2764 W 95th Pl · Evergreen Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Listing price $188,700 Great opportunity on this two-story home with attached 1 car garage. It offers approximately 1,457 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2.1 bathrooms. Built in 1947 many repairs and updates are needed but has potential. Property sold "AS-IS" without contingencies, repairs, warranties, guarantees or representation as to listing accuracy, property information, photo or other depiction included or described herein. Inspect prior bidding. Auction.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1947
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: Appraiser; Property age: approximately 71–80 years; Parcel number available; Directions provided to property
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shake roof
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (Master on main level, two additional bedrooms on second level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.9% in Evergreen Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#14 in IL, #327 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Evergreen Park Chsd 231 (suburban): math 25% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #303 of 620 in IL (top 49%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.98%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,196
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2720 W 97th St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-6%) | 2mo | $376,700 | $276 | 77 |
| 9408 S Albany Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+1%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $196 | 73 |
| 9631 S Francisco Ave | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,291 (-11%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $244 | 66 |
| 2918 W 99th Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-4%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $222 | 65 |
| 9926 S Campbell Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,502 (+3%) | 2mo | $402,500 | $268 | 64 |
| 9021 S Francisco Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,469 (+1%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $214 | 62 |
| 9304 S Utica Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,558 (+7%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $193 | 59 |
| 2655 W 99th St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,573 (+8%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $216 | 57 |
| 9820 S California Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,271 (-13%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $228 | 53 |
| 9602 S Troy Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (-14%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $303 | 50 |
| 2949 W 100th St | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,313 (-10%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $232 | 48 |
| 2900 W 100th Pl | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (+9%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $208 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $14,464
- Equity at exit
- $28,136
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $71,219
- Equity at exit
- $16,315
Cash invested: $52,836 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60805
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,916 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$990
- Tax from tax record
- −$531 /mo · $6,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$612
- Net cashflow
- $704
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,175
- Closing costs
- $5,661
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10043 S Talman Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $3,300 | $2.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9305 S Homan Ave Unit 1 Evergreen Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $2,195 | $2.46 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8755 S Fairfield Ave Evergreen Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1463 | $2,900 | $1.98 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 10439 S Drake Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $3,000 | $2.58 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-10$188,700 Auction
-
2026-02-17historical
-
2026-02-03status Temporarily No Showings
-
2025-09-15historical
-
2025-08-04Active
-
2005-10-31soldstatus $280,000
-
2004-12-28soldstatus $241,000
-
1988-12-01soldstatus $73,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,377 · $531/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,377 · $531/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,570
- − Property taxes
- −$6,377
- − Insurance
- −$944
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,799
- − Management
- −$2,799
- − Depreciation
- −$5,489
- Taxable income
- $6,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,442
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen Park Chsd 231
- NCES district ID
- 1714580
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,735
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8054
- State rank
- #303 of 620 in IL
Livability — Evergreen Park
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evergreen Park, IL
- City population
- 19,498
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,498
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.60%
- Current HPI
- 229.8185
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+156.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $188,700 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $241,000 Public Records
- 1988-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2023): $6,377 · +32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…