CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
108 Redwwod Dr #256
D Composite 43.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

108 Redwwod Dr #256 · Ocean Acres, NJ 08005
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Manufactured · 115 Days on market
Built 2026 Fair condition $78/sqft · 258% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * Pinewood Estates is an active and exciting 55+ Senior Community. Nestle into your 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located inside of Pinewood Estates, a friendly and well-maintained community. Around you, enjoy the great features the community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, and a swimming pool. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Swimming pool
  • Basketball court
  • Community events

Tags

BASKETBALL COURTCOMMUNITY EVENTSSWIMMING POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.4% vs local median 3.2% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 253 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.58%
Cap rate
41.44%
Cash-on-cash
125.54%
DSCR
6.59
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$16,730
List price
$59,900
Delta
258.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Redwood Dr 0.00mi 2/1.5 (-1) 800 (+4%) 7mo $30,000 $38 80
105 Basswood Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+4%) 2mo $7,000 $9 78

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.09×
Total profit
$102,088
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.89×
Total profit
$232,965
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08005

Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,745 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$576
Net cashflow
$1,755

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $59,900 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,400 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    status Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * Pinewood Estates is an active and exciting 55+ Senior Community. Nestle into your 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located inside of Pinewood Estates, a friendly and well-maintained community. Around you, enjoy the great features the community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, and a swimming pool. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  15. 2026-04-24
    historical 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * Pinewood Estates is an active and exciting 55+ Senior Community. Nestle into your 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located inside of Pinewood Estates, a friendly and well-maintained community. Around you, enjoy the great features the community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, and a swimming pool. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  16. 2026-02-17
    listed $59,400 Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * Pinewood Estates is an active and exciting 55+ Senior Community. Nestle into your 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home located inside of Pinewood Estates, a friendly and well-maintained community. Around you, enjoy the great features the community has to offer such as a basketball court, community events, and a swimming pool. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,940
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,635
− Management
−$2,635
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$21,374
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,130
After-tax cash flow
$15,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including painting, roof replacement, and landscaping. Interior updates, such as painting and kitchen/bathroom renovations, would also greatly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — The siding appears weathered and possibly peeling.
  • Major roof — The roof appears old and may need replacement.
  • Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and unkempt, detracting from curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and resale value.
  • Resale trim landscaping — A well-maintained landscape enhances curb appeal and can attract potential buyers.
  • Resale replace roof — A new roof can add years of life to the home and improve its overall condition.
  • Resale repair exterior siding — Fresh siding can improve the home's appearance and add value.
  • Both update interior paint — Fresh paint inside can improve the home's overall condition and appeal to both buyers and renters.
  • Both update kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · The siding appears weathered and possibly peeling. Major $15,000–50,000
roof · The roof appears old and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and unkempt, detracting from curb appeal. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and resale value.
  • Resale trim landscaping — A well-maintained landscape enhances curb appeal and can attract potential buyers.
  • Resale replace roof — A new roof can add years of life to the home and improve its overall condition.
  • Resale repair exterior siding — Fresh siding can improve the home's appearance and add value.
  • Both update interior paint — Fresh paint inside can improve the home's overall condition and appeal to both buyers and renters.
  • Both update kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barnegat Township School District
NCES district ID
3416470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$63,645
Composite
31.15/100
National rank
#6059
State rank
#285 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Ocean Acres

Score
63/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#15187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
City population
25,936
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
26,866
Household income
$93,584
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
384.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.01%
Current HPI
344.3189
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-24 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $59,400 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…