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8649 E Royal Palm Rd #213
D Composite 43.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

8649 E Royal Palm Rd #213 · Scottsdale, AZ 85258
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 758 sqft · SingleFamily · 462 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition 766 sqft lot $284/sqft · 23% below area Est $280k · 23% under $316/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Billiards
  • Pickleball

Tags

TOP-FLOORRECENT UPDATESHEATED POOLPICKLEBALLBILLIARDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (19.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cheyenne Traditional School (math 78% / reading 75%, grade A, #24 of 1,109 statewide, top 2%, 880 students, 4% FRL); Cocopah Middle School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #3 of 218 statewide, top 1%, 886 students, 9% FRL); Chaparral High School (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #82 of 381 statewide, top 22%, 2,038 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools average 6% FRL vs 21% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 462 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 16438% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,227 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 462 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
4.72%
Cash-on-cash
-5.62%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,800
List price
$215,000
Delta
-23.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.7%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-55,235
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-33.5%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-80,964
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85258

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax est. 1.5%
$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$316
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$-282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,281
Max offer price $174,227
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-133 -5% $-207 +0% $-282 +5% $-356 +10% $-430
Rent -10% $-434 -5% $-358 +0% $-282 +5% $-206 +10% $-130
Rate -1.0pp $-173 -0.5pp $-227 base $-282 +0.5pp $-337 +1.0pp $-394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8649 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1012 $1,800 $1.78 15d 6 0.02mi
8649 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 952 $1,450 $1.52 0d 5 0.02mi
8375 E Via de Ventura Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,510 $1.75 0d 37 0.42mi
8300 E Via de Ventura #2025 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1046 $2,600 $2.49 26d 1 0.48mi
8311 E Via de Ventura Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 942 $1,908 $2.03 45d 1 0.53mi
8311 E Via de Ventura Unit 1 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 942 $1,832 $1.94 45d 1 0.55mi
7350 N Via Paseo Del Sur Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,500 $2.39 26d 1 0.90mi
7350 N Via Paseo Del Sur Unit N107 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 727 $2,650 $3.65 45d 1 0.91mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit M205 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,100 $2.01 45d 1 0.94mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit O202 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1044 $2,999 $2.87 26d 1 0.95mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit M206 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1044 $6,000 $5.75 45d 1 0.95mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit M104 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1044 $5,000 $4.79 45d 1 0.95mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit M203 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,500 $1.44 26d 1 0.95mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit O209 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 905 $2,700 $2.98 25d 1 0.96mi
7350 N Via Paseo del Sur Unit O110 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 830 $1,500 $1.81 45d 1 0.96mi
8787 E Mountain View Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $1,595 $1.46 0d 10 1.17mi
8787 E Mountain View Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $1,625 $1.46 15d 10 1.17mi
9449 N 90th St Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 723 $1,974 $2.73 1d 31 1.24mi
8250 E Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 926 $2,350 $2.54 45d 2 1.26mi
9340 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5–2.0 1134 $3,150 $2.78 45d 2 1.27mi
9340 N 92nd St #204 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1114 $3,300 $2.96 23d 1 1.29mi
8260 E Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 961 $1,850 $1.92 18d 2 1.30mi
8260 E Arabian Trl Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 961 $1,475 $1.53 45d 3 1.30mi
8256 E Arabian Trl #126 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.0 901 $2,000 $2.22 45d 1 1.31mi
8700 E Mountain View Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1216 $3,500 $2.88 45d 2 1.34mi
9345 N 92nd St #202 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,595 $1.45 45d 1 1.35mi
8260 E Arabian Trl #275 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1073 $4,000 $3.73 6d 1 1.35mi
9465 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1230 $1,675 $1.36 16d 2 1.35mi
9465 N 92nd St Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $1,375 $1.48 0d 2 1.35mi
7710 E Gainey Ranch Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1121 $3,495 $3.12 0d 4 1.36mi
9275 E Mission Ln Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 994 $1,775 $1.78 26d 2 1.40mi
9270 E Mission Ln #219 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1114 $3,000 $2.69 26d 1 1.42mi
7700 E Gainey Ranch Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1449 $4,250 $2.93 19d 3 1.46mi
10101 N Arabian Trl #2004 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1055 $3,400 $3.22 0d 1 1.46mi
9450 N 94th Pl #210 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 802 $1,600 $2.00 45d 1 1.47mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 731 $1,550 $2.12 15d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$316 · $3,792/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $215,000 Pending 462 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 462 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 461 DOM
  4. 2026-05-18
    price $215,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  5. 2026-05-17
    listed $1,300
  6. 2026-04-07
    price $225,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  7. 2026-01-21
    price $239,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  8. 2025-12-12
    price $249,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  9. 2025-09-12
    price $259,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  10. 2025-08-11
    price $264,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  11. 2025-07-11
    price $269,900 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  12. 2025-06-17
    price $274,500 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  13. 2025-05-12
    price $279,500 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  14. 2025-02-24
    listed $297,500 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Welcome to your move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in the heart of Scottsdale! Recent updates include HVAC, flooring, and a master bath revision. Recent (2024) kitchen remodel with new cabinets, granite countertops and appliances. This top-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers exceptional value, perfect as a first home or winter retreat. Located in beautiful McCormick Ranch, enjoy easy access to freeways, parks, hiking, top restaurants, and shopping. Amenities include a covered parking spot, guest parking, heated pool/spa, pickleball, and billiards. Owner is a Pennsylvania Real Estate Agent.

  15. 2024-12-27
    historical $2,800
  16. 2024-09-10
    listed $2,800
  17. 2024-08-28
    historical $2,800
  18. 2024-05-24
    price $2,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,089
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,225
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− HOA
−$3,792
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$6,995
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,679
After-tax cash flow
$-1,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready, fully furnished condo in Scottsdale offers exceptional value with recent updates and a well-maintained exterior. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the fresh paint, new window treatments, and updated light fixtures.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — New flooring in high-traffic areas improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both Replace light fixtures — New light fixtures enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace countertops in kitchen — New countertops improve functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — New flooring in high-traffic areas improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both Replace light fixtures — New light fixtures enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace countertops in kitchen — New countertops improve functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
NCES district ID
0407570
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,139
Composite
48.02/100
National rank
#2196
State rank
#30 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
25,545
Household income
$114,111
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
832.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -461.15%
Current HPI
335.6925
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7578.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $215,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $225,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $239,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $249,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $259,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $264,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $269,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $274,500 ARMLS
  • 2025-05-12 Price Changed $279,500 ARMLS
  • 2025-02-24 Listed $297,500 ARMLS
  • 2024-12-27 Rental Removed $2,800 ARMLS
  • 2024-09-10 Listed for Rent $2,800 ARMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Rental Removed $2,800 ARMLS
  • 2024-05-24 Price Changed $2,800 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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