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157 Lazy River Rd
D Composite 44.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$130,000

157 Lazy River Rd · Cloverdale, IN 46120
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1995 7,318 sqft lot Est $143k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 157 Lazy River Road! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2-car garage sits on a nice wooded lot in Stardust Hills, offering privacy and peaceful surroundings. Move-in ready with all appliances included, even the washer and dryer! The spacious primary suite features a walk-in closet and private en suite bath complete with a garden tub and separate shower. The second bedroom is generously sized and would make a great guest bedroom, home office, or flex space. New flooring throughout gives the home a fresh updated feel. The home also features a dedicated laundry room with washer and dryer included. Add your personal finishing touches and make this home your own. Enjoy community ameni

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • Walk-in closet
  • Community amenities

Tags

WOODED LOTPRIVATE EN SUITE BATHWALK-IN CLOSETDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMCOMMUNITY AMENITIESFISHING LAKES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.17 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Mature trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom suite with separate shower and garden tub
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-801/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (9.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.5% in Cloverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#156 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cloverdale Community Schools (rural): math 36% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #167 of 301 in IN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cloverdale Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #500 of 994 statewide, top 53%, 424 students, 75% FRL); Cloverdale High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #123 of 369 statewide, top 36%, 279 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 50% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 166 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $130k implies a 373% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $104,085 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.20%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,488
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
157 Lazy River Rd 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,216 (0%) 0mo $130,000 $107 100
125 Oriole Ct 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,216 (0%) 2mo $142,900 $118 87
597 Lazy River Rd 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-2%) 9mo $165,000 $139 82
94 Small Fry Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,216 (0%) 4mo $125,000 $103 82
384 Cool Evening Ct 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+1%) 6mo $92,000 $75 77
179 Lazy River Ct 0.12mi 2/1.5 1,152 (-5%) 11mo $139,900 $121 74
334 Small Fry Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-2%) 6mo $172,900 $146 73
289 Bubble Loo Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (0%) 14mo $157,000 $129 67
261 Down Boy Way 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,104 (-9%) 5mo $142,000 $129 65
362 Gentlemen Pl 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,140 (-6%) 18mo $102,600 $90 64
443 Stardust Way 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,323 (+9%) 15mo $150,000 $113 48
288 Bubble Loo Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,064 (-12%) 11mo $79,900 $75 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-15,305
Equity at exit
$30,025
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-9,474
Equity at exit
$30,387

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46120

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,041 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,838/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$-67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,125
Max offer price $118,207
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $130,000 Active
  3. 2025-12-09
    historical
  4. 2025-09-10
    listed $124,995 Active
  5. 2025-09-06
    historical
  6. 2025-08-23
    status Active
  7. 2025-08-23
    historical
  8. 2025-07-02
    listed $129,900 Active
  9. 2025-07-02
    status Active
  10. 2025-07-02
    status Active
  11. 2025-06-30
    historical
  12. 2025-04-03
    status Active
  13. 2025-04-03
    status Active
  14. 2025-04-03
    status Active
  15. 2025-03-31
    status Pending
  16. 2025-03-31
    status Pending
  17. 2025-03-31
    status Pending
  18. 2025-03-23
    listed $129,900 Active
  19. 2025-03-23
    listed $129,900 Active
  20. 2025-03-21
    listed $129,900 Active
  21. 2018-07-03
    soldstatus $27,500
  22. 2018-06-01
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,838 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,838 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,490
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,838
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$3,060
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$734
After-tax cash flow
$-67/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cloverdale Community Schools
NCES district ID
1802220
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$44,267
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5753
State rank
#167 of 301 in IN

Livability — Cloverdale

Score
70/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#7715

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cloverdale, IN
City population
6,138
Population (ZIP)
6,138

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,226 people
By 2030
36,723 · -1.4%
By 2040
35,407 · -4.9%
By 2050
34,177 · -8.2%
By 2075
32,038 · -13.9%
By 2100
28,380 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.1% · R 75.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-40.0pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.22%
Current HPI
235.6828
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+334.8% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $130,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-09 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Listed $124,995 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-06 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-23 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Delisted IRMLS
  • 2025-07-02 Listed $129,900 THAAR
  • 2025-07-02 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2025-07-02 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted THAAR
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-31 Pending THAAR
  • 2025-03-31 Pending IRMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-23 Listed $129,900 THAAR
  • 2025-03-23 Listed $129,900 IRMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Listed $129,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-03 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-01 Listed $29,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+19.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,838 · +115.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…