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1402 W Faulkner St St
C- Composite 50.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1402 W Faulkner St St · El Dorado, AR 71730
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
10,018 sqft lot $73/sqft · 14% below area Est $168k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Legal Description per Tax Records: SHILLING S-D E 1/2 LOT 3 #0116658 #07-10893 28

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Listed 35 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.1% in El Dorado — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#65 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D, employment D.
  • El Dorado School District (town): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #134 of 238 in AR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 36% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,320 (15.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.71%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,154
List price
$145,000
Delta
-13.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1609 W Cedar St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,975 (-1%) 1mo $195,000 $99 79
1315 Mount Holly Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 2,100 (+5%) 3mo $350,000 $167 78
1605 W Cedar 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,818 (-9%) 2mo $202,000 $111 71
820 W Oak St 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,053 (+3%) 1mo $175,000 $85 70
1306 W Main St 0.20mi 3/2.0 2,277 (+14%) 1mo $149,000 $65 66
1909 W Oak St 0.42mi 3/2.5 2,132 (+7%) 5mo $275,000 $129 63
708 Liberty 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,793 (-10%) 6mo $78,000 $44 56
2009 Ridgewood Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 2,175 (+9%) 5mo $288,500 $133 55
501 Woodview Dr 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,173 (+9%) 4mo $285,000 $131 55
1114 W 4th St 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (-12%) 1mo $199,000 $113 54
2207 W Main St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,064 (+4%) 5mo $269,500 $131 52
801 W Oak St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,698 (-15%) 1mo $45,000 $27 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,714
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-8,146
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71730

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $646/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Under Contract 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Legal Description per Tax Records: SHILLING S-D E 1/2 LOT 3 #0116658 #07-10893 28

  2. 2026-04-06
    listed $145,000 New Listing 85-char remark
    Show marketing remark (85 chars)

    Legal Description per Tax Records: SHILLING S-D E 1/2 LOT 3 #0116658 #07-10893 28

  3. 2007-09-06
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$646 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$928 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$282/yr (+$24/mo · 43.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 36% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,678
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$646
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,174
− Management
−$1,174
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$331
After-tax cash flow
$1,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Dorado School District
NCES district ID
0505680
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,122
Composite
27.36/100
National rank
#6979
State rank
#134 of 238 in AR

Livability — El Dorado

Score
69/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#8444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Dorado, AR
Population (ZIP)
29,187

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,422 people
By 2030
35,808 · -4.3%
By 2040
32,605 · -12.9%
By 2050
29,688 · -20.7%
By 2075
23,691 · -36.7%
By 2100
17,950 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -33.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.5 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.36%
Current HPI
155.8786
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $145,000 CARMLS
  • 2007-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $646 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…