024-12-09
    price $184,900
  32. 2024-12-09
    price $184,900
  33. 2024-11-25
    listed $189,900 Active
  34. 2024-11-24
    listed $189,900 Active
  35. 2023-02-23
    soldstatus
  36. 2021-08-08
    listed $169,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,787 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,787 · $149/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,359
− Mortgage interest
−$7,982
− Property taxes
−$1,787
− Insurance
−$712
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$4,145
Taxable loss
−$2,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$616
After-tax cash flow
$492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forrest County School District
NCES district ID
2801490
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$39,597
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5980
State rank
#47 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hattiesburg

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2046

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Forrest County · 65,413 people
City population
87,151
Metro
Hattiesburg, MS
Population (ZIP)
42,531
Household income
$41,127
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
2534.0

Population outlook (Forrest County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
79,264 people
By 2030
80,822 · +2.0%
By 2040
82,979 · +4.7%
By 2050
84,324 · +6.4%
By 2075
84,942 · +7.2%
By 2100
80,616 · +1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 40% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Forrest

2024 margin
R (+17.9) · D 40.3% · R 58.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -17.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+11.7 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.93%
Current HPI
137.87
Rent YoY
▲ 6.56%
Metro
Hattiesburg, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-16.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted HAAR
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-20 Pending HAAR
  • 2026-03-20 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-18 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $142,500 MLSU
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $142,500 HAAR
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $149,900 MLSU
  • 2025-10-19 Listed $149,900 HAAR
  • 2025-05-24 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-05-17 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-03-14 Contingent MLSU
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $174,900 MLSU
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $174,900 HAAR
  • 2024-12-09 Price Changed $184,900 MLSU
  • 2024-12-09 Price Changed $184,900 HAAR
  • 2024-11-25 Listed $189,900 HAAR
  • 2024-11-24 Listed $189,900 MLSU
  • 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) HAAR
  • 2021-08-08 Listed $169,900 HAAR

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,787 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…